Jesse Posted February 7, 2019 Report Share Posted February 7, 2019 One historic event at a time...Careful, you are veering into making fun of Tim territory. That’s a no no place. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VancouverIslandSouth Posted February 7, 2019 Report Share Posted February 7, 2019 The Monday/Tuesday system is going to be very difficult to predict. Much harder than the Friday/Saturday system which is a single storm coming through. If the phasing does not happen on Monday... there could be nothing at all. If it phases perfectly like the 12Z ECMWF showed then there could be a massive snowstorm. It literally formed out of nothing right over western WA on Monday on the 12Z ECMWF run. No other model has shown that perfect balance. But its also the ECMWF so it carries more weight and might end up leading the way and the other models will catch up. None of the GFS ensemble members show a significant event in this area Monday - Wednesday. Maybe some sort of clipper. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 7, 2019 Report Share Posted February 7, 2019 Well... time for bed. Anything else coming out tonight?? **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted February 7, 2019 Report Share Posted February 7, 2019 Careful, you are veering into making fun of Tim territory. That’s a no no place.He posts snow maps. Tim is currently a god. 1 My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 7, 2019 Report Share Posted February 7, 2019 He posts snow maps. Tim is currently a god. Definitely not. **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
joaqweri Posted February 7, 2019 Report Share Posted February 7, 2019 SHUT UP EVERYONE, EURO IS ROLLING Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 7, 2019 Report Share Posted February 7, 2019 For the Seattle area... a major snowstorm and cold weekend are a given. Its a no lose situation. **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Requiem Posted February 7, 2019 Report Share Posted February 7, 2019 NOW-CAST RUNDOWN OF EACH PDX MET (feel free to correct me): This is for Saturday-Monday's event. Rod Hill: 4 inches of snow possible Saturday night into Sunday morning. Steve Pierce: 4-6 inches of sticking snow Saturday into Sunday. Matt Zaffino: 1-4 inches of snow Saturday night. Mark Nelsen: Wait and watch, especially due to east wind influence. Rhonda Shelby: Wait and watch. Bruce Sussman: ? NWS Folks: Wait and watch. 2 "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted February 7, 2019 Report Share Posted February 7, 2019 :-| :-/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted February 7, 2019 Report Share Posted February 7, 2019 Well... time for bed. Anything else coming out tonight?? Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 7, 2019 Report Share Posted February 7, 2019 No phasing would be dry cold? Could be that... or warmer southerly flow. Depends on which trough dominates. **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted February 7, 2019 Report Share Posted February 7, 2019 NOW-CAST RUNDOWN OF EACH PDX MET (feel free to correct me): This is for Saturday-Monday's event. Rod Hill: 4 inches of snow possible Saturday night into Sunday morning. Steve Pierce: 4-6 inches of sticking snow Saturday into Sunday. Matt Zaffino: 1-4 inches of snow Saturday night. Mark Nelsen: Wait and watch, especially due to east wind influence. Rhonda Shelby: Wait and watch. Bruce Sussman: ? NWS Folks: Wait and watch. This is the most I have anticipated a blog update from Nelsen in awhile. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest hawkstwelve Posted February 7, 2019 Report Share Posted February 7, 2019 Not sure if it's already been mentioned and I'm just late to the party, but the FV3 supports the 12z Euro's Monday/Tuesday system. From 4PM Monday through 4PM Tuesday... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 7, 2019 Report Share Posted February 7, 2019 **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted February 7, 2019 Report Share Posted February 7, 2019 Definitely not.At the very least you’re European. My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
joaqweri Posted February 7, 2019 Report Share Posted February 7, 2019 Not sure if it's already been mentioned and I'm just late to the party, but the FV3 supports the 12z Euro's Monday/Tuesday system. From 4PM Monday through 4PM Tuesday... you're fairly late, everyone has seen the 00z FV3 already Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 7, 2019 Report Share Posted February 7, 2019 00Z ECMWF out through 00 hours. Already an epic run! **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Requiem Posted February 7, 2019 Report Share Posted February 7, 2019 This is the most I have anticipated a blog update from Nelsen in awhile. Yeah, no kidding. January 6th, 2017 was the last time I've been this eager for a post. "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted February 7, 2019 Report Share Posted February 7, 2019 Not sure if it's already been mentioned and I'm just late to the party, but the FV3 supports the 12z Euro's Monday/Tuesday system. From 4PM Monday through 4PM Tuesday... Care to extend that map south 75 miles or so? Around the edge of the flat earth and to the underside where Portland is. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 7, 2019 Report Share Posted February 7, 2019 you're fairly late, everyone has seen the 00z FV3 already I had not seen the totals... more impressive than I thought. **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
joaqweri Posted February 7, 2019 Report Share Posted February 7, 2019 all eyes are on the euro now, just started running Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 7, 2019 Report Share Posted February 7, 2019 Care to extend that map south 75 miles or so? Around the edge of the flat earth and to the underside where Portland is. Actually laughed out loud on this one. **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest hawkstwelve Posted February 7, 2019 Report Share Posted February 7, 2019 you're fairly late, everyone has seen the 00z FV3 already Hm, odd. Couldn't tell by the mood in here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted February 7, 2019 Report Share Posted February 7, 2019 Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted February 7, 2019 Report Share Posted February 7, 2019 Deep breath Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest hawkstwelve Posted February 7, 2019 Report Share Posted February 7, 2019 Care to extend that map south 75 miles or so? Around the edge of the flat earth and to the underside where Portland is. "Come to the underside... We have cookies." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted February 7, 2019 Report Share Posted February 7, 2019 "Come to the underside... We have cookies." God d**n it. The Kelso/Longview totals looked so promising. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 7, 2019 Report Share Posted February 7, 2019 I am virtually certain the ECMWF is going to be crazy good for Puget Sounders on Friday night and Saturday. Just a question of how much. **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VancouverIslandSouth Posted February 7, 2019 Report Share Posted February 7, 2019 Pretty easy to tell where the snow fell with the last system on today's satellite: 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
joaqweri Posted February 7, 2019 Report Share Posted February 7, 2019 alright everyone, ima go experience some nostalgia and play cod mw2. i'll be back at like 10:15 or 10:20 when the euro is finally getting to the end of the storm so we can so it's whole picture. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted February 7, 2019 Report Share Posted February 7, 2019 Heh -8k unique users today 40/30/20 from SEA/PDX/YVR respectivelyall time member counts right now at 34630+ new accounts in two days280+ people on line within the past 15 minutes Thats pretty cool. :-) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 7, 2019 Report Share Posted February 7, 2019 Pretty easy to tell where the snow fell with the last system on today's satellite: Love how Lake Washington and Lake Sammamish stand out so well in the snowy landscape. **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
umadbro Posted February 7, 2019 Report Share Posted February 7, 2019 "Come to the underside... We have cookies." Odd.... https://ambientweather.net/dashboard/efcb24c8a999dceddfaba7469ce5bd2f my personal weather station Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest hawkstwelve Posted February 7, 2019 Report Share Posted February 7, 2019 Love how Lake Washington and Lake Sammamish stand out so well in the snowy landscape. Snoqualmie Valley is always so prominent on satellite pics as well. Pretty cool. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest hawkstwelve Posted February 7, 2019 Report Share Posted February 7, 2019 Odd.... That's total through 4PM Sunday. The map I posted was only from 4PM Monday - 4PM Tuesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcmcgaffey Posted February 7, 2019 Report Share Posted February 7, 2019 Love how Lake Washington and Lake Sammamish stand out so well in the snowy landscape. Crazy to think the Puget Sound has already had 3-4 days with snow on the ground which already beats anything since 2012 and most of our typical 1-2 day events. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted February 7, 2019 Report Share Posted February 7, 2019 Odd.... The other map is just for the system early next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
umadbro Posted February 7, 2019 Report Share Posted February 7, 2019 That's total through 4PM Sunday. The map I posted was only from 4PM Monday - 4PM Tuesday.Whoops, didn't catch that. Probably because I'm only focused on this weekend. https://ambientweather.net/dashboard/efcb24c8a999dceddfaba7469ce5bd2f my personal weather station Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Andrew. Posted February 7, 2019 Report Share Posted February 7, 2019 Next Tuesdays snowstorm coming in strong on the WRF for PDX Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted February 7, 2019 Report Share Posted February 7, 2019 Pretty easy to tell where the snow fell with the last system on today's satellite: I am making a run over to Oak Harbor tomorrow morning for work, looks like the drive through deception pass will be interesting, looks very bright white in that area. Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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