February 2019 Weather in the Pacific Northwest - Part 1

[GHweatherChris]

The northern olympic peninsula is going to get hit hard. I wouldn't be surprised to see places get 8-12 inches or more.

7 miles east of Aberdeen will be ground zero!!

[TT-SEA]

#drama

 

 

#truth.

 

Can you imagine if I made that post?   

[dairyd]

The UKIE keeps the deformation band going into Monday afternoon around Seattle.

 

http://img.meteocentre.com/models/ukmet_amer_00/P1_GZ_D5_PN_042_0000.gif

[Frontal Snowsquall]

In one hour we will have ECMWF maps for the first round.    Big run tonight!

 

I will guess it looks very similar to its 12Z run... but that is just a guess.

 

I hope you can deliver us lots of snowy maps Northern Messiah!

[TT-SEA]

Precip showing up on SEA radar up north. Looks like first indication of cold air moving south.

[GHweatherChris]

#truth.

 

Can you imagine if I made that post?

It is a 384 hour map, so no... you get paranoid too no matter what you say stinky boy!!

[bainbridgekid]

us_model-en-087-0_modgbr_2019020300_60_494_220.png

Thank you for posting this.

 

I'm not sure how much of that falls as rain before tomorrow evening, but looks like a widespread 2-4" on the UKIE most likely.

[TT-SEA]

It is a 384 hour map, so no... you get paranoid too no matter what you say stinky boy!!

It's a map showing a warm up in 17 days when we are about to enter a very cold and snowy period right now.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

us_model-en-087-0_modgbr_2019020300_60_494_220.png

 

The precip looks overdone there. 

 

Precip showing up on SEA radar up north. Looks like first indication of cold air moving south.

 

850s are now about -4C at BLI.

[Deweydog]

I could have 18 inches of blowing and drifting snow right now and I would STILL want Tim dead.

 

#deadication

[Frontal Snowsquall]

us_model-en-087-0_modgbr_2019020300_60_494_220.png

Thanks for posting. I totally forgot weather.us has UKMET precipitation maps. Here is the precipitation it shows from Monday 10am to Tuesday 4am. It shows the deformation band. I'm hoping this is all snow.

 

[GHweatherChris]

It's a map showing a warm up in 17 days when we are about to enter a very cold and snowy period right now.

You made a snide remark about it first....

[GHweatherChris]

Thanks for posting. I totally forgot weather.us has UKMET precipitation maps. Here is the precipitation it shows from Monday 10am to Tuesday 4am. It shows the deformation band. I'm hoping this is all snow.

 

us_model-en-087-0_modgbr_2019020300_48_5618_228.png

us_model-en-087-0_modgbr_2019020300_54_5618_228.png[attachment=24323:us_model-en-087-0_modgbr_2019020300_60_5618_228.png

Most of the action happens for most of us before 10 AM Monday....

[TT-SEA]

I could have 18 inches of blowing and drifting snow right now and I would STILL want Tim dead.

 

#dedication

 

 

About right!     

[TT-SEA]

Most of the action happens for most of us before 10 AM Monday....

 

Yes... I want to see the 18 hours before the first map.  

[SilverFallsAndrew]

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

If the euro fails us in puget sound Tim will be in big F.CKING TROUBLE.

[TT-SEA]

If the euro fails us in puget sound Tim will be in big F.CKING TROUBLE.

 

 

I will do my best.    I think we are fine... its going to be a very snowy run.

[HighlandExperience]

 

I will do my best.    I think we are fine... its going to be a very snowy run.

 

3-6 inches over King County. Persistent deformation band into Tuesday morning. No snow in Aberdeen. 

[TT-SEA]

3-6 inches over King County. Persistent deformation band into Tuesday morning. No snow in Aberdeen. 

 

Not sure about Tuesday morning since it was clear and very cold by that time on the 12Z run... but the snow amounts sound about right.

[Frontal Snowsquall]

Most of the action happens for most of us before 10 AM Monday....

Yes... I want to see the 18 hours before the first map.

 

Here are the rainfall amounts up to Monday 10am.

 

[GHweatherChris]

3-6 inches over King County. Persistent deformation band into Tuesday morning. No snow in Aberdeen.

Why make it personal?

[TT-SEA]

FV3 is very snowy for Thursday night and Friday.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

One of the most consistently cold GFS ensembles I have ever seen. 

[Frontal Snowsquall]

FV3 is very snowy for Thursday night and Friday.

Yeah and into Saturday. Looks like over a foot of snow through next weekend from PDX to SEA!

[Perturbed Member]

All eyes on ECMWF now. Can we all negotiate and accept a fair and even 3 inches for all and no one gets shafted?

[seattleweatherguy]

All eyes on ECMWF now. Can we all negotiate and accept a fair and even 3 inches for all and no one gets shafted?

Agree

[SilverFallsAndrew]

FV also shows modified arctic blast. 516 line crosses the Columbia into Oregon. 

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

At this point whatever we get tomorrow is a bonus. The big show will be late next week into weekend.

[Frontal Snowsquall]

All eyes on ECMWF now. Can we all negotiate and accept a fair and even 3 inches for all and no one gets shafted?

I would normally say yes but after all the snow I've gotten the last couple of years , 3 inches does nothing for me. I need at least 6 inches to be satisfied. Preferably even more.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Holy cow

 

[bainbridgekid]

I would normally say yes but after all the snow I've gotten the last couple of years , 3 inches does nothing for me. I need at least 6 inches to be satisfied. Preferably even more.

You are going to be happy with the weather about 3 or 4 days a decade then. 

[HighlandExperience]

Why make it personal?

 

I was just messing with you. I knew you and TT were having your spat. 

[dairyd]

it's crossed the border

 

[Frontal Snowsquall]

At this point whatever we get tomorrow is a bonus. The big show will be late next week into weekend.

I agree. This will be the warning shot. The real shot will be delivered within the next 2 weeks.

[TT-SEA]

You are going to be happy with the weather about 3 or 4 days a decade then. 

 

But he also loves hot weather.    

[VancouverIslandSouth]

The outflow observations are closing in; looks like it's hit Whistler (26F/18F DP) and is approaching Hope (34F/16F DP). Similar observations over the northern half of Vancouver Island.

[Frontal Snowsquall]

Holy cow

 

The snow just keeps on coming!

[SilverFallsAndrew]

http://old.wetterzentrale.de/pics/MT8_Portland_Oregon_USA_ens.png

[Requiem]

http://old.wetterzentrale.de/pics/MT8_Portland_Oregon_USA_ens.png

Not awful, but not that good either.