March 2019 Weather Discussion in the PNW

[Deweydog]

3 at Tri Cities.

 

One for each city!

[TT-SEA]

Wednesday into Thursday snowfall...

 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Haha. 14 at The Dalles. Their morning low got counterfeited!!!

 

I believe that ties their coldest March temperature on record...

[Phil]

Let try this next time in December.

July.

[Timmy]

Wednesday into Thursday snowfall...

 

seems to have backed off on totals down here

[snow_wizard]

Windy and below freezing here now.  Never thought I would see that in March.

[Phil]

Just noticed there were sub-zero highs yesterday in parts of Nebraska. Those places barely got above zero again today. Absolutely incredible.

Holy freezeballs.

[TT-SEA]

Windy and below freezing here now.  Never thought I would see that in March.

 

Seems like the first week of March can often be winter-like.   

[Deweydog]

Wednesday into Thursday snowfall...

 

Hopefully it falls during the late morning/early afternoon so everybody can watch it accumulate!

[Jesse]

Dog Mountain from Starvation Creek state park:



Near The Dalles Dam:



Dufur:





Criterion Summit and distant Mt. Adams:



 

[Deweydog]

Seems like the first week of March can often be winter-like.

Yeah, this is totally normal.

[TT-SEA]

Hopefully it falls during the late morning/early afternoon so everybody can watch it accumulate!

 

Appears to fall down in there in the afternoon and early evening.

 

The ECMWF seems to think it will be 32 degrees in Portland at 4 p.m. on Wednesday with snow falling.   

[Jesse]

Yeah, this is totally normal.

 

52 when I left the ranch today!

[TT-SEA]

Yeah, this is totally normal.

 

No... but neither was early March of 1951 or 1989.   The first week still has the ability to produce actual winter weather.  

[Front Ranger]

I found this interesting too, and in the future when other SSW events happen, we will have clues where the cold weather will go.

 

Michael Ventrice‏Verified account @MJVentrice Mar 1

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I was re-giving my talk at #AMS2019 to some colleagues over in Europe this morning and noticed the Siberian SSWE warming composite +14 days after the event show the -PNA whereas during North Atlantic SSWE initiations, you don't get the trough over western North America...

 

Interesting. Would be nice to see some full research on this.

[TT-SEA]

52 when I left the ranch today!

 

3 degrees shy of 50 in Seattle today.  

[Jesse]

3 degrees shy of 50 in Seattle today.

 

I was teasing Matt referring to a comment he made yesterday downplaying this event. We had a high of 40 today.

[Deweydog]

52 when I left the ranch today!

Don’t let current conditions scare you, kid.

 

You two seem pretty jumpy all of the sudden. Could be an iceburn spring with REAL iceburns!

[TT-SEA]

Yeah, this is totally normal.

 

 

It was 31/17 at Snoqualmie Falls on 3/2/1989 with a foot of fresh snow on the ground.  

 

Today was 44/30 there with some dirty snowbanks around.

 

This is not unprecedented cold for this area like it is to our east.

[snow_wizard]

Watching this cold air invasion on the mesonet map is pretty incredible.  Some really mind blowing numbers.

[Deweydog]

It was 31/17 at Snoqualmie Falls on 3/2/1989 with a foot of fresh snow on the ground.

 

Today was 44/30 there with some dirty snowbanks around.

 

This is not unprecedented cold for this area like it is to our east.

Different setup. I’d argue that on multiple fronts this setup, while not very impactful on the west side, is more impressive on a macro level.

[Jesse]

Don’t let current conditions scare you, kid.

You two seem pretty jumpy all of the sudden. Could be an iceburn spring with REAL iceburns!

A little joshing. Like you do all the time.

[Perturbed Member]

seems to have backed off on totals down here

 

The bulk of the snow fell after 6PM on the previous euro, it comes in earlier now and temps are a bit less favorable at that time. 

[TT-SEA]

Different setup. I’d argue that on multiple fronts this setup, while not very impactful on the west side, is more impressive on a macro level.

 

Probably... but you know way more about that stuff than I do.

 

Its been sunny and pleasant and will be a little warmer tomorrow and again on Tuesday so its really not that noticeable here... unlike a foot of snow and high of 31 and a low of 17 as we had in early March 1989.

 

I am definitely just considering local effects though... and very glad that I am on this side of the mountains.  

[Jesse]

Watching this cold air invasion on the mesonet map is pretty incredible.  Some really mind blowing numbers.

 

Over in North Central Oregon today I kept having to remind myself it was March. Felt like the dead of winter.

[Deweydog]

A little joshing. Like you do all the time.

Joshing from the summit of Mt. Scottjosh? Sounds breezy and cold!

[BLI snowman]

Went out to the west end of the Gorge this evening. Absolutely stunning.

 

 

 

Yep, gorge-ous day out there!

 

Beautifful ice formations everywhere, including at Horsetail

 

 

 

[TT-SEA]

The bulk of the snow fell after 6PM on the previous euro, it comes in earlier now and temps are a bit less favorable at that time. 

 

 

For the ECMWF to be right about snow totals... it will need to be 32 degrees and snowing and accumulating at 4 p.m. on Wednesday in Portland because that is precisely what it shows.

 

The main part of the band appears to come through between about 3-6 p.m. there.  

[Deweydog]

Probably... but you know way more about that stuff than I do.

 

Its been sunny and pleasant and will be a little warmer tomorrow and again on Tuesday so its really not that noticeable here... unlike a foot of snow and high of 31 and a low of 17 as we had in early March 1989.

 

I am definitely just considering local effects though... and very glad that I am on this side of the mountains.

Not hard to split your attention. Open your heart and mind and you find out you’re living VERY close to some pretty historic weather occurring RIGHT MEOW!

[TT-SEA]

Not hard to split your attention. Open your heart and mind and you find out you’re living VERY close to some pretty historic weather occurring RIGHT MEOW!

 

I do find it interesting.

 

Nice to observe it and not have to deal with it though.   

[Front Ranger]

Don't prefer warm rain... just craving warm rain right now.

 

Like craving a trough at the end of a hot August.  

 

You have a tendency to crave whatever you're not getting. 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

EURO has a 47/23 and 49/21 at SLE next Sunday and Monday.

[TT-SEA]

ECMWF still showing a totally sunny weekend again without the east wind... probably mid to upper 40s in the Seattle area.  

[TT-SEA]

You have a tendency to crave whatever you're not getting. 

 

 

Human nature.      

[Deweydog]

I do find it interesting.

 

Nice to observe it and not have to deal with it though.

You’ve already got a life-altering gutter calamity on your hands. Exacerbating that with numb fingers and toes during the body recovery efforts would have been beyond cruel.

[Front Ranger]

ECMWF still showing a totally sunny weekend again without the east wind... probably mid to upper 40s in the Seattle area.  

 

I haven't been on here a ton the past day or so, but I feel like I've seen this exact same post 8 times now.

[Jesse]

Human nature.      

 

Root of human suffering.

[TT-SEA]

I haven't been on here a ton the past day or so, but I feel like I've seen this exact same post 8 times now.

Actually just in reference to the 12Z run. And I said its "still" showing it.

[TT-SEA]

Root of human suffering.

 

Maybe in general... but not with weather.   

 

When the weather gets stuck in one pattern for a long time... you really appreciate the change when it comes.   

[Deweydog]

Root of human suffering.

I wanted a churro at Costco yesterday but the line was deemed too long. Died a little inside.

 

Hoping Bernie fixes that in a couple years...