March 2019 Weather Discussion in the PNW

[Deweydog]

You have it backwards. Last December was screwed because people couldn't wait last February.

 

Now this coming December is screwed.

Either way it’s clearly Jesse’s fault.

[Front Ranger]

My boi Yev just stuck his fork in winter below 1000'.

 

https://www.facebook.com/yevweatherruler/videos/10157074660127354/

 

How much did he end up owing you?

[TT-SEA]

It's clear you have successfully willed away any additional accumulations at your house for 2018-19. Well done.

 

 

Yeah... except I failed miserably on 3 days.   

 

I need to work on willing snow to fall in my area from Thanksgiving to New Years.    And then be done with it.  

[Jesse]

Looks like PDX scored a high of 35 today. Pretty impressive. I haven’t done any digging yet but I’m guessing it’s their latest high that cold/coldest March high in many years.

 

A solid 34/28 here with snow pretty much falling the entirety of the daylight hours.

[TT-SEA]

Looks like PDX scored a high of 35 today. Pretty impressive. I haven’t done any digging yet but I’m guessing it’s their latest high that cold/coldest March high in many years.

 

A solid 34/28 here with snow pretty much falling the entirety of the daylight hours.

 

 

ECMWF shows a south wind kicking in down there after the precip ends... but does not show it warming up much.   It would not be hard to get above 35 though with a south wind.

[Deweydog]

Looks like PDX scored a high of 35 today. Pretty impressive. I haven’t done any digging yet but I’m guessing it’s their latest high that cold/coldest March high in many years.

 

A solid 34/28 here with snow pretty much falling the entirety of the daylight hours.

Day ain’t over yet.

[Frontal Snowsquall]

You can definitely see why. Surprising, though. You'd think it would be a strong La Nina or El Nino, something with a juiced up jet.

 

EDIT: I see the previous record was indeed from the 1997-98 super Nino.

Yeah, this Winter barely beat out the 97-98 Super El Nino by 0.02". I knew this winter was wet for the CONUS but not all-time record wet.

[Front Ranger]

Gallarraga, the BIG CAT! 

 

He had one of the best seasons ever produced by pre-humidor Coors Field and steroids. 

 

47 HR and 150 RBI in 1996.

[Jesse]

Day ain’t over yet.

Pray for warming!

[BLI snowman]

Looks like PDX scored a high of 35 today. Pretty impressive. I haven’t done any digging yet but I’m guessing it’s their latest high that cold/coldest March high in many years.

 

A solid 34/28 here with snow pretty much falling the entirety of the daylight hours.

Latest 35 or lower on record there.

[TT-SEA]

Big flakes falling here now... down to 34.  

[Deweydog]

Pray for warming!

Just something to consider. It’s meteorological, not spiritual.

[Front Ranger]

Yeah... except I failed miserably on 3 days.   

 

I need to work on willing snow to fall in my area from Thanksgiving to New Years.    And then be done with it.  

 

The New Years cutoff is a little ridiculous.

 

Also, it looks like precip is back-building into your area right now........

[TT-SEA]

The New Years cutoff is a little ridiculous.

 

Also, it looks like precip is back-building into your area right now........

 

I can make own cutoff.    

 

And the heaviest part of the band just moved through... lighter precip behind it.

[Deweydog]

Big fat motherf*ckers coming down out there.

 

Is this March or is it January??? LOL!

[TacomaWaWx]

Still snowing here no accumulation...definitely would have been different story at night time. Could have snowed more but it was honestly cool just to have everything covered in white and snow falling even if it wasn’t that much. Still a chance tomorrow morning though but snows gonna be minimal for most if any besides the CZ

[Jesse]

Just something to consider. It’s meteorological, not spiritual.

Seems like light offshore or flat gradients could persist a bit longer considering not even the south valley has started to see a warm up yet. Time, as they say, will tell.

 

Regardless an afternoon high of 35 is impressive.

[Jesse]

Latest 35 or lower on record there.

Very impressive if it sticks. Just like the snow. Lol!

[Deweydog]

Seems like light offshore or flat gradients could persist a bit longer considering not even the south valley has started to see a warm up yet. Time, as they say, will tell.

 

Regardless an afternoon high of 35 is impressive.

Really impressive.

 

Just wouldn’t be surprise me at all if they pop to 35-37 before midnight. Or not...

[Jesse]

Really impressive.

 

Just wouldn’t be surprise me at all if they pop to 35-37 before midnight. Or not...

No more 39?

[Guest Sounder]

Yeah really just a fluke if anything. Highs in the mid-30s would be happening in March left and right if we could just get the stratiform precip timed right.

That's really not what he was saying.

[Deweydog]

No more 39?

That doesn’t seem likely.

 

I’ve had a paper bag over my head since about 10:30 a.m. I’m sure you wish it was a plastic bag tied off nice and tightly...

[SilverFallsAndrew]

You have it backwards. Last December was screwed because people couldn't wait last February.

 

Now this coming December is screwed.

 

Would be nice to have a frontloaded winter next year. 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Really impressive.

 

Just wouldn’t be surprise me at all if they pop to 35-37 before midnight. Or not...

 

Looked like they had developed an east wind again at least. I wouldn't be surprised to see Salem or Eugene pop up a couple degrees as a light southerly flow has developed. On the other hand I can see some breaks in the clouds to my west so that could help.

[Deweydog]

How ‘bout a front AND backloaded winter!

[TT-SEA]

Would be nice to have a frontloaded winter next year. 

 

 

That would be wonderful.  

[Deweydog]

Looked like they had developed an east wind again at least. I wouldn't be surprised to see Salem or Eugene pop up a couple degrees as a light southerly flow has developed. On the other hand I can see some breaks in the clouds to my west so that could help.

Onshore flow seems to ramp up a bit once this stratiform stuff moves out and CAA, ironically, gets going. PDX does have a magical way of holding onto outflow though.

[Kayla]

The MJO/intraseasonal forcing will hit the MC domain shorty but will, eventually, propagate eastward towards the dateline..this time with a strong PV again. So a warm-up could very easily happen and should not be discounted.

 

Then again, the dateline/WPAC forcing and Aleutian Low will begin to weaken said PV and forwardly lower the integral of tropical static stability. So you have to figure the warm-up (if it happens) will be an intraseasonal affair rather than some kind of major, longer term pattern switch. The vibe of instability is also favored by seasonal climatology.

 

And with the PV becoming so strong as we approach the equinox, the final warming/wind reversal will be quite prolific this year. Would be a bad time to get a warm-up, only to have the polar mode/NAM go haywire again and send you back into the icebox.

 

So you're saying IF I warm up it will be a head fake...awesome. 

 

I'm mentally preparing myself to still have snow on the ground in June this year. 

[El_Nina]

Got a nice whitening going on. Sad thing is it's still 34 so once the precip stops itll probably all melt.

[MikeInEverett]

The brown snow piles got a nice white coating on them today!

[Kayla]

Pretty awesome to see nearly 12 straight hours of snow falling on the PDX AWOS...in March!

[SilverFallsAndrew]

That would be wonderful.  

 

Not to be a complainer, but by the time this winter and last winter really got going I was about ready for spring. Though it is pretty rare to not have snowfall in March here.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Onshore flow seems to ramp up a bit once this stratiform stuff moves out and CAA, ironically, gets going. PDX does have a magical way of holding onto outflow though.

 

Horse Creek at 3400' about 10 miles east of me has dropped from 39 to 31 over the past two hours. 

[El_Nina]

Down to 33 now, here's what I have so far:

[Front Ranger]

How ‘bout a front AND backloaded winter!

Midloaded. Due.

[MossMan]

Snowy drive home!

I love shoveling snow!

Good night once again Junipers!

Moderate snow and 32.2 degrees currently.

[Jesse]

Some huge snowflakes here the last half hour or so. Really was coming down hard for awhile there. Now it looks like the back edge is moving closer. 

 

Probably 1/4" on the roof, grassy surfaces and cars with that band.

[Front Ranger]

Not to be a complainer, but by the time this winter and last winter really got going I was about ready for spring. Though it is pretty rare to not have snowfall in March here.

 

There is certainly a case to be made that front-loaded winters help preserve the sanity of weenies much better.

 

Plus, we always seem to lose Rob sometime in January.

[El_Nina]

Some huge snowflakes here the last half hour or so. Really was coming down hard for awhile there. Now it looks like the back edge is moving closer. 

 

Probably 1/4" on the roof, grassy surfaces and cars with that band.

Are you in my yard?

[Jesse]

Are you in my yard?

 

I think we're close to the same longitude.