Pacific Northwest Weather -June 2023

[Phil]

20 minutes ago, Eugene-5SW said:

Texas is a big state. The heatwave is more in the southwest part, not the Dallas area. Cotulla had a week straight of double-digit departures with 2 weeks of highs around 110º. I'd say that's a legit heatwave.

Ugh I’m getting nauseous just reading that. Not a dry heat either, heat indices were 130+ in some areas.

[TT-SEA]

1 hour ago, TT-SEA said:

The heavens are obscured by a thick blanket of clouds here.   

Heavens have opened up! 

[Deweydog]

All my ex’s live in Texas.

[Cold Snap]

1 hour ago, TT-SEA said:

That being said... dewpoint in Dallas is currently 76 which is pretty miserable.

Yeah I just got off the plane in St kitts where the DP is 74. Felt like a warm rag smacked me in the face when I walked outside.

[Phil]

2009 also had a nasty heatwave in Mexico/S-Texas IIRC. Easier to narrow/suppress the EPAC Hadley Cell descending branch in El Niño regime (especially in tandem w/ -PMM), so makes sense the 4CH/heat dome is displaced to the south this year.

Of course there are cases like 2015 where the +PMM/WPAC-triggered El Niño development maintains a broad Hadley Cell and expansive heat dome into the lower-48. But that’s not the canonical evolution, despite some more recent years evolving that way. The behavior following the 1976 climate shift is more of an anomaly than anything.

[Phil]

00z EPS VP200 evolution is…confusing. To say the least. Just a sea of overlapping interference patterns, associated w/ state dependent expressions of Asian monsoons, low pass/ENSO, and CCKW/MJO.

I expect something to change in modeled tropical convection soon. Either seasonal/monsoonal expressions or MJO will emerge dominant. I think??

[TT-SEA]

12Z ECMWF for next Sunday

[Anti Marine Layer]

19 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

12Z ECMWF for next Sunday

Hopefully California is included this time.

[Anti Marine Layer]

2 hours ago, TT-SEA said:

The heavens are obscured by a thick blanket of clouds here.   

Marine layer up north is not hazy under it, which is kind of strange considering they have colder water and even stronger inversions than California does.

[TT-SEA]

3 minutes ago, Anti Marine Layer said:

Marine layer up north is not hazy under it, which is kind of strange considering they have colder water and even stronger inversions than California does.

I think the inversions are stronger down there with warmer air aloft normally.   Also... my area is a 3 hour drive to the cold WA coast.   Its a different world over there.

[LowerGarfield]

1 hour ago, Anti Marine Layer said:

Hopefully California is included this time.

So thankful we're going to a hotel that day.

[SnowWillarrive]

1 hour ago, Anti Marine Layer said:

Marine layer up north is not hazy under it, which is kind of strange considering they have colder water and even stronger inversions than California does.

We are far away from the Pacific Coast. The ocean is 100 miles from here. 

[LowerGarfield]

Currently it's 84F  and sunny outside at my location. Dallas is bad but it's the worst in South Texas with heat in the 110's or flirting with 120F. My sister who lives in DFW is in Germany for another week I think so she's lucky.

[MossMan]

2 hours ago, Deweydog said:

All my ex’s live in Texas.

My ex boss lives there! And a few friends that hated Inslee so much they uprooted their lives to move to that flat heat dome from hell. At least my old boss moved there about 17 years ago before it was the cool thing to do. 

[MossMan]

14 minutes ago, LowerGarfield said:

So thankful we're going to a hotel that day.

Hope it’s a lovely place. 

[YahRaEl]

Up to 70° so far here at Eastside Tacoma 

72° in Spanaway at my family neighborhood

67° in Lakewood at my wife family neighborhood

[LowerGarfield]

23 minutes ago, MossMan said:

Hope it’s a lovely place. 

Oh it is! Best Western in Moscow, ID, across the street from the University of Idaho Kibbie Dome.  I'm sure @TT-SEA has stayed there before. The pool rooms are fabulous and the indoor pool is always the perfect temperature year round.  The room has a backdoor directly to the pool. I hate most pools because I like to be warm but it's just right. By comparison I need a scalding bath or shower even when it's 100F outside. Roof is well designed like you'd see in Leavenworth or Cle Elum with a sloping snow A-Frame with lots of natural light. The free breakfast is fantastic. It's become an annual tradition of ours the last three years for the 4th, staying a few nights. Planning on going to Pullman's fireworks show on the 4th. Original reason was because I wanted to go somewhere I can use A/C if the 4th is hot (i.e. smoke from fireworks) but it's one of the few nuclear family traditions we have of just us three.

We had a white Christmas at this hotel in 2020. Pulled my son on a sled through the back courtyard on an incline. It was fun. Maybe 2-3 inches of snow that year.

[YahRaEl]

Awaiting the JBLM (Joint Base Lewis McChord) airshow/expo next month July 14-16th. 

[TT-SEA]

Garden has become a jungle now.   The June mega-trough and consecutive days in the 50s did nothing to slow it down.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Well at least I’ll be in Coos Bay next weekend.

[the_convergence_zone]

4th of July heatwave looks likely according to the Euro. Seems to be a short lived one at least. 

The lolGFS has something totally different but I’m sure it will come around to the correct solution eventually. 

[LowerGarfield]

Down to 76F. NWS says some scattered t-storm activity to our south? But haven't heard or seen anything yet. Went from bright and sunny to dark and overcast.

[TT-SEA]

6 hours ago, TT-SEA said:

The heavens are obscured by a thick blanket of clouds here.   

Dark and gloomy early morning became a picture perfect summer afternoon in the mid 70s.  

[TT-SEA]

36 minutes ago, the_convergence_zone said:

4th of July heatwave looks likely according to the Euro. Seems to be a short lived one at least. 

The lolGFS has something totally different but I’m sure it will come around to the correct solution eventually. 

18Z GFS is not exactly cold for the 4th...

[Cascadia_Wx]

79 here for a high so far after a fairly cool low of 51. Some brief morning low clouds but otherwise mostly sunny and clear.

Models are insanely demoralizing right now, but that’s pretty much the warm season around here anymore.

[Anti Marine Layer]

10 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

18Z GFS is not exactly cold for the 4th...

Coast should be spared with temperatures in the upper 50s.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

3 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

79 here for a high so far after a fairly cool low of 51. Some brief morning low clouds but otherwise mostly sunny and clear.

Models are insanely demoralizing right now, but that’s pretty much the warm season around here anymore.

Yeah going to be pretty bleak until probably about next March or April. 

[Deweydog]

It’s June 24th

[TacomaWx]

Hit 80 yesterday afternoon here but cooler today just 71 so far. Have been working nights this last week and got off a 14 hour shift at 7am today. Was some cool thunderstorm activity over the cascades last night. 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Watching the 2nd week of July for near normal temps.

[Anti Marine Layer]

2 hours ago, Deweydog said:

It’s June 24th

Ten days until July 4th.

[Anti Marine Layer]

Notice how Palm Springs is not hot until they reach 110 F.

[Deweydog]

55 minutes ago, Anti Marine Layer said:

Ten days until July 4th.

20 until the 14th

[Deweydog]

Gorgeous evening, btw… 

[Anti Marine Layer]

9 minutes ago, Deweydog said:

Gorgeous evening, btw… 

Hooray

[YahRaEl]

75° for high today here at Eastside Tacoma 

[YahRaEl]

Wasn't 2012 summer the year with most number of thunderstorms for both Western Oregon and Washington I could swear that Cliff Mass said it was. 

[Rubus Leucodermis]

High of 65.8˚F here today. Ran into a popup shower near Lynden this afternoon.

[TigerWoodsLibido]

59F and a nice, calm night.

[snow maniac]

13 hours ago, the_convergence_zone said:

4th of July heatwave looks likely according to the Euro. Seems to be a short lived one at least. 

The lolGFS has something totally different but I’m sure it will come around to the correct solution eventually. 

Yuck!