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Pacific Northwest Weather -June 2023


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1 minute ago, TT-SEA said:

Those maps don't even show high temps.   WB is much better in that regard.

He is right about Thursday being a bit cooler.   The other days are essentially the same as the 00Z run.   I didn't even notice Thursday.   

This place is much more tolerable in winter. Y'all argue over some simple stuff. 

It is summer. It will be warm and dry. End of story. 

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PWS: https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KWAPORTA220

2023-2024 Snow Total: 18" (6 events)

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1 minute ago, Front Ranger said:

So you're not going to post the same comparison maps for 7/5 and 7/6? They were notable cooler for most the region on the 12z compared to the 0z. 

The mid range overall, as I said.

Did you see that I posted yesterday morning about the 12Z ECMWF being significantly cooler than its 00Z run the day before?   Shocker!   I literally did what you accused me of not doing.  😀 

The 12Z run today was not much different than its 00Z run other than Thursday.   Once again... I apologize for not noticing Thursday!    

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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1 minute ago, Port Angeles Foothiller said:

This place is much more tolerable in winter. Y'all argue over some simple stuff. 

It is summer. It will be warm and dry. End of story. 

No doubt... totally agree.  

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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13 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Very interesting list. Locally 2011, 2005, 1998 were all solidly below average. 1995 was about average/slightly below. 1982 was well above normal up here, actually slightly warmer than this month will end up. 

Interesting as this winter reminded people a lot of 1981-1982 up here with all of the big snow storms. Then the following winter 1982-1983 was a super El Nino and this next winter looks to be headed toward a strong El Nino at least. 

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4 minutes ago, Front Ranger said:

7/5 and 7/6. 12z top, 0z bottom. Since Tim refuses to post WB comparison like he did for 7/4.

7/5

ecmwf_T2m_nwus_51.png

ecmwf_T2m_nwus_53.png

 

7/6

ecmwf_T2m_nwus_55.png

ecmwf_T2m_nwus_57.png

So much going on... was downloading maps.     How many times do I have to say that I did not notice Thursday?  😀

7/5 differences are pretty minor for the Seattle area.   Not worth mentioning.    

And side note... it gets hotter again on the 12Z run on Friday and Saturday.  Except for Thursday... the runs are very similar.     But I would gladly post about the next run being significantly cooler if it works out that way.   I literally did that just yesterday.  

ecmwf-deterministic-washington-t2m_f_max6-8601600 (3).png

ecmwf-deterministic-washington-t2m_f_max6-8601600 (4).png

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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6 minutes ago, Front Ranger said:

What about Silver Falls?

No June data yet. 

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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5 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

So much going on... was downloading maps.     How many times do I have to say that I did not notice Thursday?  😀

7/5 differences are pretty minor for the Seattle area.   Not worth mentioning.    

And side note... it gets hotter again on the 12Z run on Friday and Saturday.  Except for Thursday... the runs are very similar.     But I would gladly post about the next run being significantly cooler if it works out that way.   I literally did that just yesterday.  

ecmwf-deterministic-washington-t2m_f_max6-8601600 (3).png

ecmwf-deterministic-washington-t2m_f_max6-8601600 (4).png

Wed and Thu are both cooler for the region, as my maps illustrated. 7/5 and 7/6, as I said.

A forum for the end of the world.

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2 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Nuance baffles you. If you are really that big of an idiot, then believe whatever you want. 

In that context “top-5 warm June” could also be interpreted as nuance. One subject multiple predicates. That is improper writing, Andrew. 👨‍🏫 

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3 minutes ago, Phil said:

In that context “top-5 warm June” could also be interpreted as nuance. One subject multiple predicates. That is improper writing, Andrew. 👨‍🏫 

You might be dumber than Tim, at least he lives here. 

Edited by SilverFallsAndrew
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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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10 minutes ago, Front Ranger said:

7/5 and 7/6. 12z top, 0z bottom. Since Tim refuses to post WB comparison like he did for 7/4.

7/5

ecmwf_T2m_nwus_51.png

ecmwf_T2m_nwus_53.png

 

7/6

ecmwf_T2m_nwus_55.png

ecmwf_T2m_nwus_57.png

Here. Afternoon 7/4 to afternoon 7/7.

IMG_4523.gif

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3 minutes ago, Front Ranger said:

Wed and Thu are both cooler for the region, as my maps illustrated. 7/5 and 7/6, as I said.

As I said... I literally did not notice Thursday.   The rest of the days looked very similar and it did not stand out to me as a much cooler run like the 12Z run yesterday.   But then the 00Z run the night before was just stupid hot.

Sunny and 80 degrees here now.   If I had a magic wand... every day next week would be a carbon copy of today.  

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Just now, Phil said:

Wanna do an IQ test? 🤓

You and Tim can do one, actually I'm sure you both would do very well. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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All this goofiness about minor details and the 00Z ECMWF will probably be a little warmer.   😀   

Jared - I wouldn't have said anything about your post if you didn't say 'SHOCKER' implying that I would not point out major changes when I always do that.    I did it just yesterday when the 12Z run was much cooler than its 00Z run across the board.

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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1 minute ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

You and Tim can do one, actually I'm sure you both would do very well. 

Haha. Actually don’t really believe in IQ. 

But I think I have a brain training app on my phone somewhere. I’m curious.

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1 minute ago, Phil said:

Haha. Actually don’t really believe in IQ. 

But I think I have a brain training app on my phone somewhere. I’m curious.

He is right about me... not smart.   😁

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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2 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

All this goofiness about minor details and the 00Z ECMWF will probably be a little warmer.   😀   

Jared - I wouldn't have said anything about your post if you didn't say 'SHOCKER' implying that I would not point out major changes when I always do that.    I did it just yesterday when the 12Z run was much cooler than its 00Z run.

All of this discussion and the 0z tonight will just go back to warmer.

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PWS: https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KWAPORTA220

2023-2024 Snow Total: 18" (6 events)

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Just now, Port Angeles Foothiller said:

All of this discussion and the 0z tonight will just go back to warmer.

And prepare for a real SHOCKER... Jared will not be anywhere to be found if that happens.   😀

Personally I would be giddy about upper 70s all next week.   So much more enjoyable.   Summer warmth definitely has diminishing returns when the temp gets above 85.    Above 90 and its pretty miserable to be outside.   

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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2 minutes ago, Port Angeles Foothiller said:

Here is a topic for the next 3 forum pages... what is the temp of Lake Sammamish?

Nice! 

Water temp is currently 73... big rebound from mid 60s last week.    Will probably be around 75-77 on the 4th which will be perfect with air temp in the low 90s.  

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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3 minutes ago, Port Angeles Foothiller said:

Here is a topic for the next 3 forum pages... what is the temp of Lake Sammamish?

Uh oh. Time to bring out the faulty depth finder, built by Chinese slave labor.

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2 minutes ago, Phil said:

Uh oh. Time to bring out the faulty depth finder, built by Chinese slave labor.

Pic from last Sunday... kids were in the water all day.    Summer at its best!

Screenshot_20230629-141907_Gallery.jpg

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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3 hours ago, ShawniganLake said:

Looks like summer is over in North Bend. Doubt they crack 80 again until 2024.  Poor Tim 

This did not age well... as Jared would say ;)

Screenshot_20230629-142915_Chrome.jpg

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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5 minutes ago, Front Ranger said:

Is it just me, or is Tim's kid airborne in every pic he posts of him?

Always been that way.   I worry about him.  

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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27 minutes ago, Phil said:

Haha. Actually don’t really believe in IQ. 

But I think I have a brain training app on my phone somewhere. I’m curious.

Ok yeah, IQ is a bunch of BS. There’s no way. 😂 

IMG_4524.jpeg

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3 minutes ago, T-Town said:

The trick is to identify the smart people and get them to help you. 

I try to do that with Phil.   He definitely has superior intelligence.  

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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2 minutes ago, Phil said:

Ok yeah, IQ is a bunch of BS. There’s no way. 😂 

IMG_4524.jpeg

It's possible. You are a very gifted, not quite young man. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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19 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Pic from last Sunday... kids were in the water all day.    Summer at its best!

Screenshot_20230629-141907_Gallery.jpg

Looks like fun. ☀️ Always love a no-obligations summer weekend with friends and family.

Just be careful they don’t get burned by that hot water.

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10 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

It's possible. You are a very gifted, not quite young man. 

Appreciate the kind words, though if true I don’t have much to show for it. 😄 Save maybe a couple good forecasts for a narrow stripe of SSTs in the equatorial pacific.

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17 minutes ago, T-Town said:

Looks pretty good for God’s Country. 

North Bend is always the coldest place... probably be raining here for the next week thanks to orographic lifting.

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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