SilverFallsAndrew Posted June 14, 2020 Report Share Posted June 14, 2020 Only got up to 54 today. 0.33” of rain. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted June 14, 2020 Report Share Posted June 14, 2020 You see, I wouldn’t dislike this pattern if we were actually getting these thunderstorms. There were some epic ones in southern Oregon two days ago and of course let’s not forget the late May event. But nope, here it’s just been chilly insipid drizzly stratosh*t with no more than 0.2” a day. The kind of weather only a Jesse could love.Give it time. Severe weather comes in bunches here too with lots of swings and misses in-between. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted June 14, 2020 Author Report Share Posted June 14, 2020 23.58” YTD here.Thought Tacoma would be a bit drier. You guys are shadowed in NW flow, right? HIO is at 14.71” YTD. Feb-May total was 6.35” which is lower than the average for Los Angeles and Salt Lake City. You need SW flow to get above average precip at HIO... we just haven’t really seen it since late January. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted June 14, 2020 Report Share Posted June 14, 2020 You see, I wouldn’t dislike this pattern if we were actually getting these thunderstorms. There were some epic ones in southern Oregon two days ago and of course let’s not forget the late May event. But nope, here it’s just been chilly insipid drizzly stratosh*t with no more than 0.2” a day. The kind of weather only a Jesse could love.Do you realize where you live? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted June 14, 2020 Report Share Posted June 14, 2020 Extremely heavy rain and 48. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted June 14, 2020 Report Share Posted June 14, 2020 Not sure what the stats say but feels like an extended late June hot spell would probably be a bad omen for the summer.2015 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted June 14, 2020 Report Share Posted June 14, 2020 2015This late spring and early summer has not resembled 2015 at all, though. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted June 14, 2020 Report Share Posted June 14, 2020 This late spring and early summer has not resembled 2015 at all, though.One can houpe! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted June 14, 2020 Report Share Posted June 14, 2020 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted June 14, 2020 Report Share Posted June 14, 2020 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted June 14, 2020 Report Share Posted June 14, 2020 Aren’t you the guy who enjoys wildfire smoke?Those were both great smoke years. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted June 14, 2020 Report Share Posted June 14, 2020 July 2015 August 2017 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted June 14, 2020 Report Share Posted June 14, 2020 Thought Tacoma would be a bit drier. You guys are shadowed in NW flow, right?HIO is at 14.71” YTD. Feb-May total was 6.35” which is lower than the average for Los Angeles and Salt Lake City. You need SW flow to get above average precip at HIO... we just haven’t really seen it since late January. Wow under 15” still that’s crazy. Yeah NW flow generally shadows us. Our main rain makers are SW flow as well at this location. I would have to check what some other stations are YTD in around western WA. I’d bet we are one of the drier locations though. Feb-May had 12.03” here. 1 Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted June 14, 2020 Report Share Posted June 14, 2020 Hit 47 this morning...coldest morning low since 5/22. Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Swamp Posted June 14, 2020 Report Share Posted June 14, 2020 the upcoming heat wave has just about been watered down to nothing fully expect the models to cloud up the forecast each day from here until about Tuesday and then add rain into the mix for fathers day Tim, you nailed it with the "default troughing" position it is it what it is Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted June 14, 2020 Report Share Posted June 14, 2020 Picked up about an inch with that heavy shower last night. Up to near 3.5” on the month. Currently partly cloudy and 45. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted June 14, 2020 Report Share Posted June 14, 2020 Thought Tacoma would be a bit drier. You guys are shadowed in NW flow, right? HIO is at 14.71” YTD. Feb-May total was 6.35” which is lower than the average for Los Angeles and Salt Lake City. You need SW flow to get above average precip at HIO... we just haven’t really seen it since late January.Edge just a bit further North and the rain shadow sucks up a bit more of the precipitation.19.94” ytd 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted June 14, 2020 Report Share Posted June 14, 2020 Edge just a bit further North and the rain shadow sucks up a bit more of the precipitation.19.94” ytd You have 3.5” less rain YTD and you’re only like 5-7 miles east of here? Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted June 14, 2020 Report Share Posted June 14, 2020 Federal Way sunny with clouds in the distance 52* currently with a low of 47* SE PDX mostly cloudy with a few breaks of blue.54* Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted June 14, 2020 Report Share Posted June 14, 2020 Had a low of 46..06” so far on the day, 2.75” on the month. Cloudy Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted June 14, 2020 Report Share Posted June 14, 2020 You have 3.5” less rain YTD and you’re only like 5-7 miles east of here?Tough one to figure out. Their are two stations not far away from my place. One always reading the same as mine while the other more. My bucket is located 12 feet off the ground between two houses and of course this is a wind tunnel during the storms so I know this is giving me inaccurate data. Just need to move the bucket up on the roof but the spot it’s in Is so nice for maintenance reasons. I was running pretty close to Seatac measurements before I had to move the bucket this past year. Now Seatac is beating me as well. Their currently at 22.30” Edit: Your area does do better with precipitation though. Tacoma seems to be on the line of the precipitation field when w e’re being shadowed. I also noticed as showers flow in from the WSW they seem to loose intensity as they approach my area. Unsure of the dynamics that play out in that situations. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jakeinthevalley Posted June 14, 2020 Report Share Posted June 14, 2020 Brother just texted from Baker City. 37f with rain snow mix 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted June 14, 2020 Report Share Posted June 14, 2020 Keep the chains in your car if you are travelling the passes in southern B.C. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted June 14, 2020 Report Share Posted June 14, 2020 the upcoming heat wave has just about been watered down to nothing fully expect the models to cloud up the forecast each day from here until about Tuesday and then add rain into the mix for fathers day Tim, you nailed it with the "default troughing" position it is it what it isThat shows a solidly warm pattern in the mid to long range. Just because it’s not a heatwave doesn’t meant it’s troughing. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted June 14, 2020 Report Share Posted June 14, 2020 12Z GFS shows rain for the coast and Vancouver Island right into next weekend... and its been trending farther south and east with each run. I am just hoping for a couple days without rain at this point and that feels like it might be tough to achieve. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted June 14, 2020 Report Share Posted June 14, 2020 Tough one to figure out. Their are two stations not far away from my place. One always reading the same as mine while the other more. My bucket is located 12 feet off the ground between two houses and of course this is a wind tunnel during the storms so I know this is giving me inaccurate data. Just need to move the bucket up on the roof but the spot it’s in Is so nice for maintenance reasons. I was running pretty close to Seatac measurements before I had to move the bucket this past year. Now Seatac is beating me as well. Their currently at 22.30”Edit: Your area does do better with precipitation though. Tacoma seems to be on the line of the precipitation field when w e’re being shadowed. I also noticed as showers flow in from the WSW they seem to loose intensity as they approach my area. Unsure of the dynamics that play out in that situations. your area does have slightly less rain in general. However I think your station may be slightly underreporting rainfall as well. Your probably at like 22”-22.5” roughly YTD if I had to guess. 1 Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted June 14, 2020 Report Share Posted June 14, 2020 It’s been a nice mostly sunny morning here. Might actually get our first day without rainfall in 5 days. Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted June 14, 2020 Report Share Posted June 14, 2020 12Z GFS shows rain for the coast and Vancouver Island right into next weekend... and its been trending farther south and east with each run. I am just hoping for a couple days without rain at this point and that feels like it might be tough to achieve.Is today still looking mostly dry? Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted June 14, 2020 Report Share Posted June 14, 2020 Is today still looking mostly dry? Probably for your area. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted June 14, 2020 Report Share Posted June 14, 2020 Probably for your area.Might try to mow today...Hopefully the mower doesn’t sink. Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted June 14, 2020 Report Share Posted June 14, 2020 12Z GFS shows rain for the coast and Vancouver Island right into next weekend... and its been trending farther south and east with each run. I am just hoping for a couple days without rain at this point and that feels like it might be tough to achieve.I font know about rain, but flow does look relatively westerly on most guidance now. Model soundings now show a quasi-diurnal marine layer component beneath the mid-level ridge. Not really a heat-favorable setup for the westside? Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted June 14, 2020 Report Share Posted June 14, 2020 I font know about rain, but flow does look relatively westerly on most guidance now. Model soundings now show a quasi-diurnal marine layer component beneath the mid-level ridge. Not really a heat-favorable setup for the westside? We need a thermal low pressure, bringing east winds and downsloping, to pump up the heat in the Willamette Valley. Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted June 14, 2020 Report Share Posted June 14, 2020 I font know about rain, but flow does look relatively westerly on most guidance now. Model soundings now show a quasi-diurnal marine layer component beneath the mid-level ridge. Not really a heat-favorable setup for the westside?Not even close. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Swamp Posted June 14, 2020 Report Share Posted June 14, 2020 That shows a solidly warm pattern in the mid to long range. Just because it’s not a heatwave doesn’t meant it’s troughing.give it some time and watch the bright green line, the operational each day clouds are getting added, temperatures are getting cooler and before you know it rain and drippy will be added the trend is not my friend it's your friend though Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted June 14, 2020 Report Share Posted June 14, 2020 give it some time and watch the bright green line, the operational each day clouds are getting added, temperatures are getting cooler and before you know it rain and drippy will be added the trend is not my friend it's your friend thoughThis stuff gets old. I would love to see some warm and sunny days. We’ve definitively earned some lately. A short heat wave would even be nice for some variability. Going into an extended heat pattern wouldn’t be my cup of tea though, and I would be just fine with troughs and rain again at some point in the next three months to keep the fire threat down and keep things green. But it’s more nuanced than I want it to rain every day all summer. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted June 14, 2020 Report Share Posted June 14, 2020 I don’t see the problem with the 12z GFS? Looks like a long stretch of dry weather with temps in the 70s and 80s in the mid to long range. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted June 14, 2020 Report Share Posted June 14, 2020 We need a thermal low pressure, bringing east winds and downsloping, to pump up the heat in the Willamette Valley.That would actually be more of a shoulder season heat pattern, typically. Generally in the summer all it takes is increasing subsidence as the 4CH expands and turns off marine influence. I guess it could be argued that our REALLY hot days see some sort of offshore flow component, even in the mid summer. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted June 14, 2020 Report Share Posted June 14, 2020 This stuff gets old. I would love to see some warm and sunny days. We’ve definitively earned some lately. A short heat wave would even be nice for some variability. Going into an extended heat pattern wouldn’t be my cup of tea though, and I would be just fine with troughs and rain again at some point in the next three months to keep the fire threat down and keep things green. But it’s more nuanced than I want it to rain every day all summer.#poorjesse 3 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted June 14, 2020 Report Share Posted June 14, 2020 Looks like the second half of June might be warmer than the first. 2020 weirdness abounds. 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted June 14, 2020 Report Share Posted June 14, 2020 #poorjesseYeah, sorry to steal the spotlight from the ever downtrodden PNW heat lover for a minute. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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