Jump to content

August 2023 Observations and Discussion


Recommended Posts

After the overnight showers we should see some great weather through the weekend. We will start below normal temperatures through Saturday....we then start a big warmup that could actually bring the first 90+ day to my station here in East Nantmeal in over 2 years! The last 90+ day was way back on June 30, 2021. In fact we could see a few days in a row over 90 degrees...especially in the lower elevations of the county.
Records for today: High 100 (1953) / Low 39 (1986) / Rain 3.40" (1946)
image.png.242bd8492df3a49eb5906ad8b9785aef.png

DISCLAMER: All historical weather data analytics posted by me is specifically for the climate of Chester County PA. The data has been statistically validated (p <0.05) for this county as accurate for the period 1894 to Present. This statistical significance has been proven across multiple NWS observers and site changes across a <9 nautical mile area of Western Chester County. We continually analyze the actual raw non-adjusted NWS certified Coop observed climate data for Chester County.  We ensure there is no post observation adjustments to any of the detailed analytics.  Unlike NOAA, we do not apply post observation adjustments to the historical raw data from the trained NWS observers and spotters.  

Average Chester County PA Snow at elevations over 660 FT ASL (1983-Present) = 35.9" Snow totals by season: 2022/23 (2.7") /2021/22 (20.5")  2020/21 snow  (52.2") /  2019/20 snow (5.8" )/ 2018/19 snow (35.1" )/ 2017/18 snow (58.5") / 2016/17 snow (24.0")/ 2015/16 snow (40.8")/ 2014/15 snow = (55.3") /2013/14 snow (80.0").

Check out the historical Western Chester County PA website at https://www.chescowx.com.  Follow me on twitter at https://twitter.com/ChescoWx and join us on the #1 social media source for all things Chester County weather on the Chester County Weather Page at https://www.facebook.com/groups/chescowx

National Weather Service  SKYWARN® Trained Spotter CHPA-174

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Couldn't ask for a better end to summer with this upcoming Labor Day weekend.  I will be heading up north to the lake house on Lake Michigan.   Temps in the 80's, sun and fun at the beach and golf all weekend.   

I expect some schools without AC will be closed next week, at least tuesday.  

  • Like 3
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Upper 90’s till Sunday then a week of heat as the 100’s return.  Summer isn’t done.  
Lows 78-low 80’s.  

  • Facepalm 1

Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes.

“If I owned Texas and Hell, I would rent out Texas and live in Hell.”  Gen. Sheridan 1866

2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4*

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Blue Super Moon tonight. 

Look Up! 

  • Like 2

Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes.

“If I owned Texas and Hell, I would rent out Texas and live in Hell.”  Gen. Sheridan 1866

2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4*

Link to comment
Share on other sites

On 8/25/2023 at 9:04 AM, tStacsh said:

Just north of my area by a few miles.  But for sure a tornado.  We had straight line winds of 70 mph at least.  Major damage around my area.  Trees down everywhere.   I got my kids in the basement before the sirens even blew after i saw the signature on velocity radar.  Two cells merge and a tornado for sure spun up.  Don't think it was on the ground long, but it ripped apart a few houses and neighborhoods just north of my area. 

Closest call to a tornado in my lifetime.  Much scarier when you have a house and kids.   

My brother in law was on a golf course right where the tornado signature was.  He got trapped there as a tree fell on the road and there is only one way in or out.  

wind.JPG.993dd2401a81be29d87854c34124dfc0.JPGpossibletornado.JPG.9438548dfbaebc35da4a92490ebd6efd.JPGtornado.JPG.246c757dde24b23ae34fd51a6481dff1.JPG

I get what you said. Back in '02 we had an F3 OTG heading right at our place with 2 year olds. Fortunately, the thing split about 1/2 mile before it got to us and we endured straight line winds and little damage. I heard the TV reporter who was caught in it and the adrenaline rush influence was obvious. It was the closest call (too close thank you) I have had personally. 

  • Like 2

Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 2.3"    Largest Storm: 2.1" (11/26-27)        Oct: 0.2 Nov: 2.1 Dec: 0.0 Jan: 0.0 Feb: 0.0 Mar: 0.0 Apr: 0.0

Annual avg for mby = 45.0"  (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5"   2021-22 = 35.6"    

Avg = 49.7"  (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2"   2019-20 = 48.0"   2018-19 = 56.1"   2017-18 = 68.3"    2016-17 = 52"    2015-16 = 57.4"    2014-15 = 55.3"    2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"    2011-12 = 43.7"

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

Link to comment
Share on other sites

On 8/28/2023 at 9:56 AM, chescowxman said:
Cloudy and still a bit humid today with rain chances increasing from south to north late tonight through Tuesday night. Models are bit all over the place on amounts but a general 0.25" to 0.75" look likely. The weather looks great from Wednesday PM through next weekend. Chilly temps toward the end of the week but warming by the end of the weekend.
Records for today: High 98 (1973) Low 38 (1982) - of note this was the earliest sub-40 degree reading in Chester County since records began in 1888. Record Rain 3.23" (2011)
image.png.50cec3c15e326a3c53cb45baabe50de8.png

Yeah, I posted autumn of 1981 before, but '82 was the lead-in to my first Super Nino and the holiday season "flip" that was so dramatic (and disgusting since it was my first year owning a snowmobile) I went into a mild depression lol. Especially with the previous winter having been a top-5 season. 

Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 2.3"    Largest Storm: 2.1" (11/26-27)        Oct: 0.2 Nov: 2.1 Dec: 0.0 Jan: 0.0 Feb: 0.0 Mar: 0.0 Apr: 0.0

Annual avg for mby = 45.0"  (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5"   2021-22 = 35.6"    

Avg = 49.7"  (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2"   2019-20 = 48.0"   2018-19 = 56.1"   2017-18 = 68.3"    2016-17 = 52"    2015-16 = 57.4"    2014-15 = 55.3"    2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"    2011-12 = 43.7"

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

Link to comment
Share on other sites

On 8/25/2023 at 6:55 AM, Iceresistance said:

There was another one in Webberville, MI (Location confirmed), and it was MUCH stronger compared to the one near Grand Rapids, MI

Well, ofc on my day off I had to go "see" if you could really tell there had been a TOR along I-96. Not only was it obvious, but it was obvious the x-way had been so littered with tree debris that it had to have been impassable at certain areas. The worst was just SE of Williamston. Webberville is east of there so between both small towns actually. It was also a long/large area of damage that we typically don't get too much up here any more. I tried to get some decent shots as traffic westbound was cruising at 80+. Eastbound was almost closed as they were still working to recover a vehicle way down in the median. Police news report said it was unclear whether the fatality was a car that just drove into the twister or had pulled over along the shoulder? (it must've been tossed or rolled really hard). I saw a video of a UPS semi driver caught in it and he said "I thought I was going to die". From the evidence I saw days later, it must have been bloody hell to have been caught out there, especially rain-wrapped & after dark! Saw corn just flattened lower than a crop circle for the first time in my life too. Anyways, sorry so tardy posting these, but it's a bit of work getting them from phone to laptop folder for attaching. Prolly a better way but I am not that gadget savvy tbh. Image 1: flattened billboard Image 2: trees sheared off in one of many such places. Image 3: (zoom in far left of photo near my window frame you will see 4 guys working to recover some kind of vehicle)

IMG_20230827_114647622.jpg

IMG_20230827_114739870.jpg

IMG_20230827_114821103.jpg

  • Like 2
  • scream 3

Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 2.3"    Largest Storm: 2.1" (11/26-27)        Oct: 0.2 Nov: 2.1 Dec: 0.0 Jan: 0.0 Feb: 0.0 Mar: 0.0 Apr: 0.0

Annual avg for mby = 45.0"  (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5"   2021-22 = 35.6"    

Avg = 49.7"  (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2"   2019-20 = 48.0"   2018-19 = 56.1"   2017-18 = 68.3"    2016-17 = 52"    2015-16 = 57.4"    2014-15 = 55.3"    2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"    2011-12 = 43.7"

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

Link to comment
Share on other sites

At this time, it looks like most Michigan locations will see a cooler than average August. One exception looks like it may be Muskegon. Today and tomorrow will be cool before warming up for the weekend. Then it looks like there will be a chance of several very warm days but it looks like there will be some wind with the warm reading so it should not be too bad.

The official H/L yesterday at Grand Rapids was 72/53. There was no rain fall and the sun was out 90% of the possible time. Southwest Michigan had the warmest readings in the state yesterday as temperatures in SW Michigan were mostly in the 70’s in other parts of the state they were only in the 60’s The overnight low here in MBY so far is the current reading of 48. The week ahead looks to be warm and dry with highs warming the upper 80’s for the most part and lows mostly in the 60’s. We took a road trip up to Bay City yesterday and in spots there is some nice color on the trees.

  • Like 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

It is officially one of the coolest mornings of the season ever since I got here back in late JUN.  I left the windows open downstairs on purpose all night and its so refreshing.  It's a cool, crip 52F and a gorgeous glowing Full Moon.  I stepped outside earlier this morning and the amount of light shining down from the Moon is pretty wild.  Not a good day to go fishing!

  • Like 4
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Multiple nights in the past week in the 30's. Leaves changing and ferns turning brown. Falls is here. Nice warm up this weekend. That Blue super moon had the big fish moving last night. Only manged the one in the net at 36". Had a 40" class come off boatside and missed 3 others in 3hr window last evening

20230830_201531.jpg

  • Like 8
Link to comment
Share on other sites

54 minutes ago, Madtown said:

Multiple nights in the past week in the 30's. Leaves changing and ferns turning brown. Falls is here. Nice warm up this weekend. That Blue super moon had the big fish moving last night. Only manged the one in the net at 36". Had a 40" class come off boatside and missed 3 others in 3hr window last evening

20230830_201531.jpg

Someone once told me fishing with the Moon light just before sunrise isn't really good bc the big fish easily feast all night long.  Prob better to go just before sunset?

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Dew point is in the 50s in Houston. That's insane for this time of year, usually you can't force them out of the 70s. 

  • Like 1
  • Facepalm 1

>1" snowfalls at KALX in 2023-24:

 

Total 2023-24 snowfall at KALX:                                            Coldest Minimum:

Link to comment
Share on other sites

98 today and tomorrow then back to 100 but it feel tolerable compared to the highs a week ago.  
Ready for Fall and rain!⛈

  • Like 1

Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes.

“If I owned Texas and Hell, I would rent out Texas and live in Hell.”  Gen. Sheridan 1866

2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4*

Link to comment
Share on other sites

2 hours ago, Tom said:

Finally, the PHX valley is outlooked to get some pretty good widespread Monsoon storms tonight thru FRI pm...

PHX.png

3.png

 

I follow a facebook group based in Phoenix and sounds like its been a tough go at any t'storms this year for them.

  • Like 1

Ashland, KY Weather

'23-'24 Winter

Snowfall - __.__"
First freeze: 11/1 (32)
Minimum: 12 degrees on 11/29

Measurable snows: TBA

Thunders: 40
1/3, 1/12, 3/1, 3/24, 3/31, 4/1, 4/5, 4/14, 4/21, 4/22
4/28, 4/30, 5/7, 5/9, 5/13, 5/16, 5/30, 5/31, 6/3, 6/19
6/26, 7/2, 7/5, 7/6, 7/9, 7/13, 7/15, 7/17, 7/18, 7/21
7/24, 7/27, 7/28, 8/6, 8/7, 8/13, 8/14, 8/25, 9/6, 9/28,

-------------------------------------------------------
[Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021]
https://imgur.com/SuGTijl

Link to comment
Share on other sites

I have family in Tucson.  Better check on them.  

Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes.

“If I owned Texas and Hell, I would rent out Texas and live in Hell.”  Gen. Sheridan 1866

2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4*

Link to comment
Share on other sites

2 back-to-back lows in the 50's here! 

I think this August went out on a cooler note than it did last year. Even though this summer was a tad warmer. The heat returns very soon but I did enjoy these false Fall days. It felt like the end of September.

  • Like 3

Ashland, KY Weather

'23-'24 Winter

Snowfall - __.__"
First freeze: 11/1 (32)
Minimum: 12 degrees on 11/29

Measurable snows: TBA

Thunders: 40
1/3, 1/12, 3/1, 3/24, 3/31, 4/1, 4/5, 4/14, 4/21, 4/22
4/28, 4/30, 5/7, 5/9, 5/13, 5/16, 5/30, 5/31, 6/3, 6/19
6/26, 7/2, 7/5, 7/6, 7/9, 7/13, 7/15, 7/17, 7/18, 7/21
7/24, 7/27, 7/28, 8/6, 8/7, 8/13, 8/14, 8/25, 9/6, 9/28,

-------------------------------------------------------
[Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021]
https://imgur.com/SuGTijl

Link to comment
Share on other sites

23 minutes ago, Timmy Supercell said:

I follow a facebook group based in Phoenix and sounds like its been a tough go at any t'storms this year for them.

They’ve had it good the past couple summers…nature has to balance herself out.  I’m sure they’ll make it up this autumn and winter again!

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

47 here this am. Felt great!  Actually  could of used another  blanket!  Unfortunately  16 straight  days of basically  zero rain. After the  rain deficits since mid April and the 100s last week this is becoming  a dire situation  in my area. But I have had 20 inches of precip in 2023.. I hear Cedar Rapids  has only had  14"?  Possibly  2nd driest  year  in history..  I used to blame  Iowa drought on the extreme  dry on west coast.  Throw that out the window. Iowa is the new south dakota.  Crazy deficits  for over a decade  now. With a few wet periods.  Of course I will NEVER FORGET THE NATIONAL  GEOGRAPHIC  IDIOT  who said in a report that climate change is causing  Iowa to float  after the mo and miss river floods and  that  could lead to world starvation!!! THAT GUY COULDN'T  HAVE BEEN MORE WRONG!    Most of Iowa in constant  drought since I saw that.  With modern crop genetics  crops still decent. 

  • Like 3
Link to comment
Share on other sites

98 tomorrow and Saturday, then back into triple digits.  
Break’s over!  
Im deep root watering to prepare for Act  2 of this play.

Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes.

“If I owned Texas and Hell, I would rent out Texas and live in Hell.”  Gen. Sheridan 1866

2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4*

Link to comment
Share on other sites

So we finished August with our 3rd below normal month in the last 4 months. The maximum temperature we recorded here in East Nantmeal during the month of August was only 83.1 degrees on the 15th. This is the lowest maximum temp for the month of August ever recorded in Chester County. The old low max record was the 84 degree max from August 1927!
Here in Chester County we finished the summer months of June through August as the 13th coldest summer (70.3) since records began 130 years ago. If we look at the 4 warm months of May thru August we finished as the 8th coldest (67.3) 4-month spring/summer stretch since 1894. See the table below for both rankings. Rain wise the June-August period was the 27th wettest summer with 17.13" of rain.
I will be sure to post the stats for the other long running NWS COOP Chester County sites across the county later today.
As cool as it has been this summer...we are about to finally get a taste of summer now that we are starting the first month of autumn. We should see widespread 90+ temps from Monday through Wednesday before we cool down to closer to normal levels by next weekend.
image.png.31a979ed102c262184c6ed0f9edf8ed5.png
  • Like 1

DISCLAMER: All historical weather data analytics posted by me is specifically for the climate of Chester County PA. The data has been statistically validated (p <0.05) for this county as accurate for the period 1894 to Present. This statistical significance has been proven across multiple NWS observers and site changes across a <9 nautical mile area of Western Chester County. We continually analyze the actual raw non-adjusted NWS certified Coop observed climate data for Chester County.  We ensure there is no post observation adjustments to any of the detailed analytics.  Unlike NOAA, we do not apply post observation adjustments to the historical raw data from the trained NWS observers and spotters.  

Average Chester County PA Snow at elevations over 660 FT ASL (1983-Present) = 35.9" Snow totals by season: 2022/23 (2.7") /2021/22 (20.5")  2020/21 snow  (52.2") /  2019/20 snow (5.8" )/ 2018/19 snow (35.1" )/ 2017/18 snow (58.5") / 2016/17 snow (24.0")/ 2015/16 snow (40.8")/ 2014/15 snow = (55.3") /2013/14 snow (80.0").

Check out the historical Western Chester County PA website at https://www.chescowx.com.  Follow me on twitter at https://twitter.com/ChescoWx and join us on the #1 social media source for all things Chester County weather on the Chester County Weather Page at https://www.facebook.com/groups/chescowx

National Weather Service  SKYWARN® Trained Spotter CHPA-174

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Unfortunately, your content contains terms that we do not allow. Please edit your content to remove the highlighted words below.
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

Loading...
×
×
  • Create New...