December 2023 Weather in the PNW

[Phil]

Just now, iFred said:

I’d say you’re on thin ice, but you grew up in Stampede, so you never knew what that threat was.

Thin ice for what? Ever consider why pro mets don’t post here?

I can tell you exactly what several have told me, if that would help. 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Wow. Please make this happen!

[Rubus Leucodermis]

3 minutes ago, Snownerd3000 said:

 

Interesting hit on the weeklies. @Rubus Leucodermis cursed me so lock it in. 

I cursed you? I don’t remember doing so.

P.S. But if I did, I’m sure you deserved it!

[Doinko]

Arctic air in BC towards the end

 

 

[Slushy Inch]

2 minutes ago, Phil said:

Thin ice for what? Ever consider why pro mets don’t post here?

I can tell you exactly what several have told me, if that would help. 

Because they are anti fun?

[Slushy Inch]

Just now, Doinko said:

Arctic air in BC towards the end

 

 

It’s going to be an eye candy end of the run. Pepto cold 

[HuskyMaestro]

31 minutes ago, RentonHill said:

Hmmmm

 

There's the tiniest sliver of green right where Fife is. This town is so f****** cursed even 9 days out on the GFS Lock it in though!

[SpaceRace22]

2 minutes ago, Phil said:

Thin ice for what? Ever consider why pro mets don’t post here?

I can tell you exactly what several have told me, if that would help. 

I get why they don't post here, but personally, I don't think that's a bad thing, necessarily. The vibe on this particular forum is completely different from any other place to discuss weather on the internet. It's the only place where people can post individual frames from individual model runs without having to make 47 million caveats about how it's not a forecast and how it almost certainly won't happen like this and blah blah blah.

There's a million places on the internet to get quality discussion from professional mets about the most likely outcomes. This place is fun because we're allowed to fantasize about unusual events and cheerlead for the crazy solutions that we know full well are unlikely to happen.

Yes there's a lot of interesting personalities, eye rolling drama, and spectacularly amateur weather takes... but that's what makes this place fun to read.

[Slushy Inch]

Just now, SpaceRace22 said:

I get why they don't post here, but personally, I don't think that's a bad thing, necessarily. The vibe on this particular forum is completely different from any other place to discuss weather on the internet. It's the only place where people can post individual frames from individual model runs without having to make 47 million caveats about how it's not a forecast and how it almost certainly won't happen like this and blah blah blah.

There's a million places on the internet to get quality discussion from professional mets about the most likely outcomes. This place is fun because we're allowed to fantasize about unusual events and cheerlead for the crazy solutions that we know full well are unlikely to happen.

Yes there's a lot of interesting personalities, eye rolling drama, and spectacularly amateur weather takes... but that's what makes this place fun to read.

It is a fun place! The hype. Especially when an event gets close.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Holy cow

[AlTahoe]

39 minutes ago, Phil said:

00z looks like it’ll be a good run for Tahoe. ️ 

Another swing and miss for the Gfs. one glancing blow storm and more inside sliders. Shows 6" in town for the first half of Jan. At least it's cold so the resorts can keep blowing snow. 

[Rubus Leucodermis]

I wouldn't be surprised if a few professional mets lurk here without posting.

Or perhaps posting only very occasionally under a pseudonym.

[MossMan]

Might get to use the plow after all! 

[Phil]

15 minutes ago, Port Angeles Foothiller said:

This guy never gives up. Slams down any shred of hope any of us have for snow. All while living 3000 miles away. Please give us the endless list of acronyms that explain why we can’t possibly get snow on the Canadian boarder in the middle of winter. 
 

I’m tagging your a$$ with every snow picture I post this year. 

How does what I said in that post constitute as “shredding hope”? I’ve never forecasted from the perspective of “hope”… what exactly do you want me to say instead?

And please do tag me. I’d love to see some snow pics. Do you think I don’t want you to see snow?

[Rubus Leucodermis]

7 minutes ago, HuskyMaestro said:

There's the tiniest sliver of green right where Fife is. This town is so f****** cursed even 9 days out on the GFS Lock it in though!

Seattle : Fife

Portland : Milwaukie

Old timers will get it.

[Deweydog]

POLAR VORTEX

[Doinko]

Cold air blasts into Northern WA, nice run!

 

[MossMan]

2 minutes ago, Deweydog said:

POLAR VORTEX

It’s coming. 

[DeepFriedEgg]

Real cold doesn’t make it south of Chehalis as usual…

[Doinko]

Cold east wind and snow as well for PDX

 

 

[Phil]

All the setups I’ve been bullish on over the years, no problems. But the one time I’m bearish, and suddenly I’m some evil troll that shouldn’t be allowed to post here? Haha.

Have you all ever known me to make a forecast based on my personal hopes and desires? That’s a recipe for failure.

[Meatyorologist]

BLAST

[Slushy Inch]

4pm

[Deweydog]

JANUARY 1998

[Doinko]

Big freezing rain/snowstorm happening at the end

 

[Slushy Inch]

Just now, Phil said:

All the setups I’ve been bullish on over the years, no problems. But the one time I’m bearish, and suddenly I’m some evil troll that shouldn’t be allowed to post here? Haha.

Have you all ever known me to make a forecast based on my personal hopes and desires? That’s a recipe for failure.

I think you’re being honest and not trolling.

[Meatyorologist]

Just now, Phil said:

All the setups I’ve been bullish on over the years, no problems. But the one time I’m bearish, and suddenly I’m some evil troll that shouldn’t be allowed to post here? Haha.

Have you all ever known me to make a forecast based on my personal hopes and desires? That’s a recipe for failure.

Do you still love us? Or haveth the hand been bitten one too many times?

[Christensen87]

CFS still looking good too. OK, now I am getting anxious. 

[Phil]

10 minutes ago, SpaceRace22 said:

I get why they don't post here, but personally, I don't think that's a bad thing, necessarily. The vibe on this particular forum is completely different from any other place to discuss weather on the internet. It's the only place where people can post individual frames from individual model runs without having to make 47 million caveats about how it's not a forecast and how it almost certainly won't happen like this and blah blah blah.

There's a million places on the internet to get quality discussion from professional mets about the most likely outcomes. This place is fun because we're allowed to fantasize about unusual events and cheerlead for the crazy solutions that we know full well are unlikely to happen.

Yes there's a lot of interesting personalities, eye rolling drama, and spectacularly amateur weather takes... but that's what makes this place fun to read.

You have a point there. Though I wouldn’t say it has to be mutually exclusive like that.

[Meatyorologist]

Just now, Christensen87 said:

CFS still looking good too. OK, now I am getting anxious. 

Bad sign

[MossMan]

1 minute ago, Meatyorologist said:

BLAST

 

[DeepFriedEgg]

First eye candy of the season.

[Phil]

Just now, Meatyorologist said:

Do you still love us? Or haveth the hand been bitten one too many times?

If I didn’t love y’all I would’ve left long ago. There’s a reason I don’t even post on AmWx anymore but still do here (and no I wasn’t banned from there, haha).

[Phil]

I’ve been so busy venting I didn’t look at the rest of the run. That’s one hell of a wavebreak and TPV dislodgement.

But now I’m afraid of giving any thoughts or opinions on it, so I won’t say a word.  

[Snownerd3000]

Where is Jim! 

[SpaceRace22]

3 minutes ago, Phil said:

All the setups I’ve been bullish on over the years, no problems. But the one time I’m bearish, and suddenly I’m some evil troll that shouldn’t be allowed to post here? Haha.

Have you all ever known me to make a forecast based on my personal hopes and desires? That’s a recipe for failure.

Idk as a long time lurker I've definitely noticed that the pattern of you shitting on the West Coasters' excitement and then getting rightfully told off is almost as predictable of a cycle on here as when tt-sea cherry picks the single warmest frame of the single warmest model and then puts on this weird, incredulous act of pretending that he is just being neutral and that he "always posts *all* solutions, both good and bad" when people get mad at him for it, lol

[Deweydog]

3 minutes ago, Phil said:

If I didn’t love y’all I would’ve left long ago. There’s a reason I don’t even post on AmWx anymore but still do here (and no I wasn’t banned from there, haha).

We’re very blessed.

[Rubus Leucodermis]

Just now, SpaceRace22 said:

Idk as a long time lurker I've definitely noticed that the pattern of you shitting on the West Coasters' excitement and then getting rightfully told off is almost as predictable of a cycle on here as when tt-sea cherry picks the single warmest frame of the single warmest model and then puts on this weird, incredulous act of pretending that he is just being neutral and that he "always posts *all* solutions, both good and bad" when people get mad at him for it, lol

Torching does not get enough love here and Tim is just modestly trying to even out the imbalance.

[Sunriver Snow Zone]

THATS A SUNRIVER TOUCHDOWN!!

[Meatyorologist]

3 minutes ago, Phil said:

I’ve been so busy venting I didn’t look at the rest of the run. That’s one hell of a wavebreak and TPV dislodgement.

But now I’m afraid of giving any thoughts or opinions on it, so I won’t say a word.  

dm me every excruciating detail