1/8-1/10 Panhandle Hook

[jcwxguy]

[jcwxguy]

icon is south but not quite as juiced

[Clinton]

0z ICON is south and colder

[Hoosier]

Would be curious to get LOT's take on it, but I think that front end snow could have like 1" per hour rates.  Won't last super long though which will keep totals from getting too high.

[hawkstwelve]

00z ICON also has close to a foot for my area. Still highly doubt it. 

[jcwxguy]

[jcwxguy]

[jcwxguy]

[Clinton]

EAX snow fall probabilities 

[winterfreak]

2 minutes ago, Clinton said:

EAX snow fall probabilities 

Very bullish.

[Clinton]

2 minutes ago, winterfreak said:

Very bullish.

That's what I though given how the models have been kinda crazy,

[jaster220]

WPC with the southern track, but kinda Grinchy with a large area of mix just north of the SLP

[Clinton]

0z GFS a couple tics stronger brings in a little more cold air.

[Money]

GFS takes the low over Milwaukee this run 

[winterfreak]

Holding serve:

[jcwxguy]

 

[Clinton]

1 minute ago, winterfreak said:

Holding serve:

Warning level snows along and north of US 54 in Kansas and Missouri.  Good run 

[hawkstwelve]

00z GFS now up to 10 inches here. Between all the other models that have come in so far tonight, I'd imagine the NWS will be upping totals from their current 3-7 inches. 

[Money]

GEM which was way south jumped a good bit north this run 

[jcwxguy]

  lot of compacting (nebraska and South Dakota )  imo they keep with their forecast, or go to 4-8

[jcwxguy]

2 minutes ago, Money said:

GEM which was way south jumped a good bit north this run 

[Pjjanthony]

NAM has picked up a frontogenesis snow over Omaha the last 3 runs.

 

[Hoosier]

Not liking the portrayal of the heaviest front end snow being south of here, although it has been advertised for a while now.  Hope that stuff can find a way to make it farther north more effectively.

[jaster220]

7 minutes ago, Hoosier said:

Not liking the portrayal of the heaviest front end snow being south of here, although it has been advertised for a while now.  Hope that stuff can find a way to make it farther north more effectively.

I love how the defo-band/comma head basically rakes on MO and IL, then promptly dies over MI. 

[jcwxguy]

[Clinton]

0z GEFS

[jcwxguy]

[jcwxguy]

[jcwxguy]

[jcwxguy]

[winterfreak]

5 minutes ago, jcwxguy said:

You guys are locked in.

[Pros3lyte]

1 hour ago, jaster220 said:

I love how the defo-band/comma head basically rakes on MO and IL, then promptly dies over MI. 

At this point I’m hoping my area can even manage to get the ground covered before it turns into a wash out- eastern lower Michigan might just be the armpit of the Midwest.

i don’t know why we always end up struggling to get the big synoptic snows compared to central lower- it seems like more often than not that freezing line drifts over the eastern portion of the state but areas west of I-75 tend to do so much better

[Grizzcoat]

Euro-

 

[winterfreak]

Yikes. EURO is not good around here.

[CentralNebWeather]

0z Euro. Yes please. 

[Hawkeye]

This is tough for Missouri.  Days of excitement, followed by the rug getting pulled out, really sucks.

[jcwxguy]

[CentralNebWeather]

Just now, jcwxguy said:

That hasn’t changed much in several days of runs. 

[winterfreak]

Yup. Likely a swing and a miss here and with the system next week.

[Grizzcoat]

Euro EPS came in hot for Central-Eastern (esp SE) IA- I don't have snow maps- just QPF-