Jump to content

Recommended Posts

I'm sure somebody posted this, but it's worth posting again.  18z EPS upped the ante for next week.

1705168800-ILjao8NL3zs.png

  • Like 7

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 0.2"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 0

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 41

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

4 minutes ago, Rubus Leucodermis said:

Regional!

Can't imagine such a widespread ice event.  It hardly ever works that way.

  • Like 1
  • Shivering 1

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 0.2"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 0

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 41

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Just now, snow_wizard said:

I'm sure somebody posted this, but it's worth posting again.  18z EPS upped the ante for next week.

1705168800-ILjao8NL3zs.png

I’m cautiously optimistic. The blast is fading into lingering low-level cold. Things shouldn’t get pushed south this time.

It's called clown range for a reason.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

4 minutes ago, Weiner Warrior said:

Yes

prateptype_cat-imp.us_state_wa.png

That low keeps trending south. 

  • Like 4
  • Sick 1
  • Shivering 1

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

3 minutes ago, Weiner Warrior said:

sn10_acc-imp.us_state_wa-1.png

Fun... snow to ice to rain to snow to rain.   😀

  • Like 1
  • Shivering 1

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Really unusual setup on the 00z GFS with the low initially pulling North enough warm air to start as Freezing Rain/Rain Tuesday night South of Bellingham and then pulling new Fraser Outflow Wednesday morning with a good thump of snow around Puget Sound. Can’t think of a storm that quite worked out that way here but it’s certainly possible.

  • Like 3
  • Excited 2

Everett Snowfall (510 feet elevation)

Snow since February 2019: 91"

2023-24: 6"

2022-23: 17.5"

2021-22: 17.75"

2020-21: 14.5”

2019-20: 10.5"

2018-19: 24.75"

 

 

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 minute ago, bainbridgekid said:

Really unusual setup on the 00z GFS with the low initially pulling North enough warm air to start as Freezing Rain/Rain Tuesday night South of Bellingham and then pulling new Fraser Outflow Wednesday morning with a good thump of snow around Puget Sound. Can’t think of a storm that quite worked out that way here but it’s certainly possible.

Probably getting some details that euro will nail down better wrong. For example Euro has low much deeper.

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

53 minutes ago, Kayla said:

Pretty insane that the top two coldest days in Bozeman history (records go back to 1892) are now Dec. 2022 and Jan. 2024. Incredible recorded breaking and brutally cold day.

Al Gore would disagree. 😂

  • Like 1
  • Downvote 2
  • Troll 3
  • Facepalm 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

GEM is still good up north and that ice storm on this run probably wouldn't be too bad with temps in the low 30s and then warming.  This run does the hand off farther north so there is less cold air available.    Just reminder... the Wednesday system provides new cold for areas that get snow.   Its not dependent on retaining this cold air.   But it does need to have cold air pushed south from Canada to work. 

gem-all-washington-snow_24hr_kuchera-5525200.png

  • Like 1

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

Link to comment
Share on other sites

10 minutes ago, CliffMassYelledAtMe said:

Oh, GFS, fool me once, shame on you. Fool me twice, um, can't fool me twice.

The GFS has fooled me more times  than I can count. I should just stick to the EPS, I can't help myself though, I can checking out the GFS regardless.

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

2 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

GEM is still good up north and that ice storm on this run probably wouldn't be too bad with temps in the low 30s and then warming.  This run does the hand off farther north so there is less cold air available.    Just reminder... this Wednesday system provides new cold for area that get snow.   Its not dependent on retaining this cold air.   But it does need to have cold air pushed south from Canada to work. 

gem-all-washington-snow_24hr_kuchera-5525200.png

Unless models are warming us up to fast. Very possible,  this is a very dense cold airmass in western Washington. 

  • Like 2

We come from the land of the ice and snow.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

4 minutes ago, ArcticAirmassLover said:

Hey everybody! New Member here, been lurking around since the 2019-20 season (I think) and decided to give this a go if we ever get a regional arctic event. I considered this as close as we can get and made the decision lol.

In all honesty, I had very low expectations for this airmass to make it to my region (South Valley - West Eugene), but actually turned out to be a massive over performer! I was thinking that freezing rain would be the "best case scenario". Was pleasantly surprised to not only awaken this morning to sleet and upper 20's, it STAYED below 30F with sleet accumulation throughout the day! Totaled 1.5", truly wasn't expecting this.

Conditions right now 20F with freezing drizzle

P.S. How did Phil get into Pacific Northwest climatology?

20240113_080326.jpg

20240113_163947.jpg

Welcome!

  • Like 2

Location 850’ NW Hills in Portland

Link to comment
Share on other sites

7 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

Unless models are warming us up to fast. Very possible,  this is a very dense cold airmass in western Washington. 

All that does is produce freezing rain.   The initial upper levels are not good for snow when this storm starts.   It needs to pull down cold air to produce snow.   That is why all the models are showing the leading precip as freezing rain.     

You have to separate the current event in terms of snow for the next system.   The cold air is all gone by Tuesday night except for a shallow layer near the ground.    This is not our normal overrunning transition event.   Those usually go snow to sleet to freezing rain to rain.  

  • Like 1

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Guest
This topic is now closed to further replies.

×
×
  • Create New...