January 2024 Weather in the PNW (Part II)

[SilverFallsAndrew]

This was a weird one to me. Pretty anemic upper level support, but just a brutal low level airmass. 

[Slushy Inch]

1 minute ago, Winterdog said:

I don't think so since this cold wasn't incubated, it was already here

Yeah the cold is still straight for Arctic. Not inversion generated 

[Winterdog]

1 minute ago, Slushy Inch said:

Dam

No pun intended I'm sure

[Winterdog]

1 minute ago, Kolk1604 said:

Very northern Washingon get their turn this run 

Great then those of us in the middle just have to settle with cold stats

[ShawniganLake]

21 minutes ago, van city said:

Looks good to me.

Crazy amounts of snow up here next week. Euro shows over 20” here from 2 separate storms.  

[SilverFallsAndrew]

I hope we just don't get regional duds anymore...

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Looks like the low level cold is surging down the Oregon coast now behind the departing low. Florence was 52 earlier this evening and is now down to 34. Newport is now down to 28. 

https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=K6S2&hours=72

[ShawniganLake]

4 minutes ago, Winterdog said:

Great then those of us in the middle just have to settle with cold stats

Might have to do a welfare check on Randy if he misses out on this one. 

[MossMan]

7 minutes ago, Kolk1604 said:

Very northern Washingon get their turn this run 

I’m in the blue…So I’m still in the game. However I’m on the absolute fringe. Just a little tweaking and we are golden, Winterdog! 

[Slushy Inch]

1 minute ago, MossMan said:

I’m in the blue…So I’m still in the game. However I’m on the absolute fringe. Just a little tweaking and we are golden, Winterdog! 

Hopefully ensemble keeps the hope alive 

[AbbyJr]

7 minutes ago, ShawniganLake said:

Crazy amounts of snow up here next week. Euro shows over 20” here from 2 separate storms.  

Hopefully it verifies. Models seem to be coming into agreement so its a realistic possibility now but still far from a lock.

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

1 minute ago, MossMan said:

I’m in the blue…So I’m still in the game. However I’m on the absolute fringe. Just a little tweaking and we are golden, Winterdog! 

Looks a hair south of 18z run

[Rubus Leucodermis]

12 minutes ago, Kolk1604 said:

Very northern Washingon get their turn this run 

That would be great here… three consecutive winters involving snowstorms with double-digit snowfalls.

 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

I have no complaints about this event. If we are going to restore PNW winters to the glory days these are the kind of events we need to have. Hopefully next winter we continue to build on this momentum. 

[Slushy Inch]

Just now, SilverFallsAndrew said:

I have no complaints about this event. If we are going to restore PNW winters to the glory days these are the kind of events we need to have. Hopefully next winter we continue to build on this momentum. 

Not bad for El Nino

[Winterdog]

8 minutes ago, MossMan said:

I’m in the blue…So I’m still in the game. However I’m on the absolute fringe. Just a little tweaking and we are golden, Winterdog! 

I’m in the gray so I should be happy

[Phishy Wx]

 

 

[GHweatherChris]

20 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

I hope we just don't get regional duds anymore...

The last 24 hours was a regional dud, you must mean going forward from today.....

[Skagit Weather]

23.6F for a high today after a low of 11.6F. So a couple degrees warmer than yesterday for both the high and the low, but it was still my 5th coldest day I've recorded on my station since 2008 (all of which have happened in the last 25 months). Currently 14.9F maybe heading for a low a degree or two colder (if I'm lucky). I'm hoping that I can stay below freezing for one more day tomorrow because it would be nice to have 3 subfreezing highs, but with mostly sunny conditions and moderating cold it might be a challenge. 

I'm cautiously optimistic about the slight southerly trends in the models over the past day for the Tues/Wed storm. Still think it's going to manifest as quite a bit of cold rain, but at least there's a chance up here to get something other than cold temperatures. 

[Omegaraptor]

28 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

This was a weird one to me. Pretty anemic upper level support, but just a brutal low level airmass. 

Yeah this has to be about the coldest temp I’ve ever seen precip that wasn’t snow. Wild stuff.

Glad to see Corvallis area didn’t get iced as bad as I thought it would. Still glad I came up here.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

[theRunner]

So essentially this low really has to shift south for Seattle to see anything

[Winterdog]

Currently 11.6 still have a good chance for another single digit low.  High was 21 today

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

Just now, theRunner said:

So essentially this low really has to shift south for Seattle to see anything

That's a long answer, many variables.

Much better chance of snow if it comes in below Seattle even if just by a few miles

 

[GHweatherChris]

1 minute ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

That's a long answer, many variables.

Much better chance of snow if it comes in below Seattle even if just by a few miles

 

You and I just need the perfect from the west approaching  system to keep off shore flow going, quick 4-10 inches.

[Slushy Inch]

19 minutes ago, theRunner said:

So essentially this low really has to shift south for Seattle to see anything

10-20 percent chance maybe less 

[theRunner]

15 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

That's a long answer, many variables.

Much better chance of snow if it comes in below Seattle even if just by a few miles

 

Could anything more dynamic be in play for east siders at 800+ft, or is the airmass pretty warm throughout and not susceptible to small elevation differences? 

[NWbyNW]

A balmy 18F here in Everett.  

[ShawniganLake]

Weather summary
for British Columbia
issued by Environment Canada
at 6:30 a.m. PST Saturday 13 January 2024.

Discussion.

An arctic airmass is entrenched across the province and territory 
setting many temperature records. 

1. The following areas have set a record for the lowest maximum 
temperature on January 12, 2024, updated at 5 A.M. PST, January 13, 
2024: 

ABBOTSFORD AREA 
New record: -10.9 
Old record of -9.4 set in 1950 
Records in this area have been kept since 1944 

BELLA BELLA AREA 
New record of -6.6 
Old record of -1.6 set in 2007 
Records in this area have been kept since 1977 

BLUE RIVER AREA 
New record of -22.6 
Old record of -21.7 set in 1998 
Records in this area have been kept since 1946 

CASTLEGAR AREA 
New record of -14.4 
Old record of -10.6 set in 1998 
Records in this area have been kept since 1916 

CLINTON AREA 
New record of -25.3 
Old record of -17.6 set in 2017 
Records in this area have been kept since 1974 

COMOX AREA 
New record of -6.9 
Old record of -6.7 set in 1950 
Records in this area have been kept since 1914 

CRANBROOK AREA 
New record of -23.0 
Old record of -21.7 set in 1916 
Records in this area have been kept since 1901 

CRESTON AREA 
New record of -16.9 
Old record of -15.0 set in 1916 
Records in this area have been kept since 1912 

DUNCAN AREA 
New record of -6.9 
Old record of -4.4 set in 1971 
Records in this area have been kept since 1913 

HOPE AREA 
New record of -14.9 
Old record of -12.8 set in 1971 
Records in this area have been kept since 1936 

LYTTON AREA 
New record of -18.6 
Old record of -18.3 set in 1971 
Records in this area have been kept since 1921 

MACKENZIE AREA 
New record of -26.2 
Old record of -25.0 set in 1972 
Records in this area have been kept since 1971 

MALAHAT AREA 
New record of -9.1 
Old record of -3.2 set in 1998 
Records in this area have been kept since 1986 

MASSET AREA 
New record of -6.0 
Old record of -4.4 set in 1953 
Records in this area have been kept since 1897 

MERRITT AREA 
New record of -23.6 
Old record of -20.0 set in 1993 
Records in this area have been kept since 1918 

NAKUSP AREA 
New record of -14.9 
Old record of -12.2 set in 1971 
Records in this area have been kept since 1966 

NANAIMO AREA 
New record of -6.3 
Old record of -5.6 set in 1950 
Records in this area have been kept since 1892 

OSOYOOS AREA 
New record of -16.3 
Old record of -11.7 set in 1971 
Records in this area have been kept since 1954 

PENTICTON AREA 
New record of -18.6 
Old record of -15.0 set in 1909 
Records in this area have been kept since 1907 

PRINCETON AREA 
New record of -25.1 
Old record of -23.9 set in 1911 
Records in this area have been kept since 1893 

PUNTZI MOUNTAIN AREA 
New record of -27.3 
Old record of -23.9 set in 1971 
Records in this area have been kept since 1959 

QUALICUM BEACH AREA 
New record of -5.7 
Old record of -4.4 set in 1971 
Records in this area have been kept since 1962 

SECHELT AREA 
New record of -5.4 
Old record of -3.9 set in 1971 
Records in this area have been kept since 1956 

SPARWOOD AREA 
New record of -26.8 
Old record of -22.2 set in 1971 
Records in this area have been kept since 1969 

SQUAMISH AREA 
New record of -9.6 
Old record of -3.3 set in 1969 
Records in this area have been kept since 1960 

TATLAYOKO LAKE AREA 
New record of -23.2 
Old record of -22.8 set in 1971 
Records in this area have been kept since 1930 

TOFINO AREA 
New record of -2.2 
Old record of -1.1 set in 1971 
Records in this area have been kept since 1896 

TRAIL AREA 
New record of -14.1 
Old record of -12.8 set in 1930 
Records in this area have been kept since 1928 

VICTORIA AREA 
New record of -6.4 
Old record of -3.3 set in 1971 
Records in this area have been kept since 1914 

WEST VANCOUVER AREA 
New record of -6.4 
Old record of -2.9 set in 1998 
Records in this area have been kept since 1976 

WHITE ROCK AREA 
New record of -8.7 
Old record of -2.8 set in 1963 
Records in this area have been kept since 1929 

YOHO (NATIONAL PARK) AREA 
New record of -30.8 
Old record of -28.3 set in 1971 
Records in this area have been kept since 1923 

 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Too bad there won't be any clearing across NW Oregon tonight. 

[ShawniganLake]

1 minute ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Too bad there won't be any clearing across NW Oregon tonight. 

Cloudy up this way tonight too. Low clouds have settled in during the past couple hours.  Temp is up to 20 after a low of 17 earlier this evening 

[DeepFriedEgg]

14 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Too bad there won't be any clearing across NW Oregon tonight. 

Yeah, definitely would have seen some single digits.

[DeepFriedEgg]

Played out about how I expected. Had a brief period of icy snow to begin but then it changed to sleet and there was no turning back. The one disappointment was that we didn’t get any wrap around precip from the deformation band to the north. I think the mid-levels were cold enough to support snow at that point but oh well.

The wind and cold certainly delivered in an epic way. Sat at 13F all day with absolutely insane east wind gusts. Took a walk and there were 5 trees down within a 0.5-mile radius. Trees were creaking all day. As Mark said this will be remembered for the damaging winds and bitter low-level cold, not the sleet storm.

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Just a couple blocks away from here.

[TigerWoodsLibido]

21F and freezing rain still coming down. Would’ve been about 2 feet of snow if the upper levels had worked out.

The snowless January curse lives on. None since 2017. Without looking at ACIS, I’m going to assume 7 years is one of the longest stretches without January snow for here.

In any event, hopefully we will have a sub-freezing high tomorrow.

[TigerWoodsLibido]

I have never seen so much ice accumulation on the roads. I hear chainsaws in the distance like crazy too. Along with the crackling of branches.

[Cold Snap]

27 minutes ago, Slushy Inch said:

10-20 percent chance maybe less 

I’d go with a 30% chance based off the ensembles and feeling optimistic that the Seattle area can get something out of this.

[ShawniganLake]

Weather summary
for British Columbia
issued by Environment Canada
at 11:15 p.m. PST Saturday 13 January 2024.

Discussion.

The following areas set a daily minimum temperature record on 
January 13, 2024: 

Bella Bella Area (Bella Bella) 
New record of -9.7 
Old record of -4.5 set in 2005 
Records in this area have been kept since 1977 

Blue River Area (Blue River CS) 
New record of -39.9 
Old record of -37.8 set in 1950 
Records in this area have been kept since 1946 

Cranbrook Area (Cranbrook Airport Auto) 
New record of -36.8 
Old record of -32.2 set in 1911 
Records in this area have been kept since 1901 

Creston Area (Creston Campbell Scientific) 
New record of -27.2 
Old record of -22.8 set in 1937 
Records in this area have been kept since 1912 

Lillooet Area (Lillooet) 
New record of -24.0 
Old record of -21.1 set in 2005 
Records in this area have been kept since 1917 

Malahat Area (Malahat) 
New record of -12.6 
Old record of -7.8 set in 2020 
Records in this area have been kept since 1986 

Nakusp Area (Nakusp CS) 
New record of -23.7 
Old record of -18.3 set in 1972 
Records in this area have been kept since 1966 

Nelson Area (Nelson CS) 
New record of -21.9 
Old record of -20.0 set in 1950 
Records in this area have been kept since 1904 

Osoyoos Area (Osoyoos CS) 
New record of -22.3 
Old record of -19.8 set in 2017 
Records in this area have been kept since 1954 

Penticton Area (Penticton A) 
New record of -27.6 
Old record of -24.4 set in 1950 
Records in this area have been kept since 1907 

Revelstoke Area (Revelstoke Airport Auto) 
New record of -27.3 
Old record of -26.7 set in 1911 
Records in this area have been kept since 1898 

Salmon Arm Area (Salmon Arm CS) 
New record of -30.4 
Old record of -27.2 set in 1911 
Records in this area have been kept since 1893 

Sechelt Area (Sechelt Aut) 
New record of -11.4 
Old record of -6.7 set in 1971 
Records in this area have been kept since 1956 

Sparwood Area (Sparwood CS) 
New record of -40.0 
Old record of -32.9 set in 2005 
Records in this area have been kept since 1969 

Squamish Area (Squamish Airport) 
New record of -14.8 
Old record of -11.8 set in 2017 
Records in this area have been kept since 1960 

Trail Area (Warfield RCS) 
New record of -26.9 
Old record of -23.3 set in 1950 
Records in this area have been kept since 1928 

West Vancouver Area (West Vancouver Aut) 
New record of -12.4 
Old record of -7.2 set in 1993 
Records in this area have been kept since 1976 

 

[Slushy Inch]

Going to need to get very lucky

[SilverFallsAndrew]

22 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

21F and freezing rain still coming down. Would’ve been about 2 feet of snow if the upper levels had worked out.

The snowless January curse lives on. None since 2017. Without looking at ACIS, I’m going to assume 7 years is one of the longest stretches without January snow for here.

In any event, hopefully we will have a sub-freezing high tomorrow.

Sitting at 15 here with a steady freezing drizzle. Now down to 14. 

Edited January 14 by SilverFallsAndrew