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May 2024 Pacific Northwest Weather


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13 minutes ago, GHweatherChris said:

alan-wilder-depeche-mode.gif

You been in a tantrum state all weekend when you post, on the political thread, this thread, probably at home.....  you been lecturing people all weekend on their opinions, comments, statements, preferences, you always go the extra mile like you have been the past few days when the weather does not meet your preference.  Remember, we are all specks of sand and nothing really matters, as you say, practice what you preach.

image.gif

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Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

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Check out the firehouse on the ICON.

8” of rain in the cascades. 🌊 With more to come.

IMG_3232.png

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foto26446a4f1f801ef3b3d1564dea31df66.png
"Western troughing literally kills people at this time of year. And in the most gruesome of ways."
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Very nice!

104E1309-40AE-4800-A00B-B699F571A671.png

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Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Total ice: 2.25”
  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9")
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4

 

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26 minutes ago, GHweatherChris said:

alan-wilder-depeche-mode.gif

You been in a tantrum state all weekend when you post, on the political thread, this thread, probably at home.....  you been lecturing people all weekend on their opinions, comments, statements, preferences, you always go the extra mile like you have been the past few days when the weather does not meet your preference.  Remember, we are all specks of sand and nothing really matters, as you say, practice what you preach.

Yeah... no.    We had a great weekend.   But if you want to defend Alex Jones here then I will let you have it too!  Wouldn't be a tantrum though. I can just see you seething through your computer/phone screen while I am smiling back at you.   

And we truly are grains of sands.   Life is so short and fleeting.   All that really matters is family and friends.  You should be more aware of this after your health scare.  

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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4 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Yeah... no.    We had a great weekend.   But if you want to defend Alex Jones here then I will let you have it too!  Wouldn't be a tantrum though. I can just see you seething through your computer/phone screen while I am smiling back at you.   

And we truly are grains of sands.   Life is so short and fleeting.   You should be more aware of this after your health scare.  

6cfd3b99f93390151a7d062bc6def1c87c435e6d

 

btw, who is talking about Alex Jones right now, oh right, no one but you once again, that got put to bed earlier.

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Now the GFS has the gorilla jet too. Would be among the strongest +EPO/jet extensions to ever happen in June, verbatim.

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foto26446a4f1f801ef3b3d1564dea31df66.png
"Western troughing literally kills people at this time of year. And in the most gruesome of ways."
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1 minute ago, GHweatherChris said:

6cfd3b99f93390151a7d062bc6def1c87c435e6d

 

btw, who is talking about Alex Jones right now, oh right, no one but you once again, that got put to bed earlier.

You bought up political stuff.   I am sooooo angry.  Just throwing a tantrum here.  😀

Calm down Chris... not healthy to be so angry all the time.   

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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2 minutes ago, Phil said:

Now the GFS has the gorilla jet too. Would be among the strongest +EPO/jet extensions to ever happen in June, verbatim.

Yeah... caving to the ECMWF/EPS was a given.    Its done it so many times this spring.  There is no suspense now.

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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GFS ULL bias even showing up at D3 now. Look how much flatter that NPAC shortwave is vs 24hrs ago.

This model..geesh.

IMB_k3neGr.gif

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"Western troughing literally kills people at this time of year. And in the most gruesome of ways."
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1 minute ago, GHweatherChris said:

I haven't bought anything.....

 

OK... sure.

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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1 minute ago, Phil said:

GFS ULL bias even showing up at D3 now. Look how much flatter that NPAC shortwave is vs 24hrs ago.

This model..geesh.

IMB_k3neGr.gif

Pretty sure most of western WA will have locked in a wet June by next Tuesday.    Then we will see what happens after that.  

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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2 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Pretty sure most of western WA will have locked in a wet June by next Tuesday.    Then we will see what happens after that.  

I still have hope for 2nd week of June. Let’s get lake Sammamish to 70 degrees!

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15 minutes ago, GHweatherChris said:

I haven't bought anything.....

 

I just noticed you caught a typo on my part... nicely done.  👍

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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GFS now looks just like the ECMWF/EPS with the precip anomalies.   Oregon will probably miss out on all the rain though. 

gfs-deterministic-namer-qpf_anom_10day-7848000.png

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Just now, SnowWillarrive said:

Any chance this is connected to the solar storms? 

Not too crazy out west at the moment/

Garfield County/Pomeroy, WA:

2023-2024 Snowfall totals: 14.3 inches

HIghest snow total (per event): 5.8 inches total 1/11/24 - 1/12/24.

Most recent accumulation (non trace): 0.20 inches on 2/26/24

Days with  trace or more snowfall: 12/01/23 (0.60), 1/8/24 (1.0), 1/10/24 (3.5), 1/11/23 (3.5 inches with Thundersnow; separate event from prior day), 1/12/24 (2.30). 1/14/24 (T), 1/17/24 (1.20 inches), 1/18/24 (1.5 inches), 1/19/24 (0.20), 2/09/24 (0.30), 2/26/24 (0.20-mainly graupel), 4/5/24 (T)

First Freeze: 10/27/2023

Last Sub freezing Day: 1/20/24 (12th) (8 days in a row from 1/12/24-1/20/24)

Coldest low: -12F (!!!!!!!!) (1/12/24)

Last White Christmas: 2022 at my location (on ground)

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Picked up 0.7” in just a few hours of downpours and thunderstorm last night. While the locals enjoyed their rain, I actually hated it. Having used to the PNW rain, I don’t dislike the rain itself, it’s just that it brought up all kind of pollutants and odor from the sewer system so it’s not as “refreshing” as our rain. 

I’ve enjoyed my stay, but now I’m ready to go back home.

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Not liking the idea of my house being shadowed so hard with due westerly flow. Ma' nature has a vendetta against north Seattle this year, with the exception of one storm a week ago...

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Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 50.25"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-2022-23: 5.75"

-2023-24*: 0.25"

-Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

-Phreeze Count 2023-24: 40

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55 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

I just noticed you caught a typo on my part... nicely done.  👍

Larry David It's a Typo.gif

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Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Total ice: 2.25”
  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9")
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4

 

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Someone typed the word "string" instead of "Spring" earlier.

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Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 50.25"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-2022-23: 5.75"

-2023-24*: 0.25"

-Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

-Phreeze Count 2023-24: 40

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I will say I am very grateful for this extended troughing period. It's what I wanted and I'm getting it, and honestly I've been loving it. It's showing up later than in 2022 although with a similar kick, even following a nearly identical sequence, with troughing ensuing in late April, a quick warm spike near the middle of the month, then a return to even more prolific troughing afterwards, with guidance chasing ridges in the mid and long range like a carrot and a stick. Shift the pattern exactly one month back and it's hard to tell the difference between the two years, sans the dryness.

If we were to take the comparison as verbatim, June could be plenty cool as well, and July may avoid a torch. But it's not so linear as we all know. At any rate, for the first time in as long as I can remember I'm not entering June with a massive twinge of HOT SUMMER anxiety. We'll see where the road takes us.

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Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 50.25"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-2022-23: 5.75"

-2023-24*: 0.25"

-Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

-Phreeze Count 2023-24: 40

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I say yes please on this.  Chilly but with little moisture at this point.

1718172000-TcPUC8MSZMo.png

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 50

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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2 hours ago, Phil said:

Check out the firehouse on the ICON.

8” of rain in the cascades. 🌊 With more to come.

IMG_3232.png

Early next week is starting to look like a done deal.  Whether the trough digs sharply off the coast or whether the flow ends up being more westerly all of the models are very wet.  It will be interesting to see if anything makes it east of the Cascade crest.  May be their last chance to avoid a major drought this season.

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 50

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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14 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said:

I will say I am very grateful for this extended troughing period. It's what I wanted and I'm getting it, and honestly I've been loving it. It's showing up later than in 2022 although with a similar kick, even following a nearly identical sequence, with troughing ensuing in late April, a quick warm spike near the middle of the month, then a return to even more prolific troughing afterwards, with guidance chasing ridges in the mid and long range like a carrot and a stick. Shift the pattern exactly one month back and it's hard to tell the difference between the two years, sans the dryness.

If we were to take the comparison as verbatim, June could be plenty cool as well, and July may avoid a torch. But it's not so linear as we all know. At any rate, for the first time in as long as I can remember I'm not entering June with a massive twinge of HOT SUMMER anxiety. We'll see where the road takes us.

The truly remarkable thing is we completely avoided a torchy spring in spite of entering it with a major Nino.  We were really lucky.  In actuality the number of below normal days has far exceeded the number of warm days this season.  That is especially true this month.  I'm thinking we will get at least one more shot for lows in the 30s in the outlying area before summer really sets in.  normally the coldest anomalies on min temps happen just before we go into a major ridge after cold troughing like this.    

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 50

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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27 minutes ago, Cloud said:

We’re all puppets in this game called “Life” 🧶

It actually seems more that way the older you get.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 50

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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1 minute ago, snow_wizard said:

The truly remarkable thing is we completely avoided a torchy spring in spite of entering it with a major Nino.  We were really lucky.  In actuality the number of below normal days has far exceeded the number of warm days this season.  That is especially true this month.  I'm thinking we will get at least one more shot for lows in the 30s in the outlying area before summer really sets in.  normally the coldest anomalies on min temps happen just before we go into a major ridge after cold troughing like this.    

Between February 2019 and this year, I'm losing my fear of +ENSO. Slightly. I know in saying that I am incurring a 2014-15 redux in 2025-26.

Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 50.25"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-2022-23: 5.75"

-2023-24*: 0.25"

-Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

-Phreeze Count 2023-24: 40

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Sunday looks amazing. Rainy and cool all day. I might have to go on a hike! 😀

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Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 50.25"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-2022-23: 5.75"

-2023-24*: 0.25"

-Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

-Phreeze Count 2023-24: 40

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31 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said:

I will say I am very grateful for this extended troughing period. It's what I wanted and I'm getting it, and honestly I've been loving it. It's showing up later than in 2022 although with a similar kick, even following a nearly identical sequence, with troughing ensuing in late April, a quick warm spike near the middle of the month, then a return to even more prolific troughing afterwards, with guidance chasing ridges in the mid and long range like a carrot and a stick. Shift the pattern exactly one month back and it's hard to tell the difference between the two years, sans the dryness.

If we were to take the comparison as verbatim, June could be plenty cool as well, and July may avoid a torch. But it's not so linear as we all know. At any rate, for the first time in as long as I can remember I'm not entering June with a massive twinge of HOT SUMMER anxiety. We'll see where the road takes us.

EUG has gotten only 0.02" in the last 20 days and the negative departures in the last week have been pretty pedestrian. This AR should be a good test of whether dry season has well and truly arrived for the south valley.

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4 hours ago, Phil said:

DeepFriedEgg and Sunriver Snow Zone dude would have full on mental breakdowns if JJA were to finish near the 1991-2020 average. Can’t imagine what another 1954 type summer would do.

I don't know how this summer will finish and i know I will complain, but I do know how ill be finishing and I KNOW your mom won't be complaining.

I live on the snowiest populated hill in oregon! My name Is sunriver snow zone because I always have the most snow out of anywhere in the town, favorable location.

 

23-24 seasonal snowfall at home (updated April 29th) 93"!!

 

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image.png

Holy shit, lol

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Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 50.25"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-2022-23: 5.75"

-2023-24*: 0.25"

-Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

-Phreeze Count 2023-24: 40

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I think that's the largest jet extension in two years? In June?

addendum; Phil will probably correct me on this. But it's a big'un and I don't remember such a clean jet extension all winter. could be wrong tho

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Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 50.25"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-2022-23: 5.75"

-2023-24*: 0.25"

-Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

-Phreeze Count 2023-24: 40

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3 hours ago, Phil said:

Nuclear is the only viable bridge to a carbon neutral future it/o energy. All clean energy initiatives are a road to nowhere without it.

At this point it's the best and by far most realistic solution to climate change, and over time we can slowly convert to cleaner energy, but despite that it's complete ignored by both sides. The world we live in is f**king mentally insane.

 

RFK is the only one of the 3 candidates who considers it but he thinks it isn't safe enough yet, which I completely disagree with.

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I live on the snowiest populated hill in oregon! My name Is sunriver snow zone because I always have the most snow out of anywhere in the town, favorable location.

 

23-24 seasonal snowfall at home (updated April 29th) 93"!!

 

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48 currently, 78/28 day. Might get to the low 30s tonight. 

I live on the snowiest populated hill in oregon! My name Is sunriver snow zone because I always have the most snow out of anywhere in the town, favorable location.

 

23-24 seasonal snowfall at home (updated April 29th) 93"!!

 

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1 hour ago, Meatyorologist said:

If we were to take the comparison as verbatim, June could be plenty cool as well, and July may avoid a torch. But it's not so linear as we all know. At any rate, for the first time in as long as I can remember I'm not entering June with a massive twinge of HOT SUMMER anxiety. We'll see where the road takes us.

I doubt you were entering June in 2022 with hot summer anxiety.   All signs pointed to a cool and wet summer going into June and then it was troughy and raining for the first 3 weeks of the month.     This heavy rain period is coming at the same time as it happened in 2022 as well. 

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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00Z EPS is consistent with previous runs... the air mass coming in now is by far the coldest air aloft over the next 2 weeks and the ridge begins building by next Wednesday (6/5).

ecmwf-ensemble-avg-namer-z500_anom-1716854400-1716854400-1718150400-10.gif

ecmwf-ensemble-avg-namer-t850_anom_stream-1716854400-1716854400-1718150400-10.gif

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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1 hour ago, Meatyorologist said:

I think that's the largest jet extension in two years? In June?

addendum; Phil will probably correct me on this. But it's a big'un and I don't remember such a clean jet extension all winter. could be wrong tho

I’m back home on the 4th. This would be quite a welcome home and I look forward to it! Lol 

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At this year’s forum awards banquet and preference jamboree, if Chris and Tim don’t get seated at the same table I’m gonna be peeved.

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My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad.

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