December 2020 Weather Observations for the PNW

[MossMan]

Eerily quiet on the forum this morning...Much like December 1949...

[MossMan]

7 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Some fun in the long range.

I see green over my house.

[TT-SEA]

Today and tomorrow looking pretty much dry here now.     

[Jesse]

1 hour ago, Phil said:

If there is a SSW. And if so, is it a transient wind reversal like Dec 1998, or something more substantial and prolonged like Jan/Feb 2019, Feb 2018, or Feb 1988?

 

 !!!!!

[Rubus Leucodermis]

10 hours ago, Brian_in_Leavenworth said:

I think so.  Just looked at the Wenatchee Matrix for the last 4 or 5 weeklies, and it does something similar, always the same day ahead.  Maybe just after day 15, where the regular EPS goes to day 15, maybe there is a resolution change right after that.

There was a sudden onset of snow at about that point in the future for KBLI a week or two ago, too.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

9 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Today and tomorrow looking pretty much dry here now.     

Moisture finally focused more to the south! We definitely need it more at this point!

[SilverFallsAndrew]

This does not suck. 

[Rubus Leucodermis]

42 minutes ago, Jesse said:

Screw snow   

Welcome aboard the torch train! Think fifties and rain, C’MON!

[Jesse]

5 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

This does not suck. 

If this was at 24 hours we'd be excited about it.

[Jesse]

1 minute ago, Rubus Leucodermis said:

Welcome aboard the torch train! Think fifties and rain, C’MON!

Inside joke there. Traumatic night for Timmy during the January 2017 snow event. 

[Rubus Leucodermis]

1 minute ago, Jesse said:

Inside joke there. Traumatic night for Timmy during the January 2017 snow event. 

Come to the dark side. It is inevitable that you will sooner or later, anyhow.

[Jesse]

Just now, Rubus Leucodermis said:

Come to the dark side. It is inevitable that you will sooner or later, anyhow.

You sure are irritating.

[Rubus Leucodermis]

Just now, Jesse said:

You sure are irritating.

Aw, shucks. That’s the sweetest thing anyone has ever said to me on this site.

[Jesse]

Nice looking Ninya pattern on the 12z GFS.

[El_Nina]

1 minute ago, Jesse said:

Nice looking Ninya pattern on the 12z GFS.

Rain picking up here. 

[Blizzard777]

11 hours ago, Deweydog said:

If anyone needs a gift idea for Abby, I’d suggest a sudden stratospheric warming. Several models available on Prime.

Climatology dictates it “will” be shipped to the wrong address far far away !

[paulb/eugene]

там будет холодная водка, минус семьдесят два градусов 

[Jesse]

12z ensembles.

[paulb/eugene]

[TT-SEA]

Snow just above our house...

[SilverFallsAndrew]

I know Phil says we should not like to see Alaska get cold. BUT, it is nice to see someone have cold, and that cold PaulB posted about is centered in NW Canada. 

[Blizzard777]

11 minutes ago, El_Nina said:

Rain picking up here. 

Our turn for the nice sunrise this morning  

Low of 37* earlier 

[Blizzard777]

3 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

I know Phil says we should not like to see Alaska get cold. BUT, it is nice to see someone have cold, and that cold PaulB posted about is centered in NW Canada. 

I get excited seeing it as well including the whisky add!

[TT-SEA]

Another view of the snow on the ridge...

[MossMan]

22 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

I know Phil says we should not like to see Alaska get cold. BUT, it is nice to see someone have cold, and that cold PaulB posted about is centered in NW Canada. 

Before I had internet (pre 1998) I would stalk the temps in Alaska from the newspaper, seemed like more often than not after they got vodka cold type temps we would see cold/snow down here about 2wks or so later...But what do I know, I was just a young man with only access to Harry/Andy Wappler, Steve Pool, Jeff Renner, the weather radio, and the Everett Herald. 

[Jesse]

1 minute ago, MossMan said:

Before I had internet (pre 1998) I would stalk the temps in Alaska from the newspaper, seemed like more often than not after they got vodka cold type temps we would see cold/snow down here about 2wks or so later...But what do I know, I was just a young man with only access to Harry/Andy Wappler, Steve Pool, Jeff Renner, the weather radio, and the Everett Herald. 

Do you look at the models now?

[Blizzard777]

1 minute ago, MossMan said:

Before I had internet (pre 1998) I would stalk the temps in Alaska from the newspaper, seemed like more often than not after they got vodka cold type temps we would see cold/snow down here about 2wks or so later...But what do I know, I was just a young man with only access to Harry/Andy Wappler, Steve Pool, Jeff Renner, the weather radio, and the Everett Herald. 

In two weeks or so ( is so like a notch?) it’s gonna snow!!! 
Randy has spoken and I’m on board  

[SilverFallsAndrew]

6 minutes ago, Jesse said:

Do you look at the models now?

He does now that every frame from every run gets posted on here. 

[MossMan]

8 minutes ago, Jesse said:

Do you look at the models now?

Only when nobody posts them on here. 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

11 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Another view of the snow on the ridge...

Interesting to be so close to the snow line. Last night on the way home there was no snow going through Silver Falls State Park until we got to the North Falls area. It is about 100' lower than our house, but topographically favored. There was about 1" of snow there. Then no snow the rest of the way home, even on our little road, but as soon as we got to our driveway there was snow on the ground again. 

[paulb/eugene]

Prior to most of the old school grade Arctic blasts, there usually is a large dome of Arctic air encompassing much of interior AK and Yukon.  
Most of the time surface pressure exceeds 1050-1060mb in Yukon with heights to 570s popping up over Anchorage, prior to getting the good stuff here.  
Of course those are only short term (3-5 days in advance) prognosticators.  

7-10 days out is a crapshoot and 10-14 days is bullscheiß

[Deweydog]

5 minutes ago, MossMan said:

Only when nobody posts them on here. 

You should be ashamed of yourself.  

[Rubus Leucodermis]

8 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Interesting to be so close to the snow line. Last night on the way home there was no snow going through Silver Falls State Park until we got to the North Falls area. It is about 100' lower than our house, but topographically favored. There was about 1" of snow there. Then no snow the rest of the way home, even on our little road, but as soon as we got to our driveway there was snow on the ground again. 

The very first home I owned was in a snow zone (in the Seattle suburb of Shoreline, near a hilltop). Ironically, it wasn’t even a goal of mine to live in one at the time. It just happened. Since then, things just haven’t come together that way, though I am now in a favored area for Fraser outflow winds. Addendum: not in a half-bad area for nighttime radiational cooling, either.

[Deweydog]

Speaking of models...

Euro!!!

[Jesse]

Looks like the PDX radar is down

[MossMan]

17 minutes ago, iFred said:

Not a bad thing.

Way better than in the past when someone would post that the models “took a dump” only to find out the snow maps showed 6-8” instead of 8-10” being the major model dump. 

[Jesse]

3 minutes ago, MossMan said:

Way better than in the past when someone would post that the models “took a dump” only to find out the snow maps showed 6-8” instead of 8-10” being the major model dump. 

Oh Andrew

[Deweydog]

Has anyone checked on Jim?

[Omegaraptor]

GFS looks great. Tons of cold front rain, mountain snow, and AK and NW Canada are completely loaded in the clown range. With a decent blocking pattern, that unloads into the NW. C’MON!

[Deweydog]

1999-2000.