December 29th - 30th Snowstorm

[mlgamer]

12z GFS doesn't even have a closed upper low anywhere. Just shows a positively tilted trough crossing the region.

[Hawkeye]

GFS finally starts to wrap up the southern energy over the Appalachians and eastern Ohio Valley.

[bud2380]

Canadian 850 line never gets further north than the Iowa Missouri border. It may be wrong in the end but it’s been very consistent with keeping the warm air at bay. Waiting in precip maps but appears it will still showing significant snows in eastern Iowa. 

[GDR]

CMC blast Eastern and south eastern Iowa. Not sure I’d hold your breath on that one though

[bud2380]

Ummmm. What Canada?? Secondary wave forms. Explodes and retrogrades all the way into western Iowa. 

[Hawkeye]

Yeah, wtf Canadian.  Models are all over the place with the southern energy.  They have it cutting from Iowa to the Appalachians.

[CentralNebWeather]

1 minute ago, bud2380 said:

Ummmm. What Canada?? Secondary wave forms. Explodes and retrogrades all the way into western Iowa. 

Actually back into Central Kansas and Nebraska at 132. Very odd. 

[CentralNebWeather]

Canadian through 84 hours. I’d take this for sure. 

[Hawkeye]

I will go out on a limb and say a low track from Corpus Christi to Des Moines will not happen.

[CentralNebWeather]

The old retrograding low on the Canadian. Eastern half of Nebraska crushed. Well it is still 2020 so should we be shocked if this occurred. One of the strangest runs I’ve seen in awhile. 

[mlgamer]

I'd take the CMC solution in a heartbeat! (not that I buy it yet...lol)

[jaster220]

31 minutes ago, Hawkeye said:

GFS finally starts to wrap up the southern energy over the Appalachians and eastern Ohio Valley.

$$

[bud2380]

I can’t believe I trusted you Canadian! Granted I’d be happy with the first part of the storm. But this secondary wave is insane. 

[CentralNebWeather]

Who had retrograding low in the office pool?  

[centralweather44]

I have never put much stock into the Canadian. Is it ever close? Will be interesting to see what the Euro says here in an hour or so. Just don’t like not having the GFS on our side. Especially with the way it has performed this year. Better than past years anyways 

[Minny_Weather]

Canadian is crap for me. Thankfully it's the Canadian.

 

[CentralNebWeather]

Remember a week ago when we first starting seeing this storm and on the Euro the low basically stalled for several days over the KC area. Not that I’m predicting this, just something I remember. 

[bud2380]

1 minute ago, centralweather44 said:

I have never put much stock into the Canadian. Is it ever close? Will be interesting to see what the Euro says here in an hour or so. Just don’t like not having the GFS on our side. Especially with the way it has performed this year. Better than past years anyways 

according to the article someone posted earlier, Ryan Maue has researched 500mb performance and ranked Euro 1, Canadian 2, GFS 3 in terms of performance. So I wouldn’t discount it entirely. Especially within 5 days. I don’t buy anything past 120 hours on this run though. 

[mlgamer]

The CMC solution reminds me of the 2009 Christmas eve/day storm.

[bud2380]

UKIE caved and came north. Not nearly as north as the GFS but has the SLP right over Dubuque at hour 96. 

[CentralNebWeather]

1 minute ago, mlgamer said:

The CMC solution reminds me of the 2009 Christmas eve/day storm.

I was just thinking about that. I thought we were out of the game on the 24th and I woke up to Blizzard Warning as the low retrograded enough to give me a good amount. We can hope

[CentralNebWeather]

12z Canadian to hour 156. One of the strangest runs I’ve ever seen. 
 

[NH4NU]

6 minutes ago, CentralNebWeather said:

12z Canadian to hour 156. One of the strangest runs I’ve ever seen. 
 

This shows Papillion area jumping 15" from 72-78hr. Would be a 6hr stretch of 2.5"/hr snowfall rates. One could dream!

[GDR]

Here comes the north trends!

[Clinton]

24 minutes ago, mlgamer said:

The CMC solution reminds me of the 2009 Christmas eve/day storm.

Just was thinking the same thing.  Lets move it east a little and ride it until it caves!

[bud2380]

Funny true story. The new GFS does similar things as the Canadian with the secondary wave. 

[CentralNebWeather]

Now we wait for the 12z Euro

[Clinton]

12z GFS mean.  Changing a little

[bud2380]

New GFS

[mlgamer]

Just now, bud2380 said:

New GFS

There you go @Clinton ! 

[bud2380]

UKIE more west to east. Drops 9” or so on CR. This would be something I could live with. 

[Clinton]

Just now, mlgamer said:

There you go @Clinton ! 

Lock it in LOL!

[Hawkeye]

2 minutes ago, bud2380 said:

UKIE more west to east. Drops 9” or so on CR. This would be something I could live with. 

[CentralNebWeather]

12z UKIE 

 

[bud2380]

I really hope the euro flattens out like what the UK shows. 

[Money]

I would lock the ukie and new gfs in a heartbeat 

[Clinton]

CMC Mean 

[bud2380]

Euro underway. Reminder to Jesus about my offer to build several churches in your name. 

[bud2380]

At hour 84 the euro has the low on the Texas Mexico border. Similar to last night. 

[Money]

Euro looks farther south than 0z through 96