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January 5th/6th Potential Clipper


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The ratios are running 20+:1 to in the heavier bands- in the lighter bands it seems to much about what Sciascia said. I have an official 8" NWS gauge in my yard and i have done two samples. Big difference. I-80 east of DSM is closed-- do not know which direction.

The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang.

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another note to remember in the future-- the Euro sucked on  this system at least here in C.IA. Allready more QPF then what the Euro ever had. GFS much better.

The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang.

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A lot of reports of fine snowflakes coming down in Iowa this afternoon. I think the atmopshere is just too cold to get full dendrites to form completely. Found this diagram that shows the structure to temperature relationship.

 

Mercer Island, 350 ft

2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21

2020-2021: 15.6"

2019-2020: ~10"

2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5"

2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0"

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DSM getting smoked right now...wouldn't be surprised if some 2"/hr snowfall rates hitting that area with 30dbz rates.  Seems like the most intense banding just to the north of the track is robbing the moisture to the north.  I've seen this before so this may bust on the northern fringe, just like James area.

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Nobody knows how this is going to play out in in Illinois but I will go out on a limb here and say that we will do better than 10:1 ratios especially under the heavy banding. Just my opinion.

From Ottawa on south is where I think the heaviest band is going to hit...just look at the radar and you can gauge where the northern fringe of the heaviest snowfall may fall.

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Ceiling is lowering considerably outside. I will say that. Most roads are already icy and packed with snow still.

Just too cold for any substantial snow up this way.

Mercer Island, 350 ft

2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21

2020-2021: 15.6"

2019-2020: ~10"

2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5"

2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0"

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Starting to spit flakes here now.

Not often I've seen a snowfall at these temperatures.

Mercer Island, 350 ft

2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21

2020-2021: 15.6"

2019-2020: ~10"

2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5"

2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0"

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Starting to spit flakes here now.

Not often I've seen a snowfall at these temperatures.

I was just going to say that.  The last time I recall it was nearly as cold as this was back in 2010 or 2009 in December when it was roughly 10F and temps rose into the upper 10's.  I believe it was a WAA snow event along a warm front coming in from the west.

 

Very fine and powdery snow flakes...about to get a heavier burst as we speak.

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Was out driving in that nice heavy band that rolled through the NW burbs. 3/4" flakes and very heavy for a bit. Visibility was 1/4 mile.  Almost pixie dust now, but falling heavy. 1.25" so far. 8º

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On a long enough timeline, the survival rate for everyone drops to zero.

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Flake size did uptick a bit here. 0.5" down.

 

UGN has been reporting SN for the past 40 minutes.

Mercer Island, 350 ft

2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21

2020-2021: 15.6"

2019-2020: ~10"

2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5"

2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0"

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Coming up on 0.8" here. I don't think it's a 10:1 snow, but definitely not towards 18:1 or anything above.

Mercer Island, 350 ft

2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21

2020-2021: 15.6"

2019-2020: ~10"

2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5"

2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0"

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