February 2014 in the PNW

[Snowman Josh]

http://cliffmass.blogspot.com/2014/01/cold-weather-and-chance-of-light-snow.html

[TT-SEA]

The gorgeous view coming down from Snoqualmie Pass this afternoon...

 

 

Where I guess it was brutally cold in the upper 20s.      

[snow_wizard]

The gorgeous view coming down from Snoqualmie Pass this afternoon...

 

 

Where I guess it was brutally cold in the upper 20s.  

Just stop. I'm so tired of this .

[TT-SEA]

You're welcome.

 

 

You were right and I was wrong.    100%.   

 

Tomorrow will be even nicer.

[MossMan]

The gorgeous view coming down from Snoqualmie Pass this afternoon...

 

 

Where I guess it was brutally cold in the upper 20s.  

I drive the pass every week, and that is the most snow I have seen all winter! Looked pathetic on Tuesday, glad they picked up some snow this week!

[snow_wizard]

The 0z looks way better late in the week than previous runs. The cold gets prolonged a little bit more.

[TT-SEA]

Just stop. I'm so tired of this s**t.

 

 

I absolutely appreciate the pattern and the historic nature of getting this twice in one winter.    And I know you appreciate the hell out of it.   

[TT-SEA]

Next Saturday looks snowy on the 00Z GFS... good offshore flow.

[pscz1140]

Next Saturday looks snowy on the 00Z GFS... good offshore flow.

 

This pattern has incredible potential.

 

What happens with the energy coming in from the north around that time could make the difference between good and epic.

[snow_wizard]

Do we have an ignore feature on this forum?

[snow_wizard]

This pattern has incredible potential.

 

What happens with the energy coming in from the north around that time could make the difference between good and epic.

No question. If that southern branch can remain suppressed we could be in for some big stuff.

[Guest Winterdog]

Just stop. I'm so tired of this s**t.

I was going to give an "I like it" for this post but it wouldn't let me, I was told I have reached my limit of "I Likes" for the day. Anyway, I like it.

[TT-SEA]

This pattern has incredible potential.

 

What happens with the energy coming in from the north around that time could make the difference between good and epic.

 

 

Yeah... Saturday could be huge with such strong offshore flow.

[TT-SEA]

I am seeing about 6 inches of snow for most people on Saturday per the 00Z GFS... tons of moisture and offshore flow.   

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Even my location could score some decent snow before it transitions to rain. Overrunning is not the best way for me to get snow...

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

Mark it down. Next weekend is going to be a good one and I can see this turning into a 2008 type of event. I dont think we will transition out of the cold so soon or so fast. I never make predictions here but this looks like it has tons of potential.

[brody]

Do we have an ignore feature on this forum?

Yes

 

Click on your own handle, then click on edit my profile and then on the left side pane click on Ignore Preferences and go from there Jim 

[TT-SEA]

Mark it down. Next weekend is going to be a good one and I can see this turning into a 2008 type of event. I dont think we will transition out of the cold so soon or so fast. I never make predictions here but this looks like it has tons of potential.

 

I need to see a 500mb map from 12/20/2008.

 

I can't remember if it was similar... but I am feeling next weekend more with each run.

[TT-SEA]

The other huge factor that I could see really benefiting us next weekend is if everything continues to shift a little west.    

 

The 00Z run has done this... keeps us in offshore flow much longer.     This is Sunday:

 

http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/data/gfs/00/gfs_namer_192_precip_p06.gif

[van city]

I need to see a 500mb map from 12/20/2008.

 

I can't remember if it was similar... but I am feeling next weekend more with each run.

You finally start to feel something, that's very encouraging. ;-)

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

I need to see a 500mb map from 12/20/2008.

 

I can't remember if it was similar... but I am feeling next weekend more with each run.

All it will take is a slight shift south and a merge with the energy dropping down out of Canada to turn this into a big deal.

[Timmy]

Mark it down. Next weekend is going to be a good one and I can see this turning into a 2008 type of event. I dont think we will transition out of the cold so soon or so fast. I never make predictions here but this looks like it has tons of potential.

I remember several "events" in 2008. So I don't really think it will be like December 2008.

[Gradient Keeper]

Past 3-4 pages were a fun read..... C'mon GEM/EURO!

[TT-SEA]

All it will take is a slight shift south and a merge with the energy dropping down out of Canada to turn this into a big deal.

 

I told Jesse... all of our historic snow events were probably playing with fire and it worked.   

[TT-SEA]

00Z Canadian at 144 hours:

 

http://weather.gc.ca/data/model_forecast/colour_images/00_054_G1_north@america@zoomout_I_4PAN_CLASSIC@012_144.jpg

 

 

Remember what Dewey said about the Pacific influence... it will likely fade in the models in the 4-6 day period.      That might be just what we need.   We get the moisture but such a strong push.   

[bainbridgekid]

I need to see a 500mb map from 12/20/2008.

 

I can't remember if it was similar... but I am feeling next weekend more with each run.

This was the afternoon of the 20th:

 

http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~fxg1/NARR/2008/122021.png

[TT-SEA]

This was the afternoon of the 20th:

 

 

 

Sort of looks like that Canadian map above... just one day later.  

[Gradient Keeper]

00z nails PDX with a snow storm, then ice storm.... Awesome

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

Sort of looks like that Canadian map above... just one day later.  

Yep.

[Brennan]

The gorgeous view coming down from Snoqualmie Pass this afternoon...

 

 

Where I guess it was brutally cold in the upper 20s.      

I bet your kids appreciated you messaging on the forums all day.. “Dad watch!” ....”Hold on I have to finish this post... and the next... and finish reading this page... Oh wait I have to post about how dry next week is going to be and let everyone know that 30*F even with a breeze isn’t cold!” ....” Dad, but watch!” .... (wife) “ Honey just watch the kids for once, can’t you play on your phone later?” .... “honey, this is really important, if people think 30* is cold, i won’t be able to sleep tonight!"

[TT-SEA]

00z nails PDX with a snow storm, then ice storm.... Awesome

 

 

Not sure why I didn't think of this... back off the strength of the flow since that is what will happen in the models but we still get the moisture.    Dewey called it and it appears to be heading that way.

 

 

Next weekend has serious potential.  

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Really like where the GFS is going in the long range...That is a pattern with some real snow potential for my location.

[van city]

I bet your kids appreciated you messaging on the forums all day.. “Dad watch!” ....”Hold on I have to finish this post... and the next... and finish reading this page... Oh wait I have to post about how dry next week is going to be and let everyone know that 30*F even with a breeze isn’t cold!” ....” Dad, but watch!” .... (wife) “ Honey just watch the kids for once, can’t you play on your phone later?” .... “honey, this is really important, if people think 30* is cold, i won’t be able to sleep tonight!"

LOL Tonight is awesome I can't stop laughing.

[TT-SEA]

I bet your kids appreciated you messaging on the forums all day.. “Dad watch!” ....”Hold on I have to finish this post... and the next... and finish reading this page... Oh wait I have to post about how dry next week is going to be and let everyone know that 30*F even with a breeze isn’t cold!” ....” Dad, but watch!” .... (wife) “ Honey just watch the kids for once, can’t you play on your phone later?” .... “honey, this is really important, if people think 30* is cold, i won’t be able to sleep tonight!"

 

 

I did not post all afternoon.   Check it out.    Stop attacking me personally.

 

It feels dishonest to go up there and play all day with everyone saying how warm it was... and then call the exact same temperature brutally cold later this week.       Whether its 25 degrees below normal or not.    We all called it warm today... how can it be so incredibly cold in 3 days?    

 

That does not take away anything that is happening from an upper air perspective.    That stuff is awesome.   Snow going in would have made this a 1989 repeat.

[Gradient Keeper]

LMAO @.... who the hell knows!

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

There needs to be a warning for next weekend. The public needs to. Warned. This will be dangerous. Im already getting ready.

[TT-SEA]

There needs to be a warning for next weekend. The public needs to. Warned. This will be dangerous. Im already getting ready.

 

I actually agree that it could have major impacts.    And warnings might be coming in a couple days if this keeps up.   

[Gradient Keeper]

I like how the surface low seems to stall after HR 177 and then pulls back to the west as the next very strong surge of moisture moves in from the southwest into Oregon. That will pull more cold air down the Gorge. Dangerous ice storm or huge snow storm PDX.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Still not getting hung up on details for next weekend...

 

But I do like that 00z GFS brings -14C 850mb temps to SLE. That is what SLE hit with the December blast.

[brody]

This place died real quick