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August 2015 in the Pacific Northwest

stuffradio

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in West of the Rockies

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Front Ranger Grand Master

Front Ranger

Posted
Posted

What a terrible way to begin autumn over the lower 48.

 

It's almost weird seeing legitimate western troughing on the models. That ridge has dominated you guys for what seems like an eternity.

 

The SE ridge has also been persistent this summer. We've already had 45 90+ days. PDX has nothing on DCA.

 

Relative to average, PDX has far outdone DC this summer.

 

- DCA has had years with almost 70 90+ degree days. PDX has already set their annual record.

 

- DCA is running about +2 for the summer. PDX is +4.8, hottest summer on record. Not even close for DCA.

 

- DCA has zero 100+ days. PDX has 2.

 

Meanwhile, here on the Front Range it's been a very average summer, with no extreme heat.

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A forum for the end of the world.

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Tyler Mode
Tyler Mode

Eh...I'll be heading to Alaska in a few weeks...Guaranteed fall???  I hope so.   We went to an abandoned house outside of The Dalles...nice quite place.  On the way there, the traffic into Rooster Roc

BLI snowman
BLI snowman

Since March 23, the most rain Portland has had in a single calendar day has been .41".   That's pretty pathetic and probably some type of record. They're really overdue.

Front Ranger
Front Ranger

Hey. This isn't a seismology forum.   It's a weather/gardening/wildfire/sports/law/aspiring comedians/personal therapy/anti-Canadian forum.

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Phil Grand Master

Phil

Posted
Posted

Not surprising. August should feature a sizable drop.

Still looks like a solid +PDO to me.

 

http://www.ospo.noaa.gov/data/sst/anomaly/2015/anomnight.8.24.2015.gif

foto26446a4f1f801ef3b3d1564dea31df66.png
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Front Ranger Grand Master

Front Ranger

Posted
Posted

Still looks like a solid +PDO to me.

 

 

Oh, definitely. Just not the unhinged, off the charts +PDO of July. :) 

 

Probably will come in around +1.1 to +1.4. Still quite positive, but a sizable drop. The warm pool in the North Pacific has pushed east some, which means PDO goes down.

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Phil Grand Master

Phil

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Oh, definitely. Just not the unhinged, off the charts +PDO of July. :)

 

Probably will come in around +1.1 to +1.4. Still quite positive, but a sizable drop. The warm pool in the North Pacific has pushed east some, which means PDO goes down.

I assume you meant to say west? If the warm pool is pushing east that should spike the PDO.

foto26446a4f1f801ef3b3d1564dea31df66.png
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Jesse Experienced

Jesse

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Not a lot of posting going on, considering we may have some of the most active weather in months on the way starting tomorrow.

 

I figured some people would be scouring the models for some hint at the return of ridging in the long range, at very least.

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SilverFallsAndrew Grand Master

SilverFallsAndrew

Posted
Posted

Models backing of precip amounts in W. Oregon

 

http://www.cascadeaccess.com/~mnelsen/RPM_RAIN_NWOREGON.jpg

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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stuffradio Newbie

stuffradio

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Not a lot of posting going on, considering we may have some of the most active weather in months on the way starting tomorrow.

 

I figured some people would be scouring the models for some hint at the return of ridging in the long range, at very least.

I just want just enough water to make it safe to have fires again for now. We have some things I've been not burning all Summer because of how dry it's been. Pretty much the only reason this was/is going to make me sad is that I was just going to get some compost brought in for growing more Garlic for next year. It will be harder to haul around if the ground is too soft.

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SilverFallsAndrew Grand Master

SilverFallsAndrew

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Celebrate sunshine and ridging in this land of constant troughs! ;)

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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Deweydog Grand Master

Deweydog

Posted
Posted

You think everyone is getting carried away.

 

How long has it been since we saw a good rainstorm? Maybe since April? Months.

Two weeks ago.

 

That was an exceptionally active event. This one may rival it but probably won't equal or exceed it.

My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad.

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TT-SEA Grand Master

TT-SEA

Posted
Posted

You think everyone is getting carried away.

 

How long has it been since we saw a good rainstorm? Maybe since April? Months.

 

13 days ago... we got inundated up here!   

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Deweydog Grand Master

Deweydog

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I was talking a regional rain event. Not just Lewis to Snohomish County. You are being purposefully obtuse.

I get what you're saying, and at this point do you really think the Oregon valleys are a cinch to see a ton of rain?

 

We're entering a troughy period, no one should or will take that away from you. But keep it in perspective. The event a couple weeks ago, while probably not entirely to your liking, was pretty incredible.

My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad.

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Jesse Experienced

Jesse

Posted
Posted

I get what you're saying, and at this point do you really think the Oregon valleys are a cinch to see a ton of rain?

 

We're entering a troughy period, no one should or will take that away from you. But keep it in perspective. The event a couple weeks ago, while probably not entirely to your liking, was pretty incredible.

I don't remember expressing any dislike toward the 8-14 event. In fact I remember praising it. Seeing any rain was awesome. Wish we would have gotten more further south, but it was exceptional further north. No one should or will take that away from you. You're being ultra defensive about a period I never even downplayed! :lol:

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