Worst of the heat will likely sit over the central US, but I think every state in the lower-48 will average well above average this summer, especially J/A/S.
I’m very pessimistic about this one. I don’t see a way out anymore.
00Z ECMWF is much drier than its 12Z run. So many moving parts next week though with a non-stop supply of ULLs just blossoming out of nothing makes me think it could easily go back to wet.
Here's March-April-May in Newport Beach:
2 back-to-back years of cooler springs than normal is not climate change.
A rise of ~2.5 degrees over a 100-year period of record is.
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