00z GEFS Day 13 (4-run trend) is definitely interesting. Grasping at straws? Perhaps. It's nothing great at this point, but this run the ridge doesn't drift east sitting over us, but rather is showing signs of subtle retrogression with much weaker energy over the Aleutians. Of course this is the GFS, so take this with a grain of pepper.

Station 46089 is at 986mb and the low is still a good distance from it, so I estimate the low is now at 983-984mb.

Don't understand why they over-rely on the NBM. Of course the most notable one was Feb 22nd, 2023, twice in the same day.

18z eps still had a lot of uncertainty

Still shows 50mph+ gusts at SEA.