Big swings in deterministic runs. 00z vs 12z ECMWF has huge differences in snow totals. As Black Hole alluded to it's all in the handling of 500mb pattern. 00z run had a much sharper arctic trough and a stronger SE ridge which helped with moisture transport further north, in conjunction with the SW cutoff low ejecting. 12z run is much more flat overall.

That setup looks great if we can just eject some SW energy .

12z Euro also has a weak wave around the 25th. Light band of 1-3 along I-70 but does increase across KY Into VA. Key is getting some of the southern energy into this like the GFS.

I’m really nervous, I could actually see SF win this one

EPS basically holding. Such a finicky pattern that even the ensembles have been swinging from run to run.