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July 2017 PNW Discussion Thread

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#101
VancouverIslandSouth

Posted 03 July 2017 - 10:44 AM

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Drought is much worse than I thought up there.   Even the ocean has dried up and disappeared!  

 

It was a rough spring for drought and this summer hasn't been doing us any favors.



#102
Jesse

Posted 03 July 2017 - 10:55 AM

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12Z ECMWF is going all troughy on us in a week.


It's been strange to see the GFS leading the Euro lately.
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#103
Jesse

Posted 03 July 2017 - 11:06 AM

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Wasn't a trough over the intermountain west part of a couple July forecasts? Looks like the complete opposite the next 7-10 days. Huge ridge over that region. Luckily we stay mostly on the periphery.

Could be a hot trip to Montana July 15-22 if this pattern keeps up.

#104
Geos

Posted 03 July 2017 - 11:14 AM

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Stubborn marine layer today. Had some light drizzle earlier this morning. Just now cracking 60


Finn Hill, elevation: 460 ft
2018 moisture: 27.16", 10/9

Lowest Temp of Autumn 2018: 36°, 10/03

 

2017-2018 winter snowfall total: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0"

Weather station/wx cam: http://map.bloomsky....qBxp6apnJSnqqm2
https://www.wundergr...OTHE144#history


#105
ShawniganLake

Posted 03 July 2017 - 11:32 AM

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There does seem to be a lot of marine stratus to the north of here, while the sky to the south is completely clear. This area is a lot less susceptible to marine stratus, there's nothing for it to pile against in the prevailing winds. The east side of Vancouver Island is pretty good at kicking the stratus at this time of year as well, looking nice at Rathtrevor today:

current.jpg

A bit of stratus here this morning but it cleared quickly.

Managed a high of 80F here late yesterday afternoon

#106
stuffradio

Posted 03 July 2017 - 12:36 PM

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It's finally mostly sunny now.



#107
luvssnow_seattle

Posted 03 July 2017 - 01:18 PM

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Drizzle here earlier and still cloudy... Troughy day. 



#108
TT-SEA

Posted 03 July 2017 - 01:25 PM

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Drizzle here earlier and still cloudy... Troughy day. 

 

Yeah... our area is the ultimate status trap for the region.   Where stratus goes to die and then stays even longer.

 

sat.png



#109
Geos

Posted 03 July 2017 - 01:50 PM

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Getting some breaks now in the cloud deck. Fortunately today looks like the cloudiest day out of the whole week before the ridge builds in.

 

Paine Field are has cleared out nicely. Can see the stratus on the southern horizon.

 

current.jpg?1499119053


Finn Hill, elevation: 460 ft
2018 moisture: 27.16", 10/9

Lowest Temp of Autumn 2018: 36°, 10/03

 

2017-2018 winter snowfall total: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0"

Weather station/wx cam: http://map.bloomsky....qBxp6apnJSnqqm2
https://www.wundergr...OTHE144#history


#110
Jesse

Posted 03 July 2017 - 01:53 PM

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Yeah... our area is the ultimate status trap for the region. Where stratus goes to die and then stays even longer.


Been such an awful summer so far. Endless clouds and gloom.

#111
TT-SEA

Posted 03 July 2017 - 02:00 PM

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Been such an awful summer so far. Endless clouds and gloom.

 

That is not what I said.  



#112
TT-SEA

Posted 03 July 2017 - 02:01 PM

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Getting some breaks now in the cloud deck. Fortunately today looks like the cloudiest day out of the whole week before the ridge builds in.

 

Yeah... should be sunnier for the rest of the week.   



#113
VancouverIslandSouth

Posted 03 July 2017 - 02:17 PM

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A bit of stratus here this morning but it cleared quickly.

Managed a high of 80F here late yesterday afternoon

 

Made it up to 76F here yesterday. Sitting at about 70F now, not going to match yesterday's high from the looks of it. The readings at the airport were pretty unusual yesterday, looks like an ~8pm high there.



#114
Phil

Posted 03 July 2017 - 02:18 PM

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Verbatim, many of the 12z EPS members depict the coolest 850mb temperatures ever observed over the high Arctic in July since the start of ESRL reanalysis (1947) during week two.

Impressive.
Personal Weather Station, Live Stream on Wunderground: https://www.wundergr...pwsdash#history

#115
Deweydog

Posted 03 July 2017 - 02:29 PM

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Verbatim, many of the 12z EPS members depict the coolest 850mb temperatures ever observed over the high Arctic in July since the start of ESRL reanalysis (1947) during week two.

Impressive.


iceagenow.gov

All roads lead to Walgreens.  


#116
Phil

Posted 03 July 2017 - 02:31 PM

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iceagenow.gov


That all you've got?
Personal Weather Station, Live Stream on Wunderground: https://www.wundergr...pwsdash#history

#117
Deweydog

Posted 03 July 2017 - 02:32 PM

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That all you've got?


iceagealittlelater.gov?
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All roads lead to Walgreens.  


#118
Phil

Posted 03 July 2017 - 02:32 PM

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iceagealittlelater.gov?


A little better.
Personal Weather Station, Live Stream on Wunderground: https://www.wundergr...pwsdash#history

#119
Deweydog

Posted 03 July 2017 - 02:38 PM

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A little better.


This summer had been just that compared to what I expected.

All roads lead to Walgreens.  


#120
Phil

Posted 03 July 2017 - 02:46 PM

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Yet another wavenumber 6+ pattern on the 18z GFS. We went over 9 years without a recurring W-6 until 2016.

We've since seen 24 days of W-6 since last July.
Personal Weather Station, Live Stream on Wunderground: https://www.wundergr...pwsdash#history

#121
Jesse

Posted 03 July 2017 - 02:47 PM

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That all you've got?


His humor has been unusually weak lately.

#122
Phil

Posted 03 July 2017 - 02:51 PM

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His humor has been unusually weak lately.


I've noticed it too.
Personal Weather Station, Live Stream on Wunderground: https://www.wundergr...pwsdash#history

#123
stuffradio

Posted 03 July 2017 - 02:52 PM

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His humor has been unusually weak lately.

He's been begging for someone to pickup the slack, but no one has taken charge.



#124
Jesse

Posted 03 July 2017 - 02:58 PM

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He's been begging for someone to pickup the slack, but no one has taken charge.


The PMs between you two are best kept private.

#125
stuffradio

Posted 03 July 2017 - 03:09 PM

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The PMs between you two are best kept private.

Sometimes secrets are more exciting when you slip bits of it out in public.


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#126
ShawniganLake

Posted 03 July 2017 - 03:15 PM

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Made it up to 76F here yesterday. Sitting at about 70F now, not going to match yesterday's high from the looks of it. The readings at the airport were pretty unusual yesterday, looks like an ~8pm high there.


Wind switched westerly late in the day up this way. Pretty common to see a spike in temps when that first happens. The SE sea breeze reverses to more of a westerly offshore downslope type wind, at least until the cooler air arrives from the west coast, which takes a few hours typically.

#127
Phil

Posted 03 July 2017 - 03:22 PM

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Yikes. Polar cap heights are tanked.

Can you say +AO?

CAE793BB-920F-4EA6-A09C-EACF617B5762_zps
Personal Weather Station, Live Stream on Wunderground: https://www.wundergr...pwsdash#history

#128
Jesse

Posted 03 July 2017 - 05:25 PM

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Gorgeous day. Does the fact that I could take a whole summer of this mean that I hate America/Jesus?

#129
TT-SEA

Posted 03 July 2017 - 05:30 PM

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Gorgeous day. Does the fact that I could take a whole summer of this mean that I hate America/Jesus?

 

I would tend to agree with you based on the weather you had down there... sun before noon and a high of 77.

 

We had the stratus layer get stuck right over King County all day while it evaporated across the entire region... so I would not want an entire summer of today based on the weather here.   That would be sad.   



#130
Jesse

Posted 03 July 2017 - 05:31 PM

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I would tend to agree with you based on the weather you had down there... sun before noon and a high of 77.

We had the stratus layer get stuck right over King County all day while it evaporated across the entire region... so I would not want an entire summer of today based on the weather here. That would be sad.


Jesus would be crying for sure.

#131
Deweydog

Posted 03 July 2017 - 05:59 PM

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He's been begging for someone to pickup the slack, but no one has taken charge.


Jesse misspelled ever...

All roads lead to Walgreens.  


#132
Deweydog

Posted 03 July 2017 - 06:05 PM

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Gorgeous day. Does the fact that I could take a whole summer of this mean that I hate America/Jesus?


It means you're boring.

All roads lead to Walgreens.  


#133
Jesse

Posted 03 July 2017 - 06:09 PM

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It means you're boring.


Sweating is the most exciting summer activity I can possibly think of!

#134
Deweydog

Posted 03 July 2017 - 06:14 PM

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Sweating is the most exciting summer activity I can possibly think of!


Turn on a fan.

All roads lead to Walgreens.  


#135
Jesse

Posted 03 July 2017 - 06:15 PM

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Turn on a fan.


Doesn't sound as exciting.

#136
wx_statman

Posted 03 July 2017 - 06:16 PM

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Gorgeous day. Does the fact that I could take a whole summer of this mean that I hate America/Jesus?

 

Well, Jesus was from a hot-summer Mediterranean climate zone. So...


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#137
TT-SEA

Posted 03 July 2017 - 06:17 PM

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Stratus finally breaking up... much more stubborn than models showed.

 

nb2.png



#138
Deweydog

Posted 03 July 2017 - 06:23 PM

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Doesn't sound as exciting.


Stick your finger in it.

All roads lead to Walgreens.  


#139
Kayla

Posted 03 July 2017 - 06:27 PM

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Wasn't a trough over the intermountain west part of a couple July forecasts? Looks like the complete opposite the next 7-10 days. Huge ridge over that region. Luckily we stay mostly on the periphery.

Could be a hot trip to Montana July 15-22 if this pattern keeps up.

 

12z ECMWF does indeed put us in the cooker later this week. Second half of this month looks a lot better on the weeklies though so fingers crossed!

 

Where in MT you headed??


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Cold Season 2018/19:

Total snowfall: 11.0"
Highest daily snowfall: 7.0"

Highest snow depth: 7.0"

Coldest high: 36.1º
Coldest low: 18.0º

Number of subzero days: 0

 

Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: https://www.wundergr...OZEM152#history


#140
Deweydog

Posted 03 July 2017 - 06:27 PM

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Well, Jesus was from a hot-summer Mediterranean climate zone. So...


He was quite famous for his tablet forum snarky laments about it though.

All roads lead to Walgreens.  


#141
wx_statman

Posted 03 July 2017 - 06:34 PM

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He was quite famous for his tablet forum snarky laments about it though.

 

He also lived during what was known as the Roman Warm Period. That didn't help matters. 


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#142
TT-SEA

Posted 03 July 2017 - 08:21 PM

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It's been strange to see the GFS leading the Euro lately.

 

And now the 00Z GFS comes in quite a bit warmer through the weekend.    



#143
Geos

Posted 03 July 2017 - 08:31 PM

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Hit 69 here. Stratus did finally break up after 6pm here.


Finn Hill, elevation: 460 ft
2018 moisture: 27.16", 10/9

Lowest Temp of Autumn 2018: 36°, 10/03

 

2017-2018 winter snowfall total: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0"

Weather station/wx cam: http://map.bloomsky....qBxp6apnJSnqqm2
https://www.wundergr...OTHE144#history


#144
Jesse

Posted 03 July 2017 - 08:32 PM

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Stick your finger in it.


Don't know if I feel comfortable taking that step with you just yet.

#145
Jesse

Posted 03 July 2017 - 08:34 PM

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12z ECMWF does indeed put us in the cooker later this week. Second half of this month looks a lot better on the weeklies though so fingers crossed!

Where in MT you headed??


Whitefish.
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#146
Deweydog

Posted 03 July 2017 - 08:47 PM

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Don't know if I feel comfortable taking that step with you just yet.


Jesus Christ, we've known each other for 10+ years. Don't be such a little b*tch.
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All roads lead to Walgreens.  


#147
stuffradio

Posted 03 July 2017 - 09:19 PM

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The latest CFSv2 is showing a cooler Nov/Dec than normal, followed by a warm JFA. The latest CANSIPs is showing a strong +PDO weak modoki El Nino by then.


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#148
luvssnow_seattle

Posted 03 July 2017 - 09:35 PM

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Been such an awful summer so far. Endless clouds and gloom.


Drama...

#149
ShawniganLake

Posted 03 July 2017 - 09:36 PM

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Whitefish.

My uncle has a house and some farmland in Whitetail. I could probably get you a good deal if you're interested.

#150
Jesse

Posted 03 July 2017 - 09:38 PM

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My uncle has a house and some farmland in Whitetail. I could probably get you a good deal if you're interested.


That's nice of you. It will probably be several more years before we are looking. I will keep it in mind, though.