April 2022 (April 2008/2011 redux)

[Omegaraptor]

Heading to Cascade Volcanoes class. Last class was a lecture about Mt Pinatubo! It was about using activity to predict an eruption, evacuation plans, etc but there was a slide on SO2 and global climate cooling as well.

[TigerWoodsLibido]

7 minutes ago, Omegaraptor said:

Heading to Cascade Volcanoes class. Last class was a lecture about Mt Pinatubo! It was about using activity to predict an eruption, evacuation plans, etc but there was a slide on SO2 and global climate cooling as well.

Hopefully we can get a nice supervolcano to blow soon. Get some hydroponics working. Would be fun!

[TacomaWaWx]

1 minute ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

Hopefully we can get a nice supervolcano to blow soon. Get some hydroponics working. Would be fun!

As long as it’s not one in the cascades lol. 

[TT-SEA]

2 hours ago, MossMan said:

You just learned that today??  

I won’t melt but after nearly 20yrs of working out in it I chose not to and I do root for dry days! Two in a row and preferably on the weekends is all I ask. Now order it up! 

For some reason... Andrew says my friendly response to his troll post was a troll post (and DareDuck agreed).

Apparently anything other than posting about loving cold and wet weather is just trolling.    But Andrew was definitely not trolling with his post.   

[TT-SEA]

6 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

Hopefully we can get a nice supervolcano to blow soon. Get some hydroponics working. Would be fun!

Well that would probably cause significant death and destruction.    And could end human civilization.    

[SilverFallsAndrew]

3 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

For some reason... Andrew says my friendly response to his troll post was a troll post (and DareDuck agreed).

Apparently anything other than posting about loving cold and wet weather is just trolling.    But Andrew was definitely not trolling with his post.   

HUH

[TT-SEA]

1 minute ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

HUH

You trolled and I responded.    You reacted to my response with a troll emoji.     But you were the one trolling.  

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Just now, TT-SEA said:

You trolled and I responded.    You reacted to my response with a troll emoji.     But you were the one trolling.  

No one is trolling you sir. 

[TT-SEA]

Just now, SilverFallsAndrew said:

No one is trolling you sir. 

Your post last night was definitely trolling.     

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Just now, TT-SEA said:

Your post last night was definitely trolling.     

Just pointing out absurdity. Looking forward to some rain upcoming. Can never have enough in this drying climate. 

[TT-SEA]

12Z GFS was pretty nice overall.   Certainly not dry... but with many more opportunities for nice days than we have been seeing lately.  

[TT-SEA]

1 minute ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Just pointing out absurdity. Looking forward to some rain upcoming. Can never have enough in this drying climate. 

Absurdity of looking forward to a nice weekend day?    I am pretty sure the vast majority of people would not call that absurd.     Oh Andrew.   Always so dour.  

[Phil]

12 hours ago, TT-SEA said:

I really like a little more humidity and less heat.    Upper 70s with a dewpoint in the upper 50s is close to summer perfection for me... and if it comes with thunderstorms then all the better.     I would take that over 90 degrees every day of the week.   

So you wouldn’t enjoy the summers in Isle of Palms, SC?  

[TT-SEA]

2 minutes ago, Phil said:

So you wouldn’t enjoy the summers in Isle of Palms, SC?  

Probably not.     But it would be a great place to own rental property and its a great place to visit in the shoulder seasons (e.g. April, May, October, November).

[Phil]

00z EPS 850mb temp anomalies. Can sort of pick out the increasing wavenumber as we head deeper into spring.

[Phil]

6 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Probably not.     But it would be a great place to own rental property and its a great place to visit in the shoulder seasons (e.g. April, May, October, November).

I will say if you’re on the coast it’s more tolerable due to the afternoon sea breeze, which can be quite stiff. Down in Saint Simon’s GA it turns on every day around noontime from June/July to September. Conditions would be intolerable without that.

[Phil]

Actually doesn’t look bad yet. Inching into the summer pattern.

[MossMan]

Raining. 

[TT-SEA]

SEA radar is down again.

[Phil]

Holy guacamole! This is gonna warm the E-IO as well as cool the ENSO regions. Can’t get more La Niña than this.

[TacomaWaWx]

[MossMan]

2 minutes ago, Phil said:

Holy guacamole! This is gonna warm the E-IO as well as cool the ENSO regions. Can’t get more La Niña than this.

That does not look like Guacamole. 
Well actually in the middle it kind of does…

Im hungry. 
 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

5 minutes ago, MossMan said:

That does not look like Guacamole. 
Well actually in the middle it kind of does…

Im hungry. 
 

I love Guacamole. 

 

[Omegaraptor]

13 minutes ago, Phil said:

Holy guacamole! This is gonna warm the E-IO as well as cool the ENSO regions. Can’t get more La Niña than this.

Yeah this thing is definitely going to last into winter 2022-23. Keep in mind it’s going to be westerly / +QBO as well. I have a feeling next winter is going to be a monster.

[snow drift]

51 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Probably not.     But it would be a great place to own rental property and its a great place to visit in the shoulder seasons (e.g. April, May, October, November).

The South has nice springs before the humidity starts really cranking up in May.

[snow drift]

41 minutes ago, Phil said:

Actually doesn’t look bad yet. Inching into the summer pattern.

I miss March and April down there. Spokane's springs tend to be rather frigid.

[snow drift]

11 minutes ago, Omegaraptor said:

Yeah this thing is definitely going to last into winter 2022-23. Keep in mind it’s going to be westerly / +QBO as well. I have a feeling next winter is going to be a monster.

1975-76 was a 3rd year la niña with a +QBO, and it was a mediocre winter. 1999-2000 was a 2nd year event with a +QBO, and it wasn't much better. Let's hope la niña is weaker.

[Phil]

11 minutes ago, snow drift said:

The South has nice springs before the humidity starts really cranking up in May.

Yup. That’s why I love this time of year. Not even a hint of humidity here yet. Dewpoints were higher in December.

Time running out though. Mid-May is usually when the gunk starts creeping in.

[Phil]

19 minutes ago, Omegaraptor said:

Yeah this thing is definitely going to last into winter 2022-23. Keep in mind it’s going to be westerly / +QBO as well. I have a feeling next winter is going to be a monster.

Odds are definitely increased under Niña/+QBO. Vast majority of the big dogs were such.

Just want to avoid a super niña. Other complications can arise if it gets too strong. But even that didn’t stop years like 1949/50.

[Iceresistance]

2 minutes ago, Phil said:

Odds are definitely increased under Niña/+QBO. Vast majority of the big dogs were such.

Just want to avoid a super niña. Other complications can arise if it gets too strong. But even that didn’t stop years like 1949/50.

Has there ever been a Super La Niña recorded?

Also, it seems like that California is potentially due for a ARkStorm, the last one occurred in the winter of 1861-62 and it cycles every 150-200 years. (Yes, I've researched it)

[snow drift]

39 minutes ago, MossMan said:

That does not look like Guacamole. 
Well actually in the middle it kind of does…

Im hungry. 
 

You bring the guacamole, and I'll bring the tortilla chips.

[snow drift]

6 minutes ago, Iceresistance said:

Has there ever been a Super La Niña recorded?

Also, it seems like that California is potentially due for a ARkStorm, the last one occurred in the winter of 1861-62 and it cycles every 150-200 years. (Yes, I've researched it)

1955-56 and 1973-74 are two years that come to mind.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

3 minutes ago, snow drift said:

1955-56 and 1973-74 are two years that come to mind.

Good for our 1955-56 redux. 

[Iceresistance]

6 minutes ago, snow drift said:

1955-56 and 1973-74 are two years that come to mind.

Well, there was no accurate measurements for those years, but this year may change that. (Also, there has never been a La Nina that has been as strong as the Super El Nino, this could change that)

[Phishy Wx]

1 hour ago, Phil said:

Actually doesn’t look bad yet. Inching into the summer pattern.

will be there in a little over 3 weeks, can't wait.

[snow drift]

50 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Good for our 1955-56 redux. 

Let me relive 1985-86. 

[snow drift]

50 minutes ago, Iceresistance said:

Well, there was no accurate measurements for those years, but this year may change that. (Also, there has never been a La Nina that has been as strong as the Super El Nino, this could change that)

You can't match a Super Niño. Those years had strong cold anomalies though. 1988-89 also had strong cold anomalies.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

[Deweydog]

Light rain here downtown!

[Phil]

New EPS weeklies.