April 2022 (April 2008/2011 redux)

[TacomaWaWx]

Snow. 

[Skagit Weather]

00Z Euro is not quite as juicy as the 12z, but still looks incredible for Monday/Tuesday. Monday may actually be one of the biggest snow storms of the winter in the North Cascades! 

[DJ Droppin]

Welcome to April

00z ECMWF 10 Day Rainfall, Snowfall totals

[TigerWoodsLibido]

35F and partly cloudy.

[Meatyorologist]

April, folx

[T-Town]

Bunny convention in progress this morning. 40 degrees here. 

[Cascadia_Wx]

An April like 2008 or 2011 isn’t happening but it would be nice to at least avoid another warm and dry month haven’t had even a slightly below average April in five years 

[Cascadia_Wx]

Partly cloudy with a low of 37 this morning to start off the new month had a partly cloudy 55/41 day yesterday to close out March with quite a few sunbreaks and no measurable rain 

[Mr Marine Layer]

7 hours ago, Skagit Weather said:

00Z Euro is not quite as juicy as the 12z, but still looks incredible for Monday/Tuesday. Monday may actually be one of the biggest snow storms of the winter in the North Cascades! 

Except that it's not winter anymore. 

[Mr Marine Layer]

2 hours ago, Meatyorologist said:

April, folx

Not April fools

[TacomaWaWx]

Got down to 38 here this morning…coldest low temp in the last 2 weeks. 

[Timmy Supercell]

The weather has decided to say April Fools. A small shower came over us with graupel/wet snow and a brief 40-45mph gust. It's in the mid-30's so its melting quickly and didn't seem like sleet.

[T-Town]

13 minutes ago, TacomaWaWx said:

Got down to 38 here this morning…coldest low temp in the last 2 weeks. 

What a beautiful morning. Cool and crisp and sunny. Love it. 

[SouthHillFrosty]

 

 

[TacomaWaWx]

Looking at last nights euro run…tonight’s system will probably give us 0.10” or less of rainfall. Should be a pretty decent soaker early next week though…likely the most significant rainstorm since 2/28. The last week has been pretty dry…just 0.02” in that timeframe. 

[RentonHillTC]

3 hours ago, Meatyorologist said:

April, folx

[Timmy Supercell]

I remember snow in April 2008, in Hillsboro. It was either a trace or didn't stick, can't remember. 

By 2011 I had already moved to the east slopes. 

[Phil]

43 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said:

 

 

D*mn you had me there for a sec.

[MossMan]

Feels similar this time around as well. 

[Cascadia_Wx]

Looks like March was another warmer and drier than normal month for the region 

 

[Cascadia_Wx]

Hopefully can turn things around in April. Even a month with near average temps and precip would be a win after the last few April’s 

[TT-SEA]

9 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

Looks like March was another warmer and drier than normal month for the region 

 

That ironically leaves out March 1st which was very wet in the Cascade foothills.     The stations out here were wetter than normal for March.

[Phil]

17 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

Hopefully can turn things around in April. Even a month with near average temps and precip would be a win after the last few April’s 

Can already track the series of events that culminates in the deep mid-April troughing, emanating from the Indo-east Asia sector. Expressed perfectly through the in-situ Niña background state.

Of course, the same intraseasonal cycle responsible for the upcoming troughing will likely produce a ridgy period late in the month and/or early May (seasonal changes in expressed tropical-ET teleconnections).

But with the Niña background state seemingly immovable, it seems unlikely any sort of +TNH type pattern will dominate on the seasonal or low-pass subseasonal scale. Looks closer to the pattern in -PDO/-PMM years compared to the inverse, barring some gargantuan change in the system state (which seems unlikely as the n-polar stratosphere is already in its warm season state and the wave pool is transitioning..so not much left to kick the system out of the current state). 

[Phil]

That’s a ton of precip on the GFS. Streamflow seems ideally oriented to maximize orographic lifting without the WAA commonly associated with ARs. Unless I’m missing some topographic element that you locals understand better than I.

[TT-SEA]

3 minutes ago, Phil said:

That’s a ton of precip on the GFS. Looks like a pretty ideal setup to maximize orographic lifting without the WAA commonly associated with ARs. Unless I’m missing some topographic element that you locals understand better than I.

Not really that wet except for the mountains... and even drier down in CA.

The 12Z run is quite a bit drier than the 00Z run.  

 

[Cascadia_Wx]

12z Euro looking good 

[Phil]

2 hours ago, TT-SEA said:

Not really that wet except for the mountains... and even drier down in CA.

The 12Z run is quite a bit drier than the 00Z run.  

 

I’m talking about the setup over the next week only. Obviously week-2 is more meridional/-PNA, where-as week-1 better fits the EOF for +EPO.

[Phil]

Coldest EPS run yet thru D15. Looks like it’s the West’s turn for some dynamic spring weather.

D8-15:

[Deweydog]

What’s everybody doing for spring break???

[TigerWoodsLibido]

1 minute ago, Deweydog said:

What’s everybody doing for spring break???

Filming ANALogs Gone Wild 2022-23.

[Timmy Supercell]

24 minutes ago, Deweydog said:

What’s everybody doing for spring break???

[TT-SEA]

Driving to Pullman today for parents weekend.   Weather has been beautiful.   There was plenty of snow at the pass but the trees were also budding out up there.    The reservoir east of pass is at the point of overflowing and the Yakima River is roaring coming down the east side.    Now down in the land of rolling hills and apple orchards and vineyards.   The land that Andrew hates with a passion!   Trees leafing out in central WA as well.     

[TacomaWaWx]

Up to 53 here. Clouds are thicker now though. 

[Skagit Weather]

It will be interesting to see how much this changes in the coming couple weeks. Over 100 years of data Baker is in the 20th percentile of its records. I assume a week from now most places will be much closer to normal.

CLIMATOLOGICAL SNOWDEPTH INFORMATION
NORTHWEST AVALANCHE CENTER SEATTLE WASHINGTON
DAY  1  MONTH  4  YEAR  2022 

DATA IN INCHES, -99 DENOTES MISSING DATA

            CURRENT  CLIMATE  PER CENT   LAST  THRU 2021  THRU 2021
            DEPTH    AVERAGE  OF NORMAL  YEAR  MAX/YEAR   MIN/YEAR

HURRICANE    65      105       62        121   252/1999    12/2015
MT BAKER    130      173       75        199   311/1999    17/2015
STEVENS      87      100       87        125   192/1956    22/2015
SNOQUALMIE   61       85       72        114   170/1956     2/1992
STAMPEDE     66       99       67        124   183/1956    17/1992
MISSION      20       46       43         42    86/1983     0/2015
CRYSTAL      60       71       85         96   144/1999     6/2015
PARADISE    136      175       78        217   327/1956    66/1941
WHITE PASS   39       56       70         78   110/1997     0/1992
TIMBERLINE  122      162       75        189   300/1999    57/2015
MEADOWS      88      127       69        154   199/2008    33/2015

[MossMan]

1 hour ago, Deweydog said:

What’s everybody doing for spring break???

Enjoying this puke fest called our current weather pattern and picking up the mother in law at the airport tomorrow…

[Rubus Leucodermis]

Wow, thundersnow! I wasn’t expecting that….

[Phil]

Last night’s Tornado confirmed by NWS today. First March tornado since…2011.

ANALOG?

[MossMan]

6 minutes ago, Phil said:

Last night’s Tornado confirmed by NWS today. First March tornado since…2011.

ANALOG?

January of 2012 was lovely. 

[Phishy Wx]

Maybe the 9th-16th is where we get the late season snow in E WA that just feels like it has to happen.  Just don't think winter is completely done.

[Phil]

11 minutes ago, MossMan said:

January of 2012 was lovely. 

Puke. I remember it snowed in October that year (11/12) then barely snowed again. Only 1” in all of DJFM.

Thought we’d paid off our karmic debt after that disaster. Then 2012/13 was just as bad.

[AlTahoe]

April 1st snow survey today came back with 4% of normal which ties 2015 as worst ever. Only 2.5" of snow on the ground at 7k. We were at 156% of normal Jan 1st. 

 

 

[Phil]

1 minute ago, AlTahoe said:

April 1st snow survey today came back with 4% of normal which ties 2015 as worst ever. Only 2.5" of snow on the ground at 7k. We were at 156% of normal Jan 1st. 

 

 

Major yikes.

Hopefully a solid turnaround coming this month.  

[TigerWoodsLibido]

22 minutes ago, MossMan said:

January of 2012 was lovely. 

Pretty boring down here. I'd much rather have a 2017 January.

[Timmy Supercell]

33 minutes ago, Phil said:

Last night’s Tornado confirmed by NWS today. First March tornado since…2011.

ANALOG?

I know of the biggest tornadoes that year, but how was Kentucky during all that?

[Phil]

12 minutes ago, Timmy_Supercell said:

I know of the biggest tornadoes that year, but how was Kentucky during all that?

Was a big year out there as well IIRC. I remember several tornado watches going up on that side of the apps in the span of a month or two.

My specific location actually got screwed that year despite it being a huge season for the region. One of those fluky things.

[Meatyorologist]

Monday will bring some fun clouds. Might have to venture somewhere with a view that day

[Meatyorologist]

39 minutes ago, AlTahoe said:

April 1st snow survey today came back with 4% of normal which ties 2015 as worst ever. Only 2.5" of snow on the ground at 7k. We were at 156% of normal Jan 1st. 

 

 

That is equally as impressive as it is concerning. From a wonderful season to an entirely new territory of dryness.

[Timmy Supercell]

11 minutes ago, Phil said:

Was a big year out there as well IIRC. I remember several tornado watches going up on that side of the apps in the span of a month or two.

My specific location actually got screwed that year despite it being a huge season for the region. One of those fluky things.

Looking up March 2011. Check this one out, same date as one just over a week ago that hit Ohio. This actually included my area though. 

[Timmy Supercell]

21 minutes ago, Timmy_Supercell said:

Looking up March 2011. Check this one out, same date as one just over a week ago that hit Ohio. This actually included my area though. 

Or...

[BLI snowman]

4 hours ago, Deweydog said:

What’s everybody doing for spring break???

Actually gonna be on Kauai during our mid-month slopmageddon.

Sorry Tim, you can't come!!