jcwxguy Posted November 29, 2015 Report Share Posted November 29, 2015 almost time for the euro 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted November 29, 2015 Report Share Posted November 29, 2015 I'm really pullin' for your in eastern Nebraska to get a good snow out of this system.RGEM pulling that higher qpf area further south. Ride the GFS! 2 Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted November 29, 2015 Report Share Posted November 29, 2015 Yeah that GFS looks pretty good for me too. Interested to see if DMX will add a row of counties onto the eastern side of the Watch. That would put me in it. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted November 29, 2015 Report Share Posted November 29, 2015 What did the GGEM show? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted November 29, 2015 Report Share Posted November 29, 2015 anyone have the 12z euro maps? Edit: that gfs snowfall maps looks different to others ive seen Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover76 Posted November 29, 2015 Report Share Posted November 29, 2015 What time is this starting? I land at Omaha at around 10 pm tonight should I be good? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted November 29, 2015 Report Share Posted November 29, 2015 around 9-10pm for the mix bag Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover76 Posted November 29, 2015 Report Share Posted November 29, 2015 D**n, cutting it close. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted November 29, 2015 Report Share Posted November 29, 2015 What did the GGEM show?http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gem/2015112912/gem_asnow_us_14.png Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover76 Posted November 29, 2015 Report Share Posted November 29, 2015 Hopefully classes at UNL are cancelled on Monday, but I doubt that happens. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover76 Posted November 29, 2015 Report Share Posted November 29, 2015 Why is OAX still forecasting 1-3? Are they sticking to a warmer solution? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted November 29, 2015 Report Share Posted November 29, 2015 Why is OAX still forecasting 1-3? Are they sticking to a warmer solution? probably, but even if we get 3" they are technically correct. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gabel23 Posted November 29, 2015 Report Share Posted November 29, 2015 Hopefully classes at UNL are cancelled on Monday, but I doubt that happens. Not much wind to go with this storm so whatever snow we do get shouldn't cause to many problems. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted November 29, 2015 Report Share Posted November 29, 2015 No Euro? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted November 29, 2015 Report Share Posted November 29, 2015 18z nam is horrible Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted November 29, 2015 Report Share Posted November 29, 2015 18z nam is horrible Looks like you guys get hit good judging by the surface map. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted November 29, 2015 Report Share Posted November 29, 2015 http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/namconus/2015112918/namconus_asnow_us_10.png Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Snowball Posted November 29, 2015 Report Share Posted November 29, 2015 Winter storm warning for lincoln Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted November 29, 2015 Report Share Posted November 29, 2015 Probably.just a slopfest here. Gonna be close. 18z gfs a concrete mixer Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted November 29, 2015 Report Share Posted November 29, 2015 Probably.just a slopfest here. Gonna be close. 18z gfs a concrete mixerwhere u located? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted November 29, 2015 Report Share Posted November 29, 2015 where u located?St charles mn Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEJeremy Posted November 29, 2015 Report Share Posted November 29, 2015 Neat. Winter storm warning for Omaha for up to .25" ice and only 2-4" of snow. I'd rather it just rain than deal with stupid ice and just a couple of inches of snow. Another disappointment. 2 winter storm warnings and a winter weather advisory already this season, and we'll be lucky to total 4" of snow between all 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted November 29, 2015 Report Share Posted November 29, 2015 Neat. Winter storm warning for Omaha for up to .25" ice and only 2-4" of snow. I'd rather it just rain than deal with stupid ice and just a couple of inches of snow. Another disappointment. 2 winter storm warnings and a winter weather advisory already this season, and we'll be lucky to total 4" of snow between all 3At least it's active! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted November 29, 2015 Report Share Posted November 29, 2015 I'm in a winter weather advisory for possible 2 tenths of ice and then 1-2" of snow. Should be a crusty mess. One county to my west is a winter storm warning. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted November 29, 2015 Report Share Posted November 29, 2015 These types of systems are a nightmare for forecasters. Trying to figure out precip types and how much of each, and where. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jaycee Posted November 29, 2015 Report Share Posted November 29, 2015 HRRR has LNK/OMA as the hotspot for precip. Here is the snowfall, still snowing at this point as well: http://rapidrefresh.noaa.gov/HRRR/for_web/hrrr_jet/2015112913/t2/acsnw_t2sfc_f24.pngEDIT: Not sure how much effort they put in here, but given where the Heavy Snow looks to fall (Minnesota), they are claiming it to be right overtop of OMA/LNK, i think this could get interesting. http://origin.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/noaa/noaad1.gif?1448839577 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clintbeed1993 Posted November 30, 2015 Report Share Posted November 30, 2015 Is there a reason that heavy band is so narrow? It's literally like 2 counties wide tops and everywhere else around it doesn't even get half of it's amounts. Not really sure what the deal is with that. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted November 30, 2015 Report Share Posted November 30, 2015 Would like to see a recent run of that since that run is old 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted November 30, 2015 Report Share Posted November 30, 2015 Good point Clint. I have watched the models for days and it has been consistent. If it comes true, who ever is underneath the heavy band could get significantly higher amounts than everyone else. Where it sets up is the key. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clintbeed1993 Posted November 30, 2015 Report Share Posted November 30, 2015 I just don't understand why it's that narrow. I rarely see it that narrow in any storm. Pretty much screws almost the entire state it that's the case. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover76 Posted November 30, 2015 Report Share Posted November 30, 2015 I just don't understand why it's that narrow. I rarely see it that narrow in any storm. Pretty much screws almost the entire state it that's the case.We used to get Norluns in the northeast that were like that. Nor'Easters used to do that same thing as well when they had heavy banding. Some areas would have 25" and others a few miles away would have 10" Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gabel23 Posted November 30, 2015 Report Share Posted November 30, 2015 HRRR has LNK/OMA as the hotspot for precip. Here is the snowfall, still snowing at this point as well: http://rapidrefresh.noaa.gov/HRRR/for_web/hrrr_jet/2015112913/t2/acsnw_t2sfc_f24.pngEDIT: Not sure how much effort they put in here, but given where the Heavy Snow looks to fall (Minnesota), they are claiming it to be right overtop of OMA/LNK, i think this could get interesting. http://origin.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/noaa/noaad1.gif?1448839577 I just don't understand why it's that narrow. I rarely see it that narrow in any storm. Pretty much screws almost the entire state it that's the case. Doesn't match the alignment of the snowfall Hastings and Omaha is predicting....their band of snow is aligned NW to SE. Gonna be an interesting next 24-48 hours. What I don't get is how OAX and Hastings can be so off on their warnings and advisories. Their warnings look so weird next to Hastings WWA for the CWA. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gabel23 Posted November 30, 2015 Report Share Posted November 30, 2015 Neat. Winter storm warning for Omaha for up to .25" ice and only 2-4" of snow. I'd rather it just rain than deal with stupid ice and just a couple of inches of snow. Another disappointment. 2 winter storm warnings and a winter weather advisory already this season, and we'll be lucky to total 4" of snow between all 3You should be exited, we have had 3 ULL's pass directly over SE Nebraska in a matter of 3 weeks. This winter will be a roller coaster active year and this year's severe weather season is going to be insane. I'm loving the set up of the LRC, can't wait to see the actual forecast. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted November 30, 2015 Report Share Posted November 30, 2015 I thought the same thing gabel23. Many times nws Hastings maps seem to come out of left field when comparing them to the gfs, nam, or euro. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted November 30, 2015 Report Share Posted November 30, 2015 Anyone have access to the 12z euro? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted November 30, 2015 Report Share Posted November 30, 2015 Would like to see a recent run of that since that run is oldhttp://rapidrefresh.noaa.gov/HRRR/for_web/hrrr_ncep_jet/2015112923/t2/acsnw_t2sfc_f15.png Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jaycee Posted November 30, 2015 Report Share Posted November 30, 2015 I hate to be greedy but man, that really slams lincoln. I hope it spreads the wealth more, this is the absolute worst I've ever seen models this close to a storm. If that pans out, I don't think I'll ever trust the NAM again. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted November 30, 2015 Report Share Posted November 30, 2015 http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/namconus/2015113000/namconus_asnow_us_13.png Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted November 30, 2015 Author Report Share Posted November 30, 2015 00z NAM suggests a nice "thump" snow over OMA/LNK between 8:00am - Noon tomorrow. Showing 1-2"/hr snowfall rates with that band which rolls on through. 3-6" ain't bad at all since its only late November. Hope it works out for you guys. Through Monday midnight... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
East Dubzz Posted November 30, 2015 Report Share Posted November 30, 2015 This thing looks like a real pain in the rear end to forecast. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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