Tom Posted December 28, 2015 Author Report Share Posted December 28, 2015 If there were even seasonable cold air to work with, there would have been a HUGE area of foot+ amounts of snow with this. Still fun to watch everything turn white with the sleet and wind though.As long as the ground stays white...I'm happy with the outcome! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted December 28, 2015 Report Share Posted December 28, 2015 Your probably not going to switch over and stay mainly snow. What do you think your going to get? 8-10" seems like a good bet?Hrrr shows one hour that we switch to sleet but switches right back to snow and has 13-14 in amounts from mke to up here and still snowing 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scott26 Posted December 28, 2015 Report Share Posted December 28, 2015 I'm having a lot of fun with this storm. I don't think I have ever seen it sleet so hard for such a long duration before. I tried walking my dog and neither of us lasted very long because ice pellets hurt! lol 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted December 28, 2015 Author Report Share Posted December 28, 2015 Hrrr shows one hour that we switch to sleet but switches right back to snow and has 13-14 in amounts from mke to up here and still snowingThis is finally your storm! Been way to long, right? I'm having a lot of fun with this storm. I don't think I have ever seen it sleet so hard for such a long duration before. I tried walking my dog and neither of us lasted very long because ice pellets hurt! lolSame here...hope we don't change over to rain and keep this sleet going for a longer time. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted December 28, 2015 Report Share Posted December 28, 2015 Pics came out pretty good. Picked a dark background to capture the flakes better. 1 Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Madtown Posted December 28, 2015 Report Share Posted December 28, 2015 Any chance this stays mostly snow out this way? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted December 28, 2015 Report Share Posted December 28, 2015 Light snow in center point IA for the moment sleet changed back Quote 2021-22 Snowfall: (Hiawatha) TOTAL: 10.2" (12/28: 3.0") (12/29: 0.8") (1/1: 6.4") Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted December 28, 2015 Author Report Share Posted December 28, 2015 KC metro showing like snow is falling according to radar. Winterfreak, is it snowing out by you? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted December 28, 2015 Report Share Posted December 28, 2015 About 75% sleet, and 25% snow now. 2" of snow total Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted December 28, 2015 Author Report Share Posted December 28, 2015 Any chance this stays mostly snow out this way?HRRR shows it mixing between 2:00-3:00pm Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterfreak Posted December 28, 2015 Report Share Posted December 28, 2015 KC metro showing like snow is falling according to radar. Winterfreak, is it snowing out by you?Some very light snow starting here. Won't last very long though. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEJeremy Posted December 28, 2015 Report Share Posted December 28, 2015 Exactly. Also, if you lock in based solely on modeling, your best bet is to throw out the outlier. I called the Euro an outlier 3 days ago. He's a professional. He should have had the wherewithal to do the same.Along with every other NWS office in the region that stuck with the Euro along with the WPC. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted December 28, 2015 Report Share Posted December 28, 2015 Low making tracks towards St. Louis.At 29° currently. Ok, now it's more like 50/50. Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GDR Posted December 28, 2015 Report Share Posted December 28, 2015 Just curious how much snow has the Omaha area received? Radar looks like it's been snowing all morning Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted December 28, 2015 Author Report Share Posted December 28, 2015 Just for model comparison and for tracking future dynamic storms...latest 12z Euro finally caught up on the track which the GFS had all along and has SLP tracking up through STL, Quincy, IL and through Chicago. Surprisingly, the GFS had this track over the last 2 days and goes to show that the Euro was not the King for this storm. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
East Dubzz Posted December 28, 2015 Report Share Posted December 28, 2015 The GFS had updates recently, correct? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterfreak Posted December 28, 2015 Report Share Posted December 28, 2015 GFS did do quite well with this one. Hope January fulfills everyone's snow weenie desires. Definitely seems like there will be opportunities if this stormy pattern can lock in with the upcoming cold pattern. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted December 28, 2015 Report Share Posted December 28, 2015 00z GFS showed heavy snow totals in IA hope its right Quote 2021-22 Snowfall: (Hiawatha) TOTAL: 10.2" (12/28: 3.0") (12/29: 0.8") (1/1: 6.4") Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pack402 Posted December 28, 2015 Report Share Posted December 28, 2015 Just curious how much snow has the Omaha area received? Radar looks like it's been snowing all morning[/q 2-3 in most areas Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted December 28, 2015 Report Share Posted December 28, 2015 Just for model comparison and for tracking future dynamic storms...latest 12z Euro finally caught up on the track which the GFS had all along and has SLP tracking up through STL, Quincy, IL and through Chicago. Surprisingly, the GFS had this track over the last 2 days and goes to show that the Euro was not the King for this storm. Wouldn't be surprised if it goes near Springfield, it's heading more NE across Missouri. Now it's mainly snow - big flakes again. 12:30pm and it's struggling to flip to sleet totally. Holy cow - was almost a whiteout for about 15 seconds. Hanging onto the snow returns barely. 1 Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowshoe Posted December 28, 2015 Report Share Posted December 28, 2015 Just for model comparison and for tracking future dynamic storms...latest 12z Euro finally caught up on the track which the GFS had all along and has SLP tracking up through STL, Quincy, IL and through Chicago. Surprisingly, the GFS had this track over the last 2 days and goes to show that the Euro was not the King for this storm. I'm not ready to say that. GFS was better within 2 days but the EURO was better in the long range. Quote WISCONSIN RAPIDS Wisconsin Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
East Dubzz Posted December 28, 2015 Report Share Posted December 28, 2015 Heavy sleet ATM. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WBadgersW Posted December 28, 2015 Report Share Posted December 28, 2015 MKX removed all mention of freezing rain from forecast. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted December 28, 2015 Author Report Share Posted December 28, 2015 Wouldn't be surprised if it goes near Springfield, it's heading more NE across Missouri. Now it's mainly snow - big flakes again. 12:30pm and it's struggling to flip to sleet totally. Holy cow - was almost a whiteout for about 15 seconds.Mt. Geo's in full effect... I'm not ready to say that. GFS was better within 2 days but the EURO was better in the long range.True, anything past 5 days I think the Euro does better, however, within 2 days the GFS had a better handle. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted December 28, 2015 Report Share Posted December 28, 2015 Solid red should be all snow. Interesting how that area swoops down near the lake. Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blugga Posted December 28, 2015 Report Share Posted December 28, 2015 The ice pellets are nice and large. Some measuring about 0.1". Coming down fast and hard.... and diagonally. Take your safety glasses out there because those things sting your eyes Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted December 28, 2015 Report Share Posted December 28, 2015 Snow and sleet up until 10:30 here now. Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ToastedRavs Posted December 28, 2015 Report Share Posted December 28, 2015 Big dry slot from Knoxville, Iowa sw to near St Joe, Mo. Be curious to see where that heavy band along Mo/ks border tracks as low moves northeast. Hopefully some good convective snow. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted December 28, 2015 Author Report Share Posted December 28, 2015 Looks like its going to be a battle between James/Gosaints/Money/Snowshoe on who may be the real winners in the snow dept... 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKwx2k4 Posted December 28, 2015 Report Share Posted December 28, 2015 I'm not ready to say that. GFS was better within 2 days but the EURO was better in the long range.Long range like day 4-5? Had the low tracking through central and NE Oklahoma and SE KS if I'm not mistaken. Not very close if you ask me. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted December 28, 2015 Report Share Posted December 28, 2015 Im guessing 3" here but it has blown around a lot. Small snow flakes with a little sleet mixed in. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted December 28, 2015 Report Share Posted December 28, 2015 Started about 20 minutes ago. Small flakes but ripping pretty good Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted December 28, 2015 Report Share Posted December 28, 2015 Much than I thought it would start as. Small flakes though Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
East Dubzz Posted December 28, 2015 Report Share Posted December 28, 2015 Still heavy sleet here. Hearing reports of it changing to snow in places around me, so hope that happens here as well. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted December 28, 2015 Report Share Posted December 28, 2015 994mb nearly in the St. Louis metro. Still not totally turned over to all sleet yet. Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted December 28, 2015 Report Share Posted December 28, 2015 HRRR seems to have relatively good handle on the system Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted December 28, 2015 Report Share Posted December 28, 2015 HRRR seems to have relatively good handle on the system Yeah it does. RPM is actually doing well right now for the local area. Looks like the low wants to go into central IL more than west central. Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted December 28, 2015 Report Share Posted December 28, 2015 GFS did do quite well with this one. Hope January fulfills everyone's snow weenie desires. Definitely seems like there will be opportunities if this stormy pattern can lock in with the upcoming cold pattern. Intellicast radar shows heavy snow returns over your area. True? Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted December 28, 2015 Report Share Posted December 28, 2015 completed the switch to snow in Center Point IA. Quote 2021-22 Snowfall: (Hiawatha) TOTAL: 10.2" (12/28: 3.0") (12/29: 0.8") (1/1: 6.4") Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted December 28, 2015 Report Share Posted December 28, 2015 HRRR still takes into western illinois but who knows where it will wander Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Join the conversation
You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.