12/26 - 12/29 Potential Wintry & Wet Winter Storm

[Tom]

If there were even seasonable cold air to work with, there would have been a HUGE area of foot+ amounts of snow with this.

 

Still fun to watch everything turn white with the sleet and wind though.

As long as the ground stays white...I'm happy with the outcome!

[Money]

Your probably not going to switch over and stay mainly snow. What do you think your going to get? 8-10" seems like a good bet?

Hrrr shows one hour that we switch to sleet but switches right back to snow and has 13-14 in amounts from mke to up here and still snowing

[Scott26]

I'm having a lot of fun with this storm. I don't think I have ever seen it sleet so hard for such a long duration before. I tried walking my dog and neither of us lasted very long because ice pellets hurt! lol

[Tom]

Hrrr shows one hour that we switch to sleet but switches right back to snow and has 13-14 in amounts from mke to up here and still snowing

This is finally your storm!  Been way to long, right?

 

I'm having a lot of fun with this storm. I don't think I have ever seen it sleet so hard for such a long duration before. I tried walking my dog and neither of us lasted very long because ice pellets hurt! lol

Same here...hope we don't change over to rain and keep this sleet going for a longer time.

[Geos]

Pics came out pretty good. Picked a dark background to capture the flakes better.

 

 

[Madtown]

Any chance this stays mostly snow out this way?

[hlcater]

Light snow in center point IA for the moment sleet changed back

[Tom]

KC metro showing like snow is falling according to radar.  Winterfreak, is it snowing out by you?

[Geos]

About 75% sleet, and 25% snow now. 2" of snow total

[Tom]

Any chance this stays mostly snow out this way?

HRRR shows it mixing between 2:00-3:00pm

[winterfreak]

KC metro showing like snow is falling according to radar. Winterfreak, is it snowing out by you?

Some very light snow starting here. Won't last very long though.

[NEJeremy]

Exactly. Also, if you lock in based solely on modeling, your best bet is to throw out the outlier. I called the Euro an outlier 3 days ago. He's a professional. He should have had the wherewithal to do the same.

Along with every other NWS office in the region that stuck with the Euro along with the WPC.

[Geos]

Low making tracks towards St. Louis.

At 29° currently. Ok, now it's more like 50/50.

 

[GDR]

Just curious how much snow has the Omaha area received? Radar looks like it's been snowing all morning

[Tom]

Just for model comparison and for tracking future dynamic storms...latest 12z Euro finally caught up on the track which the GFS had all along and has SLP tracking up through STL, Quincy, IL and through Chicago.  Surprisingly, the GFS had this track over the last 2 days and goes to show that the Euro was not the King for this storm.

[East Dubzz]

The GFS had updates recently, correct?

[winterfreak]

GFS did do quite well with this one. Hope January fulfills everyone's snow weenie desires. Definitely seems like there will be opportunities if this stormy pattern can lock in with the upcoming cold pattern.

[hlcater]

00z GFS showed heavy snow totals in IA hope its right

[pack402]

Just curious how much snow has the Omaha area received? Radar looks like it's been snowing all morning[/q

 

2-3 in most areas

[Geos]

Just for model comparison and for tracking future dynamic storms...latest 12z Euro finally caught up on the track which the GFS had all along and has SLP tracking up through STL, Quincy, IL and through Chicago.  Surprisingly, the GFS had this track over the last 2 days and goes to show that the Euro was not the King for this storm.

 

Wouldn't be surprised if it goes near Springfield, it's heading more NE across Missouri.

 

Now it's mainly snow - big flakes again. 12:30pm and it's struggling to flip to sleet totally. Holy cow - was almost a whiteout for about 15 seconds.

 

Hanging onto the snow returns barely.

 

[Snowshoe]

Just for model comparison and for tracking future dynamic storms...latest 12z Euro finally caught up on the track which the GFS had all along and has SLP tracking up through STL, Quincy, IL and through Chicago.  Surprisingly, the GFS had this track over the last 2 days and goes to show that the Euro was not the King for this storm.

 

I'm not ready to say that. GFS was better within 2 days but the EURO was better in the long range.

[East Dubzz]

Heavy sleet ATM.

[WBadgersW]

MKX removed all mention of freezing rain from forecast.

[Tom]

Wouldn't be surprised if it goes near Springfield, it's heading more NE across Missouri.

 

Now it's mainly snow - big flakes again. 12:30pm and it's struggling to flip to sleet totally. Holy cow - was almost a whiteout for about 15 seconds.

Mt. Geo's in full effect...

 

I'm not ready to say that. GFS was better within 2 days but the EURO was better in the long range.

True, anything past 5 days I think the Euro does better, however, within 2 days the GFS had a better handle.

[Geos]

Solid red should be all snow. Interesting how that area swoops down near the lake.

 

[Blugga]

The ice pellets are nice and large. Some measuring about 0.1". Coming down fast and hard.... and diagonally. Take your safety glasses out there because those things sting your eyes 

[Geos]

Snow and sleet up until 10:30 here now.

 

[ToastedRavs]

Big dry slot from Knoxville, Iowa sw to near St Joe, Mo. Be curious to see where that heavy band along Mo/ks border tracks as low moves northeast. Hopefully some good convective snow.

[Tom]

Looks like its going to be a battle between James/Gosaints/Money/Snowshoe on who may be the real winners in the snow dept...

[OKwx2k4]

I'm not ready to say that. GFS was better within 2 days but the EURO was better in the long range.

Long range like day 4-5? Had the low tracking through central and NE Oklahoma and SE KS if I'm not mistaken. Not very close if you ask me.

[james1976]

Im guessing 3" here but it has blown around a lot. Small snow flakes with a little sleet mixed in.

[gosaints]

Started about 20 minutes ago.  Small flakes but ripping  pretty good

[gosaints]

Much than I thought it would start as.  Small flakes though

[East Dubzz]

Still heavy sleet here. Hearing reports of it changing to snow in places around me, so hope that happens here as well.

[Geos]

994mb nearly in the St. Louis metro.

 

 

Still not totally turned over to all sleet yet.

[gosaints]

HRRR seems to have relatively good handle on the system

[Geos]

HRRR seems to have relatively good handle on the system

 

Yeah it does. RPM is actually doing well right now for the local area.

 

Looks like the low wants to go into central IL more than west central.

 

[Geos]

GFS did do quite well with this one. Hope January fulfills everyone's snow weenie desires. Definitely seems like there will be opportunities if this stormy pattern can lock in with the upcoming cold pattern.

 

Intellicast radar shows heavy snow returns over your area. True?

[hlcater]

completed the switch to snow in Center Point IA.

[gosaints]

HRRR still takes into western illinois but who knows where it will wander