Geos Posted February 12, 2016 Report Share Posted February 12, 2016 Gained some snow in NE IL this run. 0.5-1". Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tony Posted February 12, 2016 Report Share Posted February 12, 2016 Heck yeah - go FIM! So how accurate is the FIM9?In this case 100% accurate! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 12, 2016 Author Report Share Posted February 12, 2016 Heck yeah - go FIM! So how accurate is the FIM9?I'm doing a case study for this storm...never used it to track a storm this season....I know it performed well for the GHD Blizzard...it def looks similar to the RPM model and the GFS. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FV-Mike Posted February 12, 2016 Report Share Posted February 12, 2016 Skilling has cited the FIM in previous forecasts Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 12, 2016 Report Share Posted February 12, 2016 I'm doing a case study for this storm...never used it to track a storm this season....I know it performed well for the GHD Blizzard...it def looks similar to the RPM model and the GFS. I've never paid much attention to it.I will say these Pacific storms usually come in wetter than forecast. Skilling has cited the FIM in previous forecasts I think I might have heard of it several times before.0.5"-0.6" at 15:1 ratios would be great. Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 12, 2016 Author Report Share Posted February 12, 2016 I've never paid much attention to it.I will say these Pacific storms usually come in wetter than forecast. I think I might have heard of it several times before.0.5"-0.6" at 15:1 ratios would be great.LOT going with 15:1 - 18:1 snow ratios during the morning/afternoon period. The FIM is a higher rez model, even more so than the RPM I believe. It hasn't really budged in the main track since yesterday. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 12, 2016 Report Share Posted February 12, 2016 LOT going with 15:1 - 18:1 snow ratios during the morning/afternoon period. The FIM is a higher rez model, even more so than the RPM I believe. It hasn't really budged in the main track since yesterday. How often does it run? 4x times a day or 2x? Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 12, 2016 Author Report Share Posted February 12, 2016 How often does it run? 4x times a day or 2x?2x...00z/12z Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted February 12, 2016 Report Share Posted February 12, 2016 So far for my area they are calling for snowshowers. Nothing significant. Maybe an inch at the most. Although, today, numerous snowsqualls around, making it for a beautiful scenery outside. Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 13, 2016 Report Share Posted February 13, 2016 GEFSA lot of good ones in there. #2, #12, #14I think eventually winter weather advisory snows will be showing up by you too Niko. Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted February 13, 2016 Report Share Posted February 13, 2016 DMX going with 2-5" and very little talk about 2nd wave. Also mentions sw IA may hit 60 end of next week. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 13, 2016 Author Report Share Posted February 13, 2016 LOT's take... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted February 13, 2016 Report Share Posted February 13, 2016 Nam through 45 Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted February 13, 2016 Report Share Posted February 13, 2016 Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iowa2015 Posted February 13, 2016 Report Share Posted February 13, 2016 Still in the 4-7range. DMX Here has the Euro 2-5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted February 13, 2016 Report Share Posted February 13, 2016 http://www.weather.gov/images/dvn/WxStory/FileL.png?rand=6132 DVN's take. 1 Quote 2021-22 Snowfall: (Hiawatha) TOTAL: 10.2" (12/28: 3.0") (12/29: 0.8") (1/1: 6.4") Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 13, 2016 Author Report Share Posted February 13, 2016 00z GFS... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 13, 2016 Author Report Share Posted February 13, 2016 If the GFS is right, I'll take 4" and call it a day...I don't mind having an all day light/moderate snowfall on a Sunday...I'm sure it will be nice looking outside with the wind blowing the snow around. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 13, 2016 Report Share Posted February 13, 2016 NAM became wetter, but still off from previous GFS runs. Pretty much doubled the snowfall amounts here.System is still not onshore. Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 13, 2016 Report Share Posted February 13, 2016 Hopefully the bleeding will stop now. Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted February 13, 2016 Report Share Posted February 13, 2016 Bring on spring and baseball Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted February 13, 2016 Report Share Posted February 13, 2016 Bring on spring and baseballThe excitement ovet .05 qpf changed says it all Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted February 13, 2016 Report Share Posted February 13, 2016 The excitement ovet .05 qpf changed says it allI don't want any snow unless it's a big storm or 6+ Pointless otherwise and just makes it a mess to drive in Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 13, 2016 Report Share Posted February 13, 2016 I'm not remotely ready for spring yet. Newest MKX snow map. Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted February 13, 2016 Report Share Posted February 13, 2016 Spring>>>>>>>>>>Winter Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted February 13, 2016 Report Share Posted February 13, 2016 give me some Canadian Eh?? Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iowa2015 Posted February 13, 2016 Report Share Posted February 13, 2016 7.5 Nam ill take it. NAM became wetter, but still off from previous GFS runs. Pretty much doubled the snowfall amounts here.System is still not onshore. http://maps1.pivotalweather.com/models/nam/20160213/00Z/f84/acckucherasnowmw.png Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 13, 2016 Report Share Posted February 13, 2016 0z GEM, including the other wave. This system needs to hold its own another 100-150 miles. Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted February 13, 2016 Report Share Posted February 13, 2016 UK http://img.meteocentre.com/models/ukmet_amer_00/accum/PA_000-072_0000.gif Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 13, 2016 Author Report Share Posted February 13, 2016 00z NAM 4km... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 13, 2016 Author Report Share Posted February 13, 2016 00z GEFS...still showing some pretty good hits... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted February 13, 2016 Report Share Posted February 13, 2016 E13 knows what's up Quote 2021-22 Snowfall: (Hiawatha) TOTAL: 10.2" (12/28: 3.0") (12/29: 0.8") (1/1: 6.4") Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 13, 2016 Report Share Posted February 13, 2016 #10 please.If ratio end up being better, then that will make up for slightly less moisture. I hope to at least get 0.25" water. Tom, how is the FIM looking? Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WildWisconsinWeather Posted February 13, 2016 Report Share Posted February 13, 2016 Spring>>>>>>>>>>Winter Seriously, I haven't even had 20" yet this winter, yet still have had a few periods of yucky extreme cold. I'm tired of the new winter patterns we've had the last few years. Mostly suppression (though not this year) and warm and wet generally otherwise. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iowa2015 Posted February 13, 2016 Report Share Posted February 13, 2016 IAZ063>065-067-068-076>078-087>089-098-099-ILZ015>018-024>026-034-035-MOZ009-010-131745- IOWA-JOHNSON-CEDAR-MUSCATINE-SCOTT-KEOKUK-WASHINGTON-LOUISA-JEFFERSON-HENRY IA-DES MOINES-VAN BUREN-LEE-ROCK ISLAND-HENRY IL-BUREAU-PUTNAM-MERCER-HENDERSON-WARREN-HANCOCK-MCDONOUGH-SCOTLAND-CLARK-INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MARENGO...IOWA CITY...TIPTON...MUSCATINE...BETTENDORF...DAVENPORT...SIGOURNEY...WASHINGTON...WAPELLO...FAIRFIELD...MOUNT PLEASANT...BURLINGTON...KEOSAUQUA....FORT MADISON...MOLINE...ROCK ISLAND...KEWANEE...PRINCETON...HENNEPIN...ALEDO...OQUAWKA...MONMOUTH...CARTHAGE...MACOMB...MEMPHIS...KAHOKA338 AM CST SAT FEB 13 2016 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO6 PM CST SUNDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN QUAD CITIES HAS ISSUED A WINTERWEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM THISEVENING TO 6 PM CST SUNDAY. * TIMING...LATE THIS EVENING THROUGH THE DAY ON SUNDAY. * SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...3 TO 5 INCHES. * WIND...SOUTHEAST WINDS INCREASING TO GUSTS OVER 25 MPH LATERTONIGHT INTO SUNDAY MORNING. * TEMPERATURES...IN THE SINGLE DIGITS AND TEENS TONIGHT AND IN THE20S ON SUNDAY. * VISIBILITIES...LESS THAN A MILE IN HEAVIER SNOW AT TIMES. * IMPACTS...SNOW COVERED AND HAZARDOUS ROADS AND LOW VISIBILITYIN HEAVIER SNOWFALL. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 13, 2016 Author Report Share Posted February 13, 2016 00z FIM 9...pretty much lining up with the rest of the models... 12z NAM... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 13, 2016 Author Report Share Posted February 13, 2016 06z GFS... LOT...wasn't expected much...but I could live with 3-4"...need to see what the models do with the second wave. http://www.weather.gov/images/lot/WxStory/FileL.png?rand=18871 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 13, 2016 Author Report Share Posted February 13, 2016 12z GFS...parts of IL will finally see some decent snow fall for what has been a non-winter down state... 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted February 13, 2016 Report Share Posted February 13, 2016 DMX mentions potential Winter Storm Warning upgrade:IN ADDITION...HAVE A FEW LOCATIONS WITH SNOWFALL TOTALS NEAR 5 INCHES...ESPECIALLY IN THE EAST...AND WILL NEED TO MONITOR FOR POTENTIAL UPGRADE TO WINTER STORM WARNING. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted February 13, 2016 Report Share Posted February 13, 2016 These clippers often overperform so i wouldnt be surprised to see a few counties upgraded. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Join the conversation
You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.