October 2016 Observations and Model Discussion for the Pacific Northwest

[Tundra]

NWS Medford must not be following this Storm correctly.

 

NWS Medford @NWSMedford

"Here is the 11 AM satellite image showing the low pressure system. Please tweet us any damage reports with location & time. Thx #orwx #cawx"

 

http://i.imgur.com/Djw3dds.jpg

 

https://twitter.com/NWSMedford/status/787374848620261376

[TT-SEA]

You can basically track the storm on the coastal radar now.   Its racing almost straight north off the coast.   

[snow_wizard]

NWS Medford must not be following this Storm correctly.

 

NWS Medford @NWSMedford

"Here is the 11 AM satellite image showing the low pressure system. Please tweet us any damage reports with location & time. Thx #orwx #cawx"

 

 

https://twitter.com/NWSMedford/status/787374848620261376

 

That low isn't the right one.  The one in question is much closer to the coast.

[bainbridgekid]

That low isn't the right one.  The one in question is much closer to the coast.

That was the point of his post 

[snow_wizard]

You can basically track the storm on the coastal radar now.   Its racing almost straight north off the coast.   

 

I see the rotation so that must be it.  Quite a ways out there.  I'm really surprised to see there are no lightning strikes with it.  There is some lightning showing up well south of the low now.

[snow_wizard]

That was the point of his post 

 

I noticed that after I did the post.  How could a professional make a mistake like that?

[luterra]

Pressure rise with squall was temporary here in Corvallis, dropped back to 29.29" and still at minimum though beginning to tick upward.

[Tundra]

That was the point of his post 

I noticed that after I did the post.  How could a professional make a mistake like that?

 

It doesn't surprise me anymore with the NWS. 

[Weather101]

Heavy rain right now

[FroYoBro]

Newport finally getting some wind. 30G55 at last update. 

[Kayla]

South wind shift JUST kicked in at PDX.

[snow_wizard]

Gust to 65 off the mouth of the Columbia.

[Parksvillewx]

Wind and rain really picked up here in the last 45 minutes.

[FroYoBro]

It seems like too many people are trying to access weather obs from NWS and a lot of the pages aren't loading. 

[MossMan]

Very wet! Slight breeze!

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

Starting to get nasty here at the jetty. I would say about 50 mph gusts

[Brennan]

Overperform.. nobody talking about the 75mph winds forecasted in whatcom county!!!

[Weather101]

Winds really picking up

[MossMan]

Overperform.. nobody talking about the 75mph winds forecasted in whatcom county!!!

Nobody cares unless it's Seattle, Portland, or east of I-5 getting the 75mph winds apparently.

[Weather101]

Nobody cares unless it's Seattle, Portland, or east of I-5 getting the 75mph winds apparently.

Don't ya worry! I care

[luvssnow_spokane]

[snow_wizard]

Overperform.. nobody talking about the 75mph winds forecasted in whatcom county!!!

 

Even 75 would be an underperform compared to what could have happened.   Earlier runs showed wind gusts into the 80s being possible up there.  At any rate you should still get some decent wind up there.  I'm betting BLI tops out at 65 to 70.

[snow_wizard]

I know there has been some discussion on low placement. I think this wind flow map should help clarify it a bit ..IMG_1471.PNG

 

Pretty far out there.  Nice winds showing up on the coast though.

[Chewbacca Defense]

I know there has been some discussion on low placement. I think this wind flow map should help clarify it a bit ..IMG_1471.PNG

What app is that?

[Weather101]

Even 75 would be an underperform compared to what could have happened. Earlier runs showed wind gusts into the 80s being possible up there. At any rate you should still get some decent wind up there. I'm betting BLI tops out at 65 to 70.

I knew 80s weren't going to happen

[snow_wizard]

Forks is down to 28.93 and still falling.  Big time low pressure!

[snow_wizard]

I knew 80s weren't going to happen

 

I thought it could happen up until a couple of days ago.  Originally the models showed this thing would drop into the 958 mb range.

 

You seem to have a tad of hostility toward me...not sure why.

[Weather101]

I thought it could happen up until a couple of days ago. Originally the models showed this thing would drop into the 958 mb range.

 

You seem to have a tad of hostility toward me...not sure why.

Not at all! I like you're posts!! Maybe it's because I don't add any emojis lol I meant it as I just didn't think it would verify that's all.

[Brennan]

Daytime high so far of 52*f here. NNE WIND at 12mph right now.

[MossMan]

The rain has stopped for the moment, the dogs (well more like me) are happy about that!

[wx_statman]

Some big gusts to 40+ here in NE Portland. A couple power flickers as well.

[wx_statman]

I keep getting "Could not connect : Too many connections" when trying to view ASOS reports.

 

Lots of people must be trying to check...

[Kayla]

[Tundra]

Getting crazy at PDX Metro. This Sou'wester is starting to live up to expectations.

[FroYoBro]

Definitely windier than yesterday morning. A couple of gusts have looked around 50 mph. 

[MossMan]

Getting crazy at PDX Metro. This Sou'wester is starting to live up to expectations.

Overproducing down there, good sign for us!

[FroYoBro]

Overproducing down there, good sign for us!

Nah. I would say it is performing exactly as forecasted. 

[TT-SEA]

Rain has stopped... sky is brighter... dead calm here.  

 

 

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

85mph near Tillamook

[wx_statman]

PDX hasn't reported since 2:10.

 

NWS tweeted there was a 53mph gust @ 2:29.