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November 2022 PNW weather Discussion. #NoRidgeNovember

Iceresistance

By Iceresistance
in West of the Rockies

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Posted by smerfylicious,

A nice day for a newborn. Here's bellevue from a delivery room. I'll keep yall posted

Congrats!!!

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Posted by SouthHillJimmy,

Long time lurker here, decided to make an account and interact. This week will definitely be one hell of a ride!

Welcome Jimmy!

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gusky Veteran

gusky

Posted
Posted
3 minutes ago, Brennan said:

We certainly have an extremely low chance of getting anything meaningful before Christmas once this pattern gets its salad tossed. Maybe; maybe we see things reorganize in January.

December 15th area could be something, not worth looking at yet obv

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My Weather Station:  https://ambientweather.net/dashboard/b415ff35b2d13f00c899051028f04466 

Located in North Seattle, elevation ~150ft. Highest temperature ever recorded is 110.3, lowest is 14.5.

My Twitter

 

 

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smerfylicious
smerfylicious

A nice day for a newborn. Here's bellevue from a delivery room. I'll keep yall posted

SilverFallsAndrew
SilverFallsAndrew

Ummm we had our first freeze… School delay, and 1.5” of snow. 

MossMan
MossMan

Phantom snow has begun! 

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snow_wizard Grand Master

snow_wizard

Posted
Posted
3 minutes ago, SnowWillarrive said:

Really hope that precip shield shown on the EURO brings a bit heavier snow north. 

From what I can tell an inch would be about the minimum expectation for this area in the morning.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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snow_wizard Grand Master

snow_wizard

Posted
Posted
2 minutes ago, gusky said:

December 15th area could be something, not worth looking at yet obv

A compelling case could be made for late Dec/early Jan.  The repeating 30 day cycle seems to be happening this season...at least so far.  A lot of people swear by the LRC.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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snow_wizard Grand Master

snow_wizard

Posted
Posted
1 minute ago, RentonHillTC said:

Day 10

500h_anom.na (19).png

That could be going somewhere.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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SilverFallsAndrew Grand Master

SilverFallsAndrew

Posted
Posted
10 minutes ago, Brennan said:

I can see this week being the last of our winter weather for the entire season. 1994 status. 

That wouldn’t be a 1936-37 redux. 

  • Snow 1

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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Gradient Keeper Grand Master

Gradient Keeper

Posted
Posted
2 minutes ago, RentonHillTC said:

Sorry guys. Messed this run up so bad I turned it into a Nino. Wont make this mistake ever again!

Seriously? We give you the esteemed privilege just ONCE of handling the 00z EURO and you pull this crap? You are on a slippery slope to be demoted down to Mop Boy! Haha. Nah. Thanks for running it.

Night Shift 6z GFS in 2 hours 35 minutes

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SnowPlz Community Regular

SnowPlz

Posted
Posted
1 minute ago, Winterdog said:

Three weeks of brutal model riding.  Repeating model solutions of bitter cold and monstrous snow storms and what do I get?  A half hour of very wet snow, a few days with highs near 40.  Goodnight all.

Maybe the TRUE winter storms are the friends we made along the way 

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SilverFallsAndrew Grand Master

SilverFallsAndrew

Posted
Posted
3 minutes ago, Winterdog said:

Three weeks of brutal model riding.  Repeating model solutions of bitter cold and monstrous snow storms and what do I get?  A half hour of very wet snow, a few days with highs near 40.  Goodnight all.

It’s rough. We actually did okay up here in January 2020, but I was still pretty bitter about it. To me that event is the biggest disappointment of the past decade. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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snow_wizard Grand Master

snow_wizard

Posted
Posted
21 minutes ago, RentonHillTC said:

Sorry guys. Messed this run up so bad I turned it into a Nino. Wont make this mistake ever again!

We'll forgive you this time.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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snow_wizard Grand Master

snow_wizard

Posted
Posted
15 minutes ago, Snownerd3000 said:

What is LRC? 

The real answer is Long Range Cycle.  Some winters get into a routine of repeating patterns every 30 days or so.  Some years it doesn't emerge at all.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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Skagit Weather Veteran

Skagit Weather

Posted
Posted

November will end up with an average temperature of 39.6F in my backyard with 5.95" of rain. The rain is just slightly above average, but what's remarkable is more than half of that nearly 6" fell in less than 24 hours on November 4th. The 39.6F is almost 5 degrees below average which will be the second coldest month relative to average that I have records for, behind only February 2019. I ended up with 15 subfreezing lows this month which will tie for 7th most of any month in the last 12 years. What a change from last November when I failed to record a single freeze.

It's kind of unfortunate that one of the coldest November's in the last 75 years failed to produce any snow here, but that's how the cookie crumbles some times. I guess now it's time to move onto the 12th month and see what it has in store.

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Home Wx Station Stats (Since January 2008):

Max Temp: 96.3F (2009)   Min Temp: 2.0F (2008)   Max Wind Gust: 45 mph (2018, 2021)   Wettest Day: 2.34 (11/4/22)   Avg Yearly Precip: 37"   10yr Avg Snow: 8.0"

Snowfall Totals

'08-09: 30" | '09-10: 0.5" | '10-11: 21" | '11-12: 9.5" | '12-13: 0.2" | '13-14: 6.2" | '14-15: 0.0" | '15-16: 0.25"| '16-17: 8.0" | '17-18: 0.9"| '18-19: 11.5" | '19-20: 11" | '20-21: 10.5" | '21-22: 21.75" | '22-23: 10.0" 

2023-24: 7.0" (1/17: 3", 1/18: 1.5", 2/26: 0.5", 3/4: 2.0", Flakes: 1/11, 1/16)

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snow_wizard Grand Master

snow_wizard

Posted
Posted
2 minutes ago, Kolk1604 said:

Day 7 

ecmwf-ensemble-avg-namer-z500_anom-0457600 (1).png

Ridge bridge seems so possible with that.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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