November 2016 Observations and Model Discussion for the Pacific Northwest

[Jesse]

50 is the new 40.

: /

[chopper 918]

SCORE!

Only 10 days away!!!!

[Cold front]

East wind event for PDX

[Jesse]

East wind event for PDX

I like! We're living in a VERY east wind prone area now. Not quite at Rob level but getting there.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

I like! We're living in a VERY east wind prone area now. Not quite at Rob level but getting there.

Tie the trash cans down!

[SilverFallsAndrew]

18z running now!

[catnip]

18z running now!

 

Running to the Liquor Store!

[SilverFallsAndrew]

My gf just compared my obsession with snow to that of a small child lol

[luvssnow_spokane]

18z practically following step-for-step with 12z so far at 500mb and 850 temps.

I like consistency. 

[Bryant]

I like consistency.

Yesterday you were all negative, make up your mind!

[luvssnow_spokane]

Yesterday you were all negative, make up your mind!

lol.. NO! thanks!  ... in case you missed it a lot of it was sarcasm, BUT again NO... 

[catnip]

It seems a little faster with the cooler air on Sunday.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Massive cascade and foothills snow dump Sunday night

[bainbridgekid]

My gf just compared my obsession with snow to that of a small child lol

We had a moderate snow shower during school last year and I was definitely more excited than any of my 2nd graders.

 

And that was saying something since some of them thought it might turn into a blizzard.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

It seems a little faster with the cooler air on Sunday.

A tad

[stuffradio]

We had a moderate snow shower during school last year and I was definitely more excited than any of my 2nd graders.

 

And that was saying something since some of them thought it might turn into a blizzard.

I need my fix.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

The 18z buries me

[luvssnow_spokane]

Still looking too progressive for anything more than a couple days of cold temps and a little snow Monday/Tuesday. 

Yep... but this is just a "warning shot" -- At least that is what we are hearing.

[Timmy]

The 18z buries me

what about me?

[SilverFallsAndrew]

what about me?

 

You should do well. 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

It is very progressive. I'll take the 3 day cool/cold snap. Maybe some light overrunning on Wednesday morning...We shall see...I don't see any big dry spells...

[Front Ranger]

Still looking too progressive for anything more than a couple days of cold temps and a little snow Monday/Tuesday.

Two words.

[Deweydog]

Two words.

Warning shot!!!

[stuffradio]

Two words.

April fools?

[Front Ranger]

Historically, most cold snaps have been in the 2-4 day range. Just like heatwaves.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Historically, most cold snaps have been in the 2-4 day range. Just like heatwaves.

 

From an upper level perspective. Sometimes inversions make them seem longer

[Front Ranger]

Warning shot!!!

BOOM!

[SilverFallsAndrew]

In the long range it looks like a ton of cold air spilling over the GOA and a parade of storms lined up to slam the PNW!

[SilverFallsAndrew]

The CFS is now on board!

 

http://www.wxcaster4.com/cfs/CONUS_CFS_1000-500_SLPTHKPRP_39HR.gif

[chopper 918]

Yep... but this is just a "warning shot" -- At least that is what we are hearing.

Enjoy it while it lasts, because this "warning shot" may be our "only shot"!

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Oh God...

 

http://www.wxcaster4.com/cfs/CONUS_CFS_1000-500_SLPTHKPRP_71HR.gif

[luvssnow_spokane]

In the long range it looks like a ton of cold air spilling over the GOA and a parade of storms lined up to slam the PNW!

Thats for sure... 

 

 

[GobBluth]

there's your 1964 and 1996 analogs.

Oh God...

 

http://www.wxcaster4.com/cfs/CONUS_CFS_1000-500_SLPTHKPRP_71HR.gif

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Potential for some good mountain snows on the LR GFS.

[chopper 918]

Potential for some good mountain snows on the LR GFS.

That looks like the only guarantee.

[stuffradio]

Thats for sure... 

 

gfs_T850_namer_42.png

They need to be further north. I don't want another pure Oregon year again.

[Timmy]

Potential for some good mountain snows on the LR GFS.

i can hardly contain my excitement!  maybe this is just a warning shot for even more mt. snows later on!

[GobBluth]

Potential for some good mountain snows on the LR GFS.

Don't know about that - sure seems to have a w/sw orientation off the pacific.

[Phil]

Zzzzzzz

[luminen]

http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2016112818/gfs_asnow_nwus_36.png

 

62" in my extended backyard...