December 2016 Observations and Model Discussion for the Pacific Northwest

[MossMan]

Warm Beach at less than 100ft as of a half hr ago.

[Timmy Supercell]

32.6° now. 

 

About 5 minutes ago.

 

20161223_094115_HDR.jpg

 

That is just about the only way I like the snow a lot. The ground looks like it's raining but snow is falling. Kinda like these shots I took on 03/31/2015. It was nearly 40 out at the time. Took a stroll around downtown and it was nice.

 

http://i63.tinypic.com/m7qck7.jpg

 

http://i64.tinypic.com/301oyvp.jpg

 

http://i67.tinypic.com/t0nfyu.jpg

 

See Jesse, there are exceptions!

[Jesse]

That is just about the only way I like the snow a lot. The ground looks like it's raining but snow is falling. Kinda like these shots I took on 03/31/2015. It was nearly 40 out at the time. Took a stroll around downtown and it was nice.

 

See Jesse, there are exceptions!

You are a very unique person.

[TT-SEA]

Doesn't matter, the remaining moisture isn't slated to move in until later this afternoon/evening....

 

From where??  

[Geos]

Snow sticking on the roads now. Close to half inch now.

 

[MossMan]

How much snow do you have so far, Tim?

[Timmy Supercell]

You are a very unique person.

 

It mostly comes down to when conditions get treacherous out there. Otherwise I wouldn't mind the snow in any form.

[TT-SEA]

Total snow through tomorrow evening per the new 12Z ECMWF.    Way less for the Seattle area than the 00Z run showed.

 

[snow maniac]

Still only mix here, snowing just few miles west and south of me.

[The Swamp]

Pure rain here.

I'm up on Mt. Puyallup(South Hill).

 

There was some lumpy rain on the winshield but it's 39.

[luvssnow_spokane]

Temp climbing here and still rain... looks like this may be a Seattle north event only. Just to warm here.

[HighlandExperience]

Temp climbing here and still rain... looks like this may be a Seattle north event only. Just to warm here.

 

Surprisingly even still rain on much of the east side, yet it is snowing on capitol hill. 

[Winterdog]

Looks like we are kind of back to square one now with the ensembles.

Last winter Seattle's latest freezing temperature was recorded on January 2nd. Redux in the offering?

[TT-SEA]

Surprisingly even still rain on much of the east side, yet it is snowing on capitol hill. 

 

 

Totally dry here now and sky is bright.   

[The Swamp]

Total snow through tomorrow evening per the new 12Z ECMWF. Way less for the Seattle area than the 00Z run showed.

 

You should be banned until after the new year.

[Winterdog]

You should be banned until after the new year.

2020.

[Randyc321]

Total snow through tomorrow evening per the new 12Z ECMWF.    Way less for the Seattle area than the 00Z run showed.

 

Can you post the corresponding precip map?

[Heavy Snow]

Warm Beach at less than 100ft as of a half hr ago.

Snow sticking on the roads now. Close to half inch now.

 

20161223_095040.jpg

This picture is from Joyce, WA near Port Angeles. Says it's snowing hard and hasn't let up all morning.

 

I'm happy you guys are finally getting some Snow!

[TT-SEA]

It's a Christmas miracle! Now hurry - go find another model that shows no snow for your location and be sure to post it!!

 

 

ECMWF is definitely not worth posting.   I am finding all of the strange and never-used models this morning.

 

Posting the map of what the best model shows... crazy!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

[Phil]

You are a very unique person.

I thought that was me?

[Heavy Snow]

The updated run of the 12z GEM looks nice as we head into January.

 

http://maps3.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/ggem/2016122312/240/500h_anom.na.png

[TT-SEA]

Can you post the corresponding precip map?

 

No.

 

I should be banned for posting ECMWF maps!

 

Its going to snow 20 inches in Seattle starting now.     I just know it is.    

[TT-SEA]

People ask for the WeatherBell maps from the ECMWF all the time.

 

But don't post them unless it shows exactly what the people want.  

[MossMan]

No.

 

I should be banned for posting ECMWF maps!

 

Its going to snow 20 inches in Seattle starting now. I just know it is.

Now that's the Christmas spirit!!

[Phil]

The updated run of the 12z GEM looks nice as we head into January.

 

http://maps3.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/ggem/2016122312/240/500h_anom.na.png

If that blocking verifies, I bet the US troughing is deeper.

[The Swamp]

No.

 

I should be banned for posting ECMWF maps!

 

Its going to snow 20 inches in Seattle starting now. I just know it is.

People are getting some snow. Let them enjoy it.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

This is kind of the typical model fail we have come to expect over the last couple of years. 

[TT-SEA]

He won't do it cause it won't fit his narrative.

 

WTF are you talking about?

 

Enough of this circle-jerk crap.    

[TT-SEA]

People are getting some snow. Let them enjoy it.

 

 

I have been... and posting about Bellingham.   

 

You are making up.  

[The Swamp]

The updated run of the 12z GEM looks nice as we head into January.

 

http://maps3.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/ggem/2016122312/240/500h_anom.na.png

Love the block. Love the SE ridge. Don't love how the block isn't blocking the southern steam enough.

[Heavy Snow]

If that blocking verifies, I bet the US troughing is deeper.

 

Yeah I agree. The Blocking is in almost the perfect position.

[Randyc321]

No.

 

I should be banned for posting ECMWF maps!

 

Its going to snow 20 inches in Seattle starting now.     I just know it is.    

That doesn't surprise me.  I bet it looks way different.

[MikeInEverett]

Woke up to heavy snow and a good half inch here.

[The Swamp]

I have been... and posting about Bellingham.

 

You are making s**t up.

Calm down. I just asked for you to be banned so others can enjoy their snow.

[Phil]

Frozen water falling from the sky is serious business. It really isn't something anyone should be joking about.

[The Swamp]

Woke up to heavy snow and a good half inch here.

Go out and enjoy it man! Woot woot!

[Jesse]

This was a classic representation of models bringing lows in too far south compared to reality. Pretty crazy shift in just 48 hours.

Thank you. I had no idea what was going on.

[Heavy Snow]

Love the block. Love the SE ridge. Don't love how the block isn't blocking the southern steam enough.

 

Yeah that's the only thing that would concern me at the moment.

[Randyc321]

He won't do it cause it won't fit his narrative.

 

 

Thanks  Good call btw.

[seattleweatherguy]

No snow sticking on pavement here, but a dusting on grass