Money Posted December 16, 2016 Report Share Posted December 16, 2016 RGEM a bit weaker with the defo band but still gives most of WI .3-.4 QPF after the WAA snows. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted December 16, 2016 Report Share Posted December 16, 2016 will be interesting if the fluff currently crossing southern mn amount to anything when it gets here tonight Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted December 16, 2016 Report Share Posted December 16, 2016 Interesting couple of runs tonight so far... Looks like the 2nd wave won't really get fully sampled until tomorrow night, correct? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted December 16, 2016 Report Share Posted December 16, 2016 Looks like the 2nd wave won't really get fully sampled until tomorrow night, correct?Ya 0z. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted December 16, 2016 Report Share Posted December 16, 2016 Solid DGZ over the QC in the defo band. That'd be some fluffy snow. http://soundings.pivotalweather.com/sounding_images/gfs_2016121600_045_41.75--90.75.png Quote 2021-22 Snowfall: (Hiawatha) TOTAL: 10.2" (12/28: 3.0") (12/29: 0.8") (1/1: 6.4") Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted December 16, 2016 Author Report Share Posted December 16, 2016 Looks like the 2nd wave won't really get fully sampled until tomorrow night, correct?Should be getting good sample around 12z/18z tomorrow... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted December 16, 2016 Author Report Share Posted December 16, 2016 The 2nd wave makes it onshore at 12z tomorrow... http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2016121600/gfs_z500_vort_namer_3.png Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted December 16, 2016 Report Share Posted December 16, 2016 Milwaukee met getting really nervous. He forecasted 6-9 area wide tonight and said it might have to be increased. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted December 16, 2016 Report Share Posted December 16, 2016 Milwaukee met getting really nervous. He forecasted 6-9 area wide tonight and said it might have to be increased. Sure looks like it Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WBadgersW Posted December 16, 2016 Report Share Posted December 16, 2016 Milwaukee met getting really nervous. He forecasted 6-9 area wide tonight and said it might have to be increased.Was it WISN? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted December 16, 2016 Report Share Posted December 16, 2016 Was it WISN? Yeah. Mark Baden. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted December 16, 2016 Author Report Share Posted December 16, 2016 RPM model looks very similar to the NAM/GFS producing a good amount of snow for N IL between 4-10pm on Friday...nice to see the consistency Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midwest buildit Posted December 16, 2016 Report Share Posted December 16, 2016 Nice. So i still have a chance of at least 6" now. Was looking pretty slim the last few days. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted December 16, 2016 Report Share Posted December 16, 2016 GGEM looks awesome for MKE-MSN and N. IL Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted December 16, 2016 Report Share Posted December 16, 2016 GGEM looks awesome for MKE-MSN and N. IL Good increase from 12z QPF. Both nearing 1.0 QPF it looks like. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted December 16, 2016 Report Share Posted December 16, 2016 Canadian is drunk on moisture Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Madtown Posted December 16, 2016 Report Share Posted December 16, 2016 Hoping for 9 here. See how it all shakes out tomorrow Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Madtown Posted December 16, 2016 Report Share Posted December 16, 2016 Drunk on whiskey! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted December 16, 2016 Report Share Posted December 16, 2016 Drunk on whiskey!Molson Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted December 16, 2016 Report Share Posted December 16, 2016 GGEM: http://maps3.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/ggem/2016121600/060/snku_acc.us_mw.png http://maps3.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/ggem/2016121600/060/qpf_acc.us_mw.png Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gabel23 Posted December 16, 2016 Report Share Posted December 16, 2016 Which model you guys going with? The models are still confused with the deformation band.....that could drop 1-6 inches in my area. That includes one model showing nothing!!! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted December 16, 2016 Report Share Posted December 16, 2016 Which model you guys going with? The models are still confused with the deformation band.....that could drop 1-6 inches in my area. That includes one model showing nothing!!!Defo bands are notrious for being hard to pin down. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted December 16, 2016 Report Share Posted December 16, 2016 Which model you guys going with? The models are still confused with the deformation band.....that could drop 1-6 inches in my area. That includes one model showing nothing!!! Defo bands are hard to predict and often are not known until the day of the event. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gabel23 Posted December 16, 2016 Report Share Posted December 16, 2016 Defo bands are hard to predict and often are not known until the day of the event. That's what I thought, it could be a sneaky day or just another day...... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gabel23 Posted December 16, 2016 Report Share Posted December 16, 2016 The cold behind this storm is very impressive with the positive AO. Sub zero highs for lots of people in the Midwest! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tony Posted December 16, 2016 Report Share Posted December 16, 2016 Been liking the trends of the modeling all day and 0z does not disappoint. Still thinking qpf will be on the increase. Big question is what happens Saturday with the 2nd wave Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GDR Posted December 16, 2016 Report Share Posted December 16, 2016 I stopped looking at models for a while now a solid 4-6 here, wow!! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted December 16, 2016 Report Share Posted December 16, 2016 Snow has commenced Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Madtown Posted December 16, 2016 Report Share Posted December 16, 2016 Giddy up! Get those measuring sticks out, or a fancy snow board...your choice! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Madtown Posted December 16, 2016 Report Share Posted December 16, 2016 ...good discussion by a met on the other site. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tony Posted December 16, 2016 Report Share Posted December 16, 2016 On with the show. Is this onset of snow earlier than anticipated Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted December 16, 2016 Report Share Posted December 16, 2016 On with the show. Is this onset of snow earlier than anticipatedNo this little wing of advection has been well modeled. Will have a lull after its through Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Madtown Posted December 16, 2016 Report Share Posted December 16, 2016 Crickets in here Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
East Dubzz Posted December 16, 2016 Report Share Posted December 16, 2016 Someone said light snow is falling in DBQ.Hopefully true. Was virga for a while, as expected due to the very dry air column. Short-term models hinted at that a little, but the NAM and GFS seemed to have it well north. Maybe that's a good omen. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dubuque473 Posted December 16, 2016 Report Share Posted December 16, 2016 Small dusting but we have a nice snowpack down Quote Dubuque 2007-2008 Winter 78.1" Total snowfall February Snowfall 32.5" City salt usage : 12,211 tons Days of measurable snow : 40 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Madtown Posted December 16, 2016 Report Share Posted December 16, 2016 Local met 1. 9-11"Local met 2. 5-9" would be shocked at anything over 9"Local met 3. 7" Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Madtown Posted December 16, 2016 Report Share Posted December 16, 2016 ....why is cantore in chicago? Saying 4-8 for the city! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WBadgersW Posted December 16, 2016 Report Share Posted December 16, 2016 Local met 1. 9-11"Local met 2. 5-9" would be shocked at anything over 9"Local met 3. 7"met #3 must hate snow Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
St Paul Storm Posted December 16, 2016 Report Share Posted December 16, 2016 Picked up about 0.75" last night with the first wave. Radar really lighting up out in SD and NW NE. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Madtown Posted December 16, 2016 Report Share Posted December 16, 2016 Met 3 suprised me too...normally he's on the high side. GFS Llooks rocking around here and Chicago n burbs. Almost game time. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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