Money Posted January 11, 2017 Report Share Posted January 11, 2017 what about mby and yby? Not home right now but I saw a map accumulation map and was only through HR 144 but it had the 0.4 line through southern mn and wi Couldn't see farther north than that Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted January 11, 2017 Report Share Posted January 11, 2017 It also showed NE KS and SE NE with 2 inches of fzr Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover76 Posted January 11, 2017 Report Share Posted January 11, 2017 I'm not worried yet though Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted January 11, 2017 Report Share Posted January 11, 2017 I have an eerie feeling about this storm. All models showing an ice storm we havent seen in a while. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover76 Posted January 11, 2017 Report Share Posted January 11, 2017 I have an eerie feeling about this storm. All models showing an ice storm we havent seen in a while.I'll worry Friday night if it's still there Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Madtown Posted January 11, 2017 Report Share Posted January 11, 2017 Thunderstorms in mke? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted January 11, 2017 Report Share Posted January 11, 2017 Not much time right now-- well do more sites when time permits. 12Z euro DSMMON 00Z 16-JAN -1.9 3.1 1024 81 73 0.01 565 546 MON 06Z 16-JAN -2.4 4.0 1023 89 73 0.00 565 547 MON 12Z 16-JAN -2.4 5.2 1019 95 99 0.32 564 549 MON 18Z 16-JAN -0.8 5.3 1016 98 85 0.61 561 548 TUE 00Z 17-JAN 0.0 6.3 1012 99 86 0.03 556 546 TUE 06Z 17-JAN -0.1 2.7 1011 99 86 0.32 551 542 TUE 12Z 17-JAN -0.4 0.0 1013 95 59 0.03 555 545 OMA- SUN 18Z 15-JAN -1.7 2.1 1026 66 89 0.01 566 546 MON 00Z 16-JAN -1.8 3.2 1023 80 87 0.01 565 547 MON 06Z 16-JAN -1.8 4.6 1021 89 89 0.01 565 548 MON 12Z 16-JAN -1.8 4.9 1017 95 100 0.48 562 548 MON 18Z 16-JAN -0.4 4.4 1015 97 26 0.31 558 546 TUE 00Z 17-JAN -0.7 3.1 1013 96 96 0.04 552 541 TUE 06Z 17-JAN -0.9 1.2 1014 94 66 0.06 552 541 ALO- MON 12Z 16-JAN -2.1 3.5 1021 75 86 0.02 564 547 MON 18Z 16-JAN -1.1 4.0 1018 94 99 0.47 562 547 TUE 00Z 17-JAN -0.3 5.0 1015 98 66 0.09 558 546 TUE 06Z 17-JAN 0.4 5.0 1011 99 97 0.04 553 545 TUE 12Z 17-JAN 0.1 1.9 1009 99 52 0.20 553 546 TUE 18Z 17-JAN 1.1 1.2 1012 87 72 0.01 553 543 Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jaycee Posted January 11, 2017 Report Share Posted January 11, 2017 Not much time right now-- well do more sites when time permits. 12Z euro DSMMON 00Z 16-JAN -1.9 3.1 1024 81 73 0.01 565 546 MON 06Z 16-JAN -2.4 4.0 1023 89 73 0.00 565 547 MON 12Z 16-JAN -2.4 5.2 1019 95 99 0.32 564 549 MON 18Z 16-JAN -0.8 5.3 1016 98 85 0.61 561 548 TUE 00Z 17-JAN 0.0 6.3 1012 99 86 0.03 556 546 TUE 06Z 17-JAN -0.1 2.7 1011 99 86 0.32 551 542 TUE 12Z 17-JAN -0.4 0.0 1013 95 59 0.03 555 545 OMA- SUN 18Z 15-JAN -1.7 2.1 1026 66 89 0.01 566 546 MON 00Z 16-JAN -1.8 3.2 1023 80 87 0.01 565 547 MON 06Z 16-JAN -1.8 4.6 1021 89 89 0.01 565 548 MON 12Z 16-JAN -1.8 4.9 1017 95 100 0.48 562 548 MON 18Z 16-JAN -0.4 4.4 1015 97 26 0.31 558 546 TUE 00Z 17-JAN -0.7 3.1 1013 96 96 0.04 552 541 TUE 06Z 17-JAN -0.9 1.2 1014 94 66 0.06 552 541 ALO- MON 12Z 16-JAN -2.1 3.5 1021 75 86 0.02 564 547 MON 18Z 16-JAN -1.1 4.0 1018 94 99 0.47 562 547 TUE 00Z 17-JAN -0.3 5.0 1015 98 66 0.09 558 546 TUE 06Z 17-JAN 0.4 5.0 1011 99 97 0.04 553 545 TUE 12Z 17-JAN 0.1 1.9 1009 99 52 0.20 553 546 TUE 18Z 17-JAN 1.1 1.2 1012 87 72 0.01 553 543Could you do LNK by any chance? Thanks Grizz! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gabel23 Posted January 11, 2017 Report Share Posted January 11, 2017 Not much time right now-- well do more sites when time permits. 12Z euro DSMMON 00Z 16-JAN -1.9 3.1 1024 81 73 0.01 565 546 MON 06Z 16-JAN -2.4 4.0 1023 89 73 0.00 565 547 MON 12Z 16-JAN -2.4 5.2 1019 95 99 0.32 564 549 MON 18Z 16-JAN -0.8 5.3 1016 98 85 0.61 561 548 TUE 00Z 17-JAN 0.0 6.3 1012 99 86 0.03 556 546 TUE 06Z 17-JAN -0.1 2.7 1011 99 86 0.32 551 542 TUE 12Z 17-JAN -0.4 0.0 1013 95 59 0.03 555 545 OMA- SUN 18Z 15-JAN -1.7 2.1 1026 66 89 0.01 566 546 MON 00Z 16-JAN -1.8 3.2 1023 80 87 0.01 565 547 MON 06Z 16-JAN -1.8 4.6 1021 89 89 0.01 565 548 MON 12Z 16-JAN -1.8 4.9 1017 95 100 0.48 562 548 MON 18Z 16-JAN -0.4 4.4 1015 97 26 0.31 558 546 TUE 00Z 17-JAN -0.7 3.1 1013 96 96 0.04 552 541 TUE 06Z 17-JAN -0.9 1.2 1014 94 66 0.06 552 541 ALO- MON 12Z 16-JAN -2.1 3.5 1021 75 86 0.02 564 547 MON 18Z 16-JAN -1.1 4.0 1018 94 99 0.47 562 547 TUE 00Z 17-JAN -0.3 5.0 1015 98 66 0.09 558 546 TUE 06Z 17-JAN 0.4 5.0 1011 99 97 0.04 553 545 TUE 12Z 17-JAN 0.1 1.9 1009 99 52 0.20 553 546 TUE 18Z 17-JAN 1.1 1.2 1012 87 72 0.01 553 543And Columbus, NE when you get a chance please! Code: KOLU. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted January 11, 2017 Report Share Posted January 11, 2017 here you go everyone 1 Quote 2021-22 Snowfall: (Hiawatha) TOTAL: 10.2" (12/28: 3.0") (12/29: 0.8") (1/1: 6.4") Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Snowball Posted January 11, 2017 Report Share Posted January 11, 2017 From hastings Nws this morning. Issued at 807 AM CST Wed Jan 11 2017 An update was recently published primarily to increase winds andclouds. Used HRRR is blended nicely with current obs. Once frontalpassage occurs...expect winds to dramatically increase to over 20kts with gusts to around 30 kts. Highest gust we`ve seen so faris 33 at ODX. Also updated HWO to indicate we have a potentially significantevent on the boards for this weekend. We are seeing potential for significant amts of ice/sleet. Snowwill probably fall on the Nrn fringe of the pcpn shield...but atthis time it is not expected to be the main player. Believe frzg rain and sleet will be the main show. This cold aircoming in now is underrunning. Winds will remain from the S-SEthis weekend in the 5-10K ft layer and this will probably maintaina warm nose. Suggest everyone prepare for an impactful storm this weekend andmonitor the latest Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jaycee Posted January 11, 2017 Report Share Posted January 11, 2017 here you go everyone ecmwf_runice_144_nc.jpgIs it me or does that look kind of funky? Maybe because of the sleet accumulation? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted January 11, 2017 Report Share Posted January 11, 2017 Is it me or does that look kind of funky? Maybe because of the sleet accumulation?That map is different than the one I saw Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
St Paul Storm Posted January 11, 2017 Report Share Posted January 11, 2017 It does seem a little odd based on the path of the low. I expected more ice to the NW of where it shows. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEJeremy Posted January 11, 2017 Report Share Posted January 11, 2017 Omaha has less precip overall and nothing on the maps though for freezing rain, despite what looks like a more favorable profile for freezing rain than the 0Z(never gets above freezing at the surface and the warm tongue at 850 is a bit warmer if I remember correctly). Seems a bit funky to me Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jaycee Posted January 11, 2017 Report Share Posted January 11, 2017 Omaha has less precip overall and nothing on the maps though for freezing rain, despite what looks like a more favorable profile for freezing rain than the 0Z(never gets above freezing at the surface and the warm tongue at 850 is a bit warmer if I remember correctly). Seems a bit funky to meI can imagine models probably struggle quite a bit with freezing rain though so that's probably why. Money, would you mind posting the map you saw? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover76 Posted January 11, 2017 Report Share Posted January 11, 2017 You won't really have an idea of the freezing rain areas till around Friday night Saturday morning. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Snowball Posted January 11, 2017 Report Share Posted January 11, 2017 Hastings just updated and is really hitting things hard! Winter storm watch likely in the next 24 hrs Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover76 Posted January 11, 2017 Report Share Posted January 11, 2017 Hastings just updated and is really hitting things hard! Winter storm watch likely in the next 24 hrsyea I read that. They usually have better discussions than Omaha does Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted January 11, 2017 Report Share Posted January 11, 2017 its gotta be sleet causing the errors on that map, can't think of any other reason why... Quote 2021-22 Snowfall: (Hiawatha) TOTAL: 10.2" (12/28: 3.0") (12/29: 0.8") (1/1: 6.4") Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover76 Posted January 11, 2017 Report Share Posted January 11, 2017 its gotta be sleet causing the errors on that map, can't think of any other reason why...Id rely more on soundings for determing p-type. Those maps handle this stuff pretty bad IMO Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted January 11, 2017 Report Share Posted January 11, 2017 Id rely more on soundings for determing p-type. Those maps handle this stuff pretty bad IMO problem is, eurowx does not provide soundings(that I know of) Quote 2021-22 Snowfall: (Hiawatha) TOTAL: 10.2" (12/28: 3.0") (12/29: 0.8") (1/1: 6.4") Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted January 11, 2017 Author Report Share Posted January 11, 2017 18z GFS showing a good amount of snow in NW KS/CO/NE... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted January 11, 2017 Report Share Posted January 11, 2017 18z GFS (Top) 12z GFS (Bottom) http://maps1.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/gfs/2017011118/144/zr_acc.us_mw.png http://maps1.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/gfs/2017011112/150/zr_acc.us_mw.png Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted January 11, 2017 Report Share Posted January 11, 2017 Here's the map I saw on the Euro btw: http://forums.accuweather.com/uploads/post-13767-1484161690_thumb.png http://forums.accuweather.com/uploads/post-13767-1484161697_thumb.png Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover76 Posted January 11, 2017 Report Share Posted January 11, 2017 Here's the map I saw on the Euro btw: http://forums.accuweather.com/uploads/post-13767-1484161690_thumb.png http://forums.accuweather.com/uploads/post-13767-1484161697_thumb.pnghttp://i.imgur.com/HOafOK0.jpg Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
St Paul Storm Posted January 11, 2017 Report Share Posted January 11, 2017 substantial changes on that 18z run with the low scooting more east than north. Starting at 114hr. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted January 11, 2017 Report Share Posted January 11, 2017 Low is weaker and it looks like there's more cold off to the NW (stronger HP?) Here's the temp differences between the two runs. 18z: http://maps1.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/gfs/2017011118/132/sfct.conus.png 12z: http://maps1.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/gfs/2017011112/138/sfct.conus.png Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted January 11, 2017 Report Share Posted January 11, 2017 Could you do LNK by any chance? Thanks Grizz!-SUN 12Z 15-JAN -3.0 2.4 1028 55 97 0.01 568 546 SUN 18Z 15-JAN -2.6 2.9 1026 82 90 0.05 567 546 MON 00Z 16-JAN -2.3 3.4 1023 90 91 0.02 566 548 MON 06Z 16-JAN -2.4 5.2 1021 96 99 0.04 565 548 MON 12Z 16-JAN -2.1 4.2 1016 96 99 0.57 560 548 MON 18Z 16-JAN -0.5 3.7 1014 94 46 0.25 556 545 TUE 00Z 17-JAN -1.1 0.6 1014 95 92 0.16 551 540 TUE 06Z 17-JAN -2.3 0.1 1016 89 65 0.06 555 543 Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEJeremy Posted January 11, 2017 Report Share Posted January 11, 2017 About the best thing I am seeing out of this in the ice area is the winds won't be real strong. Hopefully that will keep the outages and damage down some. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted January 11, 2017 Report Share Posted January 11, 2017 And Columbus, NE when you get a chance please! Code: KOLU. -MON 06Z 16-JAN -2.4 3.5 1021 78 91 0.01 564 547 MON 12Z 16-JAN -2.5 3.7 1017 91 99 0.34 560 547 MON 18Z 16-JAN -1.6 1.0 1016 91 76 0.47 556 543 TUE 00Z 17-JAN -2.0 -0.8 1016 92 68 0.07 553 540 TUE 06Z 17-JAN -3.4 -0.8 1017 79 82 0.03 555 541 Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover76 Posted January 11, 2017 Report Share Posted January 11, 2017 About the best thing I am seeing out of this in the ice area is the winds won't be real strong. Hopefully that will keep the outages and damage down some.warms up pretty good as well after so if there is any outages it wont be as bad. It will stiull suck, but not as much Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted January 11, 2017 Report Share Posted January 11, 2017 - SUN 12Z 15-JAN -3.0 2.4 1028 55 97 0.01 568 546 SUN 18Z 15-JAN -2.6 2.9 1026 82 90 0.05 567 546 MON 00Z 16-JAN -2.3 3.4 1023 90 91 0.02 566 548 MON 06Z 16-JAN -2.4 5.2 1021 96 99 0.04 565 548 MON 12Z 16-JAN -2.1 4.2 1016 96 99 0.57 560 548 MON 18Z 16-JAN -0.5 3.7 1014 94 46 0.25 556 545 TUE 00Z 17-JAN -1.1 0.6 1014 95 92 0.16 551 540 TUE 06Z 17-JAN -2.3 0.1 1016 89 65 0.06 555 543That's ugly 1.14 qpf frozen and temps stay below 32 even after Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover76 Posted January 11, 2017 Report Share Posted January 11, 2017 still a long way out though Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted January 11, 2017 Report Share Posted January 11, 2017 Watch thins turn into the monster snow event it was last weekend.... 3 Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jaycee Posted January 11, 2017 Report Share Posted January 11, 2017 Watch thins turn into the monster snow event it was last weekend....I hope so! 1.14" QPF would be incredible with snow. Unfortunately we're in the jackpot, but for freezing rain it's scary how widespread the area is, and the amount of freezing rain that's dropped. Even without wind, this is a dangerous scenario setting up. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted January 11, 2017 Report Share Posted January 11, 2017 Watch thins turn into the monster snow event it was last weekend....I mean it's still 5 days out and not sampled plenty of time for changes. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Andrew NE Posted January 11, 2017 Report Share Posted January 11, 2017 I feel like we are trapped in eastern NE, this thing would have to shift a lot to get into even minimal icing senecio based off the 18Z GFS. No bueno. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted January 11, 2017 Report Share Posted January 11, 2017 I hope so! 1.14" QPF would be incredible with snow. Unfortunately we're in the jackpot, but for freezing rain it's scary how widespread the area is, and the amount of freezing rain that's dropped. Even without wind, this is a dangerous scenario setting up.We just had a glazing of ice today and it's nasty on the roads and sidewalks Ice sucks and couldn't imagaine getting 1-2 inches of it Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
St Paul Storm Posted January 11, 2017 Report Share Posted January 11, 2017 St Louis currently at 70° and under a Winter Storm Watch for up to 0.5" of ice starting tomorrow night. Wild stuff. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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