Deweydog Posted February 25, 2017 Report Share Posted February 25, 2017 Pipelines for everyone.Not if progressive blocking sets up!!! Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted February 25, 2017 Report Share Posted February 25, 2017 This doesn't sound too bad. From latest AFD: Saturday night into Sunday, another low pressure system will move southeastward through the coastal waters and down the Washington coast. Precipitation amounts will be higher with this system than with the system today, but temperatures will be slightly warmer. In heavier showers, snow levels will fall to 500 feet or less late Saturday night and Sunday morning, affecting the higher hills. Areas most likely to see snow accumulations at this point look to be the higher hills north and east of Seattle, including in the north interior and east Puget Sound lowlands. This system is worth watching since it has the potential for more widespread snowfall accumulations of 2 or 3 inches if model solutions change slightly. One more good solid snowfall would make me feel decent about this winter. Missing out on the January action still stings though. I'll be interested to see where this winter ends up on my winter rating system. I'll post exactly what that's all about after this month is over. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted February 25, 2017 Report Share Posted February 25, 2017 Not if progressive blocking sets up!!! See...progressive is a bad thing. Jesse will agree with that in this case. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
James Jones Posted February 25, 2017 Report Share Posted February 25, 2017 Unreal warmth across the Midwest and East Coast today, tons of places broke their all-time February records. 77 in Cleveland, 76 in Pittsburgh, 73 in Boston. Meanwhile I just had a snow/rain shower roll through. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted February 25, 2017 Report Share Posted February 25, 2017 Special weather statements issued for southern BC. Forecast calls for 4-6" here locally for Saturday night. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted February 25, 2017 Report Share Posted February 25, 2017 Special weather statements issued for southern BC. Forecast calls for 4-6" here locally for Saturday night. This thing has some decent potential. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted February 25, 2017 Report Share Posted February 25, 2017 Meanwhile tonight is looking likely to be the coldest one from this cold snap. Some low to mid 20s could be possible. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted February 25, 2017 Report Share Posted February 25, 2017 38/27 here today. With 3/4" of snow this morning. Decently chilly. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted February 25, 2017 Report Share Posted February 25, 2017 Down to 34 after a high of 41. I'm worried about all this talk about a warmer air mass for the next round of fun... seemed fairly borderline with this current one. Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 25, 2017 Report Share Posted February 25, 2017 A nice 38/30 here today. Currently 33 with light snow. It has been snowing since about 2pm, but just a light dusting. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 25, 2017 Report Share Posted February 25, 2017 4th day in a row with at least a dusting. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted February 25, 2017 Report Share Posted February 25, 2017 Down to 34 after a high of 41. I'm worried about all this talk about a warmer air mass for the next round of fun... seemed fairly borderline with this current one. Pretty hard to ignore the NE surface pressure gradient being depicted though. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 25, 2017 Report Share Posted February 25, 2017 SLE will actually end up at or below normal on the month. Only 0.03" of precip away from the monthly record. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighlandExperience Posted February 25, 2017 Report Share Posted February 25, 2017 Pretty hard to ignore the NE surface pressure gradient being depicted though. Hope so. All eyes on 00z. If we got 2-4 inches in the Puget Sound area it would really change my opinion of this winter. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VancouverIslandSouth Posted February 25, 2017 Report Share Posted February 25, 2017 Special weather statements issued for southern BC. Forecast calls for 4-6" here locally for Saturday night. The prospects it paints for Victoria are pretty dismal, maybe a trace at higher elevations away from the water. They completely missed the 6"+ of snow that fell around Victoria on Feb 6, so at least there's that. I hope we can avoid another situation where the deformation band gets caught up between Mill Bay and Nanaimo, leaving Victoria on the sloppy margins until it dissipates. Snowfall is going to depend a lot on precipitation rates. The GFS has been pretty good, showing a heavy band of precipitation developing further south at a pretty optimal time of the day with outflow, also looks great for the Puget Sound area. However, small differences in the track of the low will have a huge impact on local totals. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VancouverIslandSouth Posted February 25, 2017 Report Share Posted February 25, 2017 Down to 34 after a high of 41. I'm worried about all this talk about a warmer air mass for the next round of fun... seemed fairly borderline with this current one. There should be a lot more moisture at play and a much better tracking low coming through in the morning hours, it has way more potential than anything that was predicted for today. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
umadbro Posted February 25, 2017 Report Share Posted February 25, 2017 I give this winter an A+ about a month ago. Quote https://ambientweather.net/dashboard/efcb24c8a999dceddfaba7469ce5bd2f my personal weather station Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted February 25, 2017 Report Share Posted February 25, 2017 Hope so. All eyes on 00z. If we got 2-4 inches in the Puget Sound area it would really change my opinion of this winter.2-4" inches is all it would take to re-write the hellish last 2.5 months of abject disappointment and wasted opportunities? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighlandExperience Posted February 25, 2017 Report Share Posted February 25, 2017 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 25, 2017 Report Share Posted February 25, 2017 Score?! http://www.cascadeaccess.com/~mnelsen/RPM_72_SNOW_00z.jpg Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted February 25, 2017 Report Share Posted February 25, 2017 Unreal warmth across the Midwest and East Coast today, tons of places broke their all-time February records. 77 in Cleveland, 76 in Pittsburgh, 73 in Boston. Meanwhile I just had a snow/rain shower roll through.It's unbelievable. Racking up the 70+ days here. Could even see some severe weather here tomorrow afternoon. Followed by snow in March? Would fit the trend in recent winters for our best snows to fall in March/April. Last year was an exception to that, though. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted February 25, 2017 Report Share Posted February 25, 2017 I'm liking the dip showing up around the 28th now. The valley is getting deeper and more broad. Still showing the cold shot the middle of next week also. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted February 25, 2017 Report Share Posted February 25, 2017 2-4" inches is all it would take to re-write the hellish last 2.5 months of abject disappointment and wasted opportunities? 8"+ at my house is what it would take for me to get the sour taste of this winter out of my mouth. Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted February 25, 2017 Report Share Posted February 25, 2017 I give this winter an A+ about a month ago. Too high. That gives no slot for winters like 1949-50 or 1968-69. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted February 25, 2017 Report Share Posted February 25, 2017 One record I have a shot at for my personal records is highest number of freezing low temps for Dec - Feb for this century. Currently at 54 and the record is 57 from 2008-09. I'm pretty certain I have already achieved lowest number of 50+ max temps and highest number of sub 40 max temps. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
umadbro Posted February 25, 2017 Report Share Posted February 25, 2017 Too high. That gives no slot for winters like 1949-50 or 1968-69.I wasn't around those years. So I really don't care what happened. I have my own grading scale. This winter is an A+. Beauty is in the eye of the beholder my friend. My grading scale isn't only based on snow. Quote https://ambientweather.net/dashboard/efcb24c8a999dceddfaba7469ce5bd2f my personal weather station Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted February 25, 2017 Report Share Posted February 25, 2017 8"+ at my house is what it would take for me to get the sour taste of this winter out of my mouth. Yeah...I think I'll look at this winter as a very positive step in the right direction. I have my eyes on 2018-19. Everything should be aligned for wickedness on that one. Next winter is kind of a wildcard. The context will be similar to 2006-07 so it might be decent. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted February 25, 2017 Report Share Posted February 25, 2017 I wasn't around those years. So I really don't care what happened. I have my own grading scale. This winter is an A+. Beauty is in the eye of the beholder my friend. I'm saying what if we have another winter like 1949-50? You will have to grade it like A++ or something. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighlandExperience Posted February 25, 2017 Report Share Posted February 25, 2017 I thought 2008 was an amazing winter. Not sure how this winter could surpass that. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
umadbro Posted February 25, 2017 Report Share Posted February 25, 2017 I'm saying what if we have another winter like 1949-50? You will have to grade it like A++ or something.I'll cross that bridge when/if we get to it. I'm still saying A+. Quote https://ambientweather.net/dashboard/efcb24c8a999dceddfaba7469ce5bd2f my personal weather station Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
umadbro Posted February 25, 2017 Report Share Posted February 25, 2017 I thought 2008 was an amazing winter. Not sure how this winter could surpass that.2008 Was an A+ Quote https://ambientweather.net/dashboard/efcb24c8a999dceddfaba7469ce5bd2f my personal weather station Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted February 25, 2017 Report Share Posted February 25, 2017 I thought 2008 was an amazing winter. Not sure how this winter could surpass that. Probably won't here. This one did have some large lakes freeze over so it gets special points for that. Missing the snow going into the long January cold wave really hurt this one for us. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted February 25, 2017 Report Share Posted February 25, 2017 Yeah...I think I'll look at this winter as a very positive step in the right direction. I have my eyes on 2018-19. Everything should be aligned for wickedness on that one. Next winter is kind of a wildcard. The context will be similar to 2006-07 so it might be decent.I would be thrilled with a similar winter to 06-07, that one blew this winter out of the water up in my area. One of my top 5 winters for sure! Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
seattleweatherguy Posted February 25, 2017 Report Share Posted February 25, 2017 I give this winter a B plus. We missed major chances at good snow, but nice winter overall so far. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighlandExperience Posted February 25, 2017 Report Share Posted February 25, 2017 WRF looks snowier 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighlandExperience Posted February 25, 2017 Report Share Posted February 25, 2017 The 4km WRF puts about 4 inches over Northern King County. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted February 25, 2017 Report Share Posted February 25, 2017 8"+ at my house is what it would take for me to get the sour taste of this winter out of my mouth. 8" of sun and warmth? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 25, 2017 Report Share Posted February 25, 2017 Clear skies and 29 right now. Beautiful night. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 25, 2017 Report Share Posted February 25, 2017 WRF total snowfall for Oregon. http://www.atmos.washington.edu/wrfrt/data/current_gfs/images_d3/or_snow72.84.0000.gif Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted February 25, 2017 Report Share Posted February 25, 2017 The WRF is certainly more bullish with snow than previous runs. Nice to see. It continues to indicate 925mb temps will be colder over Central Puget Sound than much of the remainder of the lowlands. In fact it takes 925s below -4 Monday morning. Pretty interesting! Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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