Bryant Posted March 5, 2017 Report Share Posted March 5, 2017 Not nearly as good as the 12z or the GFS. Still a lot of potential though.Thank you Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pscz1140 Posted March 5, 2017 Report Share Posted March 5, 2017 Any word on the euro? 850s not as cold late next week but the blocking looks even better. Eternal perhaps. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted March 5, 2017 Report Share Posted March 5, 2017 850s not as cold late next week but the blocking looks even better. Eternal perhaps.Budless trees into July!! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VancouverIslandSouth Posted March 5, 2017 Report Share Posted March 5, 2017 Not nearly as good as the 12z or the GFS. Still a lot of potential though. Looks almost identical to the progression going into this weekend, the end result would be very similar if that verified. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VancouverIslandSouth Posted March 5, 2017 Report Share Posted March 5, 2017 Couple sprinkles here... precip winding down. Snow advisory seems a little excessive tonight... at least in my area. Snowfall warnings seem to be a death sentence for getting meaningful snow around here. EC pulled the trigger way too early issuing a warning before tonight's mesoscale runs came out. We have a snowfall warning in place tonight, meanwhile it's 38F with light rain and nothing promising looking on the radar. I wouldn't be surprised if we don't get a flake out of this, but it will dump down on Monday in an unexpected snow shower on my wake to work, ha. It will probably switch over to snow later in the night in your area, I'm sure the nearby mountains will generate some heavier orographic snow showers. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted March 5, 2017 Report Share Posted March 5, 2017 Snowfall warnings seem to be a death sentence for getting meaningful snow around here. EC pulled the trigger way too early issuing a warning before tonight's mesoscale runs came out. We have a snowfall warning in place tonight, meanwhile it's 38F with light rain and nothing promising looking on the radar. I wouldn't be surprised if we don't get a flake out of this, but it will dump down on Monday in an unexpected snow shower on my wake to work, ha. It will probably switch over to snow later in the night in your area, I'm sure the nearby mountains will generate some heavier orographic snow showers.Just started snowing here. It's 34F though, so this light stuff won't amount to much. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VancouverIslandSouth Posted March 5, 2017 Report Share Posted March 5, 2017 Just started snowing here. It's 34F though, so this light stuff won't amount to much. You're probably far enough north that you'll end up with at least an inch or two. After seeing the latest mesoscale runs I think Victoria is screwed. It seems like it came earlier than forecast so it clouded over at the worst possible time with the lower levels at their warmest and the persistent band of precipitation has been shifted well north. EC was picking up on the earlier modeling that had the heaviest bands over the South Island, I suspect the Nanaimo - Comox area ends up the real winner here. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted March 5, 2017 Report Share Posted March 5, 2017 About an inch of snow so far this evening. 32 degrees. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted March 5, 2017 Report Share Posted March 5, 2017 Wow the 00z ensemble is unreal. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted March 5, 2017 Report Share Posted March 5, 2017 So yeah... Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted March 5, 2017 Report Share Posted March 5, 2017 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted March 5, 2017 Report Share Posted March 5, 2017 You're probably far enough north that you'll end up with at least an inch or two. After seeing the latest mesoscale runs I think Victoria is screwed. It seems like it came earlier than forecast so it clouded over at the worst possible time with the lower levels at their warmest and the persistent band of precipitation has been shifted well north. EC was picking up on the earlier modeling that had the heaviest bands over the South Island, I suspect the Nanaimo - Comox area ends up the real winner here.You are probably right. That band is really developing on radar as it heads north. Picked up about 3/4" so far. Temp has dropped to 33F, so it's pretty wet snow. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brennan Posted March 5, 2017 Report Share Posted March 5, 2017 Bout to get some snow now. Lots of moisture rolling through tonight up here. SOME locals in whatcom county will see a couple inches. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tenochtitlan Posted March 5, 2017 Report Share Posted March 5, 2017 very light wet snow now...wonder if it will amount to anything. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VancouverIslandSouth Posted March 5, 2017 Report Share Posted March 5, 2017 You are probably right. That band is really developing on radar as it heads north. Picked up about 3/4" so far. Temp has dropped to 33F, so it's pretty wet snow. Down to 32.5F here now with moderate snow falling. Everything but the roads is covered now with about 1/4~1/2", if it's like this here in Victoria it must be nuts up in Shawnigan. At least this should prevent some embarrassment for EC on their snowfall forecast, it looks pretty clear most of Victoria will wake up to at least a bit of snow cover (but I still have a hard time seeing 2~4" looking at the radar). Less than 12 hours out and this is already another major bust for the WRF (it showed virtually no precip of any type here in the first 24 hours). Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted March 5, 2017 Report Share Posted March 5, 2017 No snow and 35. Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brennan Posted March 5, 2017 Report Share Posted March 5, 2017 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
van city Posted March 5, 2017 Report Share Posted March 5, 2017 Dumping snow in Metro Vancouver. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted March 5, 2017 Report Share Posted March 5, 2017 Not really anymore precip last night after about 1am. About 1.5" on the ground 30 degrees Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
epiceast Posted March 5, 2017 Report Share Posted March 5, 2017 Cold front stalled. 32F Snowed about .3" of water at the airport and maybe 1" here. Was really windy and 33-34 as it was passing through early AM here. Biggest surprise storm of the year. Still snowing hard, and it looks like it will be snowing until mid morning. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
epiceast Posted March 5, 2017 Report Share Posted March 5, 2017 Shadowed Yea it was a warm one. SPC says 850mb temps were above freezing, and a lolo pass(5200ft) was 30-31 degrees for the entire duration of event. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted March 5, 2017 Report Share Posted March 5, 2017 Down to 32.5F here now with moderate snow falling. Everything but the roads is covered now with about 1/4~1/2", if it's like this here in Victoria it must be nuts up in Shawnigan. At least this should prevent some embarrassment for EC on their snowfall forecast, it looks pretty clear most of Victoria will wake up to at least a bit of snow cover (but I still have a hard time seeing 2~4" looking at the radar). Less than 12 hours out and this is already another major bust for the WRF (it showed virtually no precip of any type here in the first 24 hours).Ended up with 2.25" up here this morning. Looks like the heaviest band missed us to the east. Very pretty snow though. It was wet and breezy and stuck to everything. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted March 5, 2017 Report Share Posted March 5, 2017 Ended up with 2.25" up here this morning. Looks like the heaviest band missed us to the east. Very pretty snow though. It was wet and breezy and stuck to everything. Yeah... the snow advisory did end up working out in my area as well. Although it looks like only my area and Tiger Summit actually have snow on the ground. Once again the NWS issues a snow advisory for millions of people but only a few thousand of us actually see snow and we are so used to it that we don't need to be advised. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted March 5, 2017 Report Share Posted March 5, 2017 Good call by the Nws not putting up an advisory here: Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted March 5, 2017 Report Share Posted March 5, 2017 Guessing around 2.5 or maybe 3 inches here. Seasonal total over 75 inches now. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted March 5, 2017 Report Share Posted March 5, 2017 Yeah... the snow advisory did end up working out in my area as well. Although it looks like only my area and Tiger Summit actually have snow on the ground. Once again the NWS issue a snow advisory for millions of people but only a few thousand of us actually see snow and we are so used to it that we don't need to be advised. Temps were pretty borderline, doesn't look like much stuck around at sea level. The highest total I have heard reported is 4" in parts of metro Vancouver Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted March 5, 2017 Report Share Posted March 5, 2017 The NWS should start issuing 'No Snow' advisories for elevations about 800 feet when conditions warrant... it would be more interesting to know that it won't be snowing overnight at this point. I pretty much assume it will be snowing every night. It has snowed on 6 of the last 9 nights here. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted March 5, 2017 Report Share Posted March 5, 2017 The NWS should start issuing 'No Snow' advisories for elevations about 800 feet when conditions warrant... it would be more interesting to know that it won't be snowing overnight at this point. I pretty much assume it will be snowing every night.Looks like more of the same upcoming too. Showery airmass with 500ft snow levels? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted March 5, 2017 Report Share Posted March 5, 2017 As of 6am Brookings, OR on the extreme south coast was reporting Light snow and 34 degrees. Roseburg was also reporting snow. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Swamp Posted March 5, 2017 Report Share Posted March 5, 2017 Shower and 800-1200' snow levels. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted March 5, 2017 Report Share Posted March 5, 2017 Well that was a dud. If next weekend fizzles as well then I will be more than ready for sun and warmth. 35 degree rain is something I am done with...since I have had it basically all winter. Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dave Posted March 5, 2017 Report Share Posted March 5, 2017 It is snowing in Eugene. 33 degrees. We have received officially one dusting. Nothing sticking to the pavement, but it is white elsewhere. Too bad the goods arrived at daybreak. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted March 5, 2017 Report Share Posted March 5, 2017 Have a 1/2 inch on the ground and snowing moderately. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted March 5, 2017 Report Share Posted March 5, 2017 It is snowing in Eugene. 33 degrees. We have received officially one dusting. Nothing sticking to the pavement, but it is white elsewhere. Too bad the goods arrived at daybreak.Overnight tonight could be good. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted March 5, 2017 Report Share Posted March 5, 2017 Cams show sticking snow all the way from Port Orford south to Brookings on the Southern Oregon coast, currently snowing in the inland southern Oregon valleys at Grants Pass and Roseburg. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted March 5, 2017 Report Share Posted March 5, 2017 This is pretty astounding... Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted March 5, 2017 Report Share Posted March 5, 2017 Snowing! Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted March 5, 2017 Report Share Posted March 5, 2017 Cams show sticking snow all the way from Port Orford south to Brookings on the Southern Oregon coast, currently snowing in the inland southern Oregon valleys at Grants Pass and Roseburg. Sounds like another case of Portland stealing all of Seattle's snow. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
luvssnow_spokane Posted March 5, 2017 Report Share Posted March 5, 2017 Glorious crystal clear morning here. Great day fly a drone Quote My Weather Station https://tempestwx.com/station/61434 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted March 5, 2017 Report Share Posted March 5, 2017 I have seen uglier mornings here in March... Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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