PNW December 2022 - Part II

[Guest hawkstwelve]

Expecting this to be tame given the bust.

Rubbing it in will result in a ban that I'll eventually revoke.

[Snownerd3000]

This week 

[Hawksfan2008]

The range of outcomes is still massive 

[Slushy Inch]

2 minutes ago, Forum Admin said:

Expecting this to be tame given the bust.

Rubbing it in will result in a ban that I'll eventually revoke.

Ehh I'm ok with a Sunday-Wednesday event for my location. And PSCZ snow seems likely, and can always over perform.

[Doinko]

Hillsboro's already down to 27 as well

[Gradient Keeper]

I wasn't expecting the EPS to improve that much Day 4-5+ Interesting.

[Slushy Inch]

2 minutes ago, Gradient Keeper said:

I wasn't expecting the EPS to improve that much Day 4-5+ Interesting.

Yes, Sunday is looking quite good for PSCZ area. Bit better than OP at day 6 as well. But still much worse.

[MossMan]

1 minute ago, Hawksfan2008 said:

The range of outcomes is still massive 

Jared and JAYA have spoken. 

But I am not going to listen to them, we will still see at least some white and cold temps, possibly much more! 

[MossMan]

3 minutes ago, Hawksfan2008 said:

The range of outcomes is still massive 

Could you post Paine Field? You rock! 

[Hawksfan2008]

3 minutes ago, MossMan said:

Could you post Paine Field? You rock! 

[Hawksfan2008]

Both an improvement over the operational 

[Cold Snap]

At least there were some short term improvements so it looks like there may be some snow out of this at least. I’ll take it!

[Slushy Inch]

Funny to watch short term get better and better and long term get worse.

[WeatherGeek2022]

1 minute ago, 12345WeatherNerd said:

Funny to watch short term get better and better and long term get worse.

there's still hope it looks like?

[Deweydog]

The moonrise was pretty!

[Nov1985]

4 minutes ago, Cold Snap said:

At least there were some short term improvements so it looks like there may be some snow out of this at least. I’ll take it!

Ya, we have a couple more days of change coming too. That weak low on Tue afternoon moving south of PDX keeps changing in strength and trajectory. It shows up on both Op and Control in tonight's runs. Changes there can impact.

[Slushy Inch]

4 minutes ago, WeatherGeek2022 said:

there's still hope it looks like?

For a decent event in WA, I wonder if the colder trend for Sunday continues.

[Ice_is_Everywhere]

So, the chances of snow aren't gone, but we can probably discount historic cold. Does that seem accurate?

[Slushy Inch]

1 minute ago, Ice_is_Everywhere said:

So, the chances of snow aren't gone, but we can probably discount historic cold. Does that seem accurate?

Yes

[The Blob]

Woo new thread, I assume the massive part 1 was why the site was down earlier?

[Snownerd3000]

1 minute ago, The Blob said:

Woo new thread, I assume the massive part 1 was why the site was down earlier?

"Massive part one" sounds like something you do in the bathroom 

[WeatherGeek2022]

7 minutes ago, Ice_is_Everywhere said:

So, the chances of snow aren't gone, but we can probably discount historic cold. Does that seem accurate?

I wouldn't doubt that anything is possible at this point.

[The Blob]

1 minute ago, Snownerd3000 said:

"Massive part one" sounds like something you do in the bathroom 

Well, it is fun to clog the drains.

[Nov1985]

1 minute ago, 12345WeatherNerd said:

For a decent event in WA, I wonder if the colder trend for Sunday continues.

Cold for over 3 days in many W WA spots. Moisture passing through. Potential to overperform like the two events a couple weeks ago. Otherwise it won't be very memorable unless the freezing rain verifies, at the cost of at least some power outages. 

[Thermal Trough]

10 minutes ago, Ice_is_Everywhere said:

So, the chances of snow aren't gone, but we can probably discount historic cold. Does that seem accurate?

Yes, next week there will probably be a big overrunning snow/ice storm somewhere between PDX and Vancouver BC.

[Slushy Inch]

1 minute ago, Nov1985 said:

Cold for over 3 days in many W WA spots. Moisture passing through. Potential to overperform like the two events a couple weeks ago. Otherwise it won't be very memorable unless the freezing rain verifies, at the cost of at least some power outages. 

Sun, Mon, Tue, Wed IMO

[CliffMassYelledAtMe]

Disappointing. Hoping for a better outcome but it's a slim hope. Kind of like hoping the Seahawks can best the 9ers tomorrow. 

[Nov1985]

4 minutes ago, CliffMassYelledAtMe said:

Disappointing. Hoping for a better outcome but it's a slim hope. Kind of like hoping the Seahawks can best the 9ers tomorrow. 

Snow odds are much better than Hawks winning this week. Unfortunately. 

[HuskyMaestro]

4 minutes ago, CliffMassYelledAtMe said:

Disappointing. Hoping for a better outcome but it's a slim hope. Kind of like hoping the Seahawks can best the 9ers tomorrow. 

Euro had the Seahawks run defense . It tried its best for several runs until the GFS kept running the ball into its mouth until it succumbed.

[Dave]

Chilly in Burns right now at -1. 

For anyone that wants a simple roundup of the weather conditions around Oregon and some other regional locations, here is a link. It has changed a few times of the years, but this one works for now.

https://tgftp.nws.noaa.gov/data/raw/as/asus46.kpqr.rwr.or.txt

[Hawksfan2008]

[ShawniganLake]

24 minutes ago, Ice_is_Everywhere said:

So, the chances of snow aren't gone, but we can probably discount historic cold. Does that seem accurate?

Pretty good chance there will be scattered pockets of snow in western Washington Sunday thru Tuesday.  Historic cold is very unlikely.  We’ve been waiting 32 years. Could be another 32 years  

[WeatherGeek2022]

4 minutes ago, ShawniganLake said:

Pretty good chance there will be scattered pockets of snow in western Washington Sunday thru Tuesday.  Historic cold is very unlikely.  We’ve been waiting 32 years. Could be another 32 years  

euro had 1 job to actually deliver the goods.

 

who knows, maybe another shot in January/Juneuary.

[Slushy Inch]

4 minutes ago, ShawniganLake said:

Pretty good chance there will be scattered pockets of snow in western Washington Sunday thru Tuesday.  Historic cold is very unlikely.  We’ve been waiting 32 years. Could be another 32 years  

2008 had single digits in suburban towns.

[Snownerd3000]

Is it me or could you see this retrograding and resetting in January 

[Slushy Inch]

2 minutes ago, Snownerd3000 said:

Is it me or could you see this retrograding and resetting in January 

Extended GEFS and Euro weeklies indicate the possibility. New weeklies tomorrow.

[WeatherGeek2022]

1 minute ago, 12345WeatherNerd said:

Extended GEFS and Euro weeklies indicate the possibility. New weeklies tomorrow.

I will proudly give up this event for something historic in january

[Gradient Keeper]

16 minutes ago, Hawksfan2008 said:

Anything further south for Oregon? @Hawksfan2008

[Gradient Keeper]

Temp: 34.9, Dewpoint: 32.5 with breezy east wind.

[Thermal Trough]

10 minutes ago, Snownerd3000 said:

Is it me or could you see this retrograding and resetting in January 

Before the start of winter I had January as the most favorable month to get an Arctic Blast down to the PNW. I’m still thinking the same thing and would lean mid-late January if I had to be more specific right now.