Guest Dome Buster Posted November 27, 2017 Report Share Posted November 27, 2017 Our good winters ended 6yrs ago in my book. Or maybe you were just 180 miles too far to the north . Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
crf450ish Posted November 27, 2017 Report Share Posted November 27, 2017 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted November 27, 2017 Report Share Posted November 27, 2017 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted November 27, 2017 Report Share Posted November 27, 2017 Down to 39 degrees and still raining. Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted November 27, 2017 Report Share Posted November 27, 2017 Down here our good winters ended nine months ago. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted November 27, 2017 Report Share Posted November 27, 2017 Down here our good winters ended nine months ago.Babies being born now will simply never know. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 27, 2017 Report Share Posted November 27, 2017 00z GFS Hmmmm day 7-8 ridge shoved east to 132-130 W, but day 8, 9, 10 strengthening, amplifying and it slightly built west-northwestward to 135-137 W nosing back to 145-140 W. 500mb progression for the entire pattern looks a little odd. Bit of retrogression too. Day 8http://maps1.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/gfs/2017112700/192/500h_anom.na.png Day 9http://maps1.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/gfs/2017112700/216/500h_anom.na.png Day 10http://maps1.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/gfs/2017112700/240/500h_anom.na.png 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 27, 2017 Report Share Posted November 27, 2017 Kona low too Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 27, 2017 Report Share Posted November 27, 2017 Greenland Block retrograded too Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted November 27, 2017 Report Share Posted November 27, 2017 Patience... Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kayla Posted November 27, 2017 Report Share Posted November 27, 2017 Pretty clear retrogression signal in fantasyland on the 00z GFS tonight. Too soon?? 1 Quote Cold Season 2023/24: Total snowfall: 26" Highest daily snowfall: 5" Deepest snow depth: 12" Coldest daily high: -20ºF Coldest daily low: -42ºF Number of subzero days: 5 Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KMTBOZEM152#history Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kayla Posted November 27, 2017 Report Share Posted November 27, 2017 Greenland Block retrograded too 00z doesn't look too bad. Not a lot of vodka cold air to work with on this side of the globe though. Quote Cold Season 2023/24: Total snowfall: 26" Highest daily snowfall: 5" Deepest snow depth: 12" Coldest daily high: -20ºF Coldest daily low: -42ºF Number of subzero days: 5 Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KMTBOZEM152#history Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 27, 2017 Report Share Posted November 27, 2017 00z doesn't look too bad. Not a lot of vodka cold air to work with on this side of the globe though.Funky looking. Ya, not yet. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted November 27, 2017 Report Share Posted November 27, 2017 Pretty clear retrogression signal in fantasyland on the 00z GFS tonight. Too soon??We need that air over Siberia to move over the North Pole onto our side first. It'll happen eventually. Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted November 27, 2017 Report Share Posted November 27, 2017 We need that air over Siberia to move over the North Pole onto our side first. It'll happen eventually.January. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 27, 2017 Report Share Posted November 27, 2017 January. Yeah, well we don't wanna wait that long! 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted November 27, 2017 Report Share Posted November 27, 2017 Sounds like it might get breezy again... URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGENational Weather Service Seattle WA302 PM PST Sun Nov 26 2017 WAZ001-503-506-507-510-516-517-272315-/O.NEW.KSEW.HW.A.0003.171128T0300Z-171128T1500Z/San Juan County-Western Whatcom County-Western Skagit County-Everett and Vicinity-Admiralty Inlet Area-North Coast-Central Coast-302 PM PST Sun Nov 26 2017 ...HIGH WIND WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY EVENING THROUGH TUESDAYMORNING... The National Weather Service in Seattle has issued a High WindWatch, which is in effect from Monday evening through Tuesdaymorning. * WIND...South winds of 25-35 MPH with gusts of 50-55 MPH. * SOME AFFECTED LOCATIONS...Ocean Shores, Hoquiam, La Push and Neah Bay. Friday Harbor, Oak Harbor, Bellingham and Everett. * TIMING...Winds will increase Monday evening and the strongest winds will likely occur late overnight Monday and into early Tuesday morning. * IMPACTS...Falling trees and limbs, power outages. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A High Wind Watch means there is the potential for a hazardoushigh wind event. Sustained winds of at least 40 mph...or gusts of58 mph or stronger may occur. Continue to monitor the latestforecasts. 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted November 27, 2017 Report Share Posted November 27, 2017 Jim!!!!!!!!!!!!!!Captain CAVEMAN!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted November 27, 2017 Report Share Posted November 27, 2017 https://fox12weather.wordpress.com Mark Nelsen mentions how the last time our "meteorological winter" started this benign was 2008. I've a feeling he reads these boards. 3 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stuffradio Posted November 27, 2017 Author Report Share Posted November 27, 2017 GEFS... dry and chilly. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 27, 2017 Report Share Posted November 27, 2017 GEFS... dry and chilly. gfs-ens_T2maMean_us_5.pnggfs-ens_apcpna_us_5.pngEnsemble show High Temps for Columbia Basin are near or below freezing and dewpoints in the 20s for a week or longer. I will welcome that. THEN maybe sometime late in the week 2 period retrogression. Some optimism for that. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 27, 2017 Report Share Posted November 27, 2017 Some pretty wild spread on the ensembles tonight. Not surprising after the crazy differences between the 18z and 0z GFS runs. That is some CRAZY blocking on the 0z. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 27, 2017 Report Share Posted November 27, 2017 Ensemble show High Temps for Columbia Basin are near or below freezing and dewpoints in the 20s for a week or longer. I will welcome that. THEN maybe sometime late in the week 2 period retrogression. Some optimism for that. Looking great for some dry cold. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stuffradio Posted November 27, 2017 Author Report Share Posted November 27, 2017 Looking great for some dry cold.Is this better than fake cold? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 27, 2017 Report Share Posted November 27, 2017 Is this better than fake cold? Same thing. The real stuff is coming later. Might as well get some fake cold for the stats while we are waiting. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 27, 2017 Report Share Posted November 27, 2017 00z ECMWF Day 5http://maps1.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/ecmwf/2017112700/120/500h_anom.na.png Day 7http://maps1.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/ecmwf/2017112700/168/500h_anom.na.png Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 27, 2017 Report Share Posted November 27, 2017 Day 8 Ridge might have put the brakes on right there. That energy may form cut-off low become a kona. Let's see... http://maps1.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/ecmwf/2017112700/192/500h_anom.na.png Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 27, 2017 Report Share Posted November 27, 2017 CrapsiclesDay 9http://maps1.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/ecmwf/2017112700/216/500h_anom.na.png Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
luvssnow_spokane Posted November 27, 2017 Report Share Posted November 27, 2017 Crapsicles Day 9http://maps1.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/ecmwf/2017112700/216/500h_anom.na.pngJanuary... Quote My Weather Station https://tempestwx.com/station/61434 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VancouverIslandSouth Posted November 27, 2017 Report Share Posted November 27, 2017 If it was about 15 degrees cooler we would be in the middle of a massive blizzard right now. Flashback to Nov 2006 when that actually did happen on the 26th. Around here it went from 42F with rain showers at 4am to 29F with heavy snow by the evening. Probably was pretty similar over there. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 27, 2017 Report Share Posted November 27, 2017 Day 10 Extensive cold pool and east winds on this run. Columbia Basin/Gorge very chilly. http://maps1.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/ecmwf/2017112700/240/500h_anom.na.png Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
luvssnow_spokane Posted November 27, 2017 Report Share Posted November 27, 2017 We have the same thing here! One thing... living there costs about 3 to 4 times as much as Spokane. Quote My Weather Station https://tempestwx.com/station/61434 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted November 27, 2017 Report Share Posted November 27, 2017 One thing... living there costs about 3 to 4 times as much as Spokane. True. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 27, 2017 Report Share Posted November 27, 2017 The ECMWF temperature forecast indicates highs in the upper 30s for the Puget Sound area on days 9 and 10 with freezing low temps. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 27, 2017 Report Share Posted November 27, 2017 Day 10 Extensive cold pool and east winds on this run. Columbia Basin/Gorge very chilly. The blocking is ridiculous! This one might get into 1984-85 territory. Our turn for big cold will come. It would be amazing to see that anomaly in AZ verify. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 27, 2017 Report Share Posted November 27, 2017 The blocking is ridiculous! This one might get into 1984-85 territory. Our turn for big cold will come. It would be amazing to see that anomaly in AZ verify.Yup. It's coming! We just have be patient for another 10-14 days. 00z EPS in 40 minutes 6z GFS in 1 hour 39 minutes Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted November 27, 2017 Report Share Posted November 27, 2017 Yeah, well we don't wanna wait that long! If only Mother Nature cared about what we want. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted November 27, 2017 Report Share Posted November 27, 2017 Yup. It's coming! We just have be patient for another 10-14 days. 00z EPS in 40 minutes 6z GFS in 1 hour 39 minutesIt's going to take longer than 10-14 days. No need to rush things. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 27, 2017 Report Share Posted November 27, 2017 It's going to take longer than 10-14 days. No need to rush things.That's about when I think models will flip and look rather interesting. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted November 27, 2017 Report Share Posted November 27, 2017 That's about when I think models will flip and look rather interesting.Ah, I see. You're probably right about that, lol. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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