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January 2018 Observations and Discussions


Tom

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Absolutely gorgeous out there. Brilliant sun and low (to hopefully mid) 50s. If this doesn’t get you excited for spring, not sure what will. In a normal winter (what’s that?), days like today would really bum me out watching the snowpack (huh?) take a beating. Certainly don’t have that problem this year.

Thinking of sitting by the pool in AZ on a day like today!

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When we had our "huge" 3 inch blizzard the other day, I did have a fairly large drift across my driveway where other parts of the driveway and sidewalks had been blown off with the 50 MPH winds.  I got my snowblower out for the first time since February 1st, 2016 when we had our massive blizzard, 18 inches with large drifts.  I don't ever recall with all the bad winters we've had over the years, an almost 2 year span of not at least using a snowblower once in a year. Hopefully I will have a few more opportunities to use it this year. 

I've been tempted to buy and even had an offer to buy one from our neighbor across the street that was moving, but in the end I never do buy one and am always glad I don't. First off I don't have any room for one, but more importantly I don't feel the cost would justify the amount of times I would have used one. This climate in our area for the most part doesn't justify spending that much money on something you might use 2-3x a year, and lately not even that much.

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I've been tempted to buy and even had an offer to buy one from our neighbor across the street that was moving, but in the end I never do buy one and am always glad I don't. First off I don't have any room for one, but more importantly I don't feel the cost would justify the amount of times I would have used one. This climate in our area for the most part doesn't justify spending that much money on something you might use 2-3x a year, and lately not even that much.

I got a good deal on it in 2009. I would typically use it 2-3 times a year. I would not buy another one. I think when it needs to be replaced I will just call someone and pay them.

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What are your thoughts for Feb? The pattern is going to be loaded with cold but my concern for areas farther south is the ridge the keeps is trying to fighting back. I'm pretty sure the cold will try to overwhelm the pattern at times next month and that's when it'll be your best opportunity.

At this juncture, cold and dry or warm-up and rain continues to be what I'm seeing until maybe after mid-February. It's just difficult to get all the pieces in place at the same time right now.

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there won't be a next a time

So much for all the pretty maps shown on here :lol:....never take any of those seriously. 

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Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area 

Oct 2023: 0.2" AN

Nov 2023: 2.2" AN

Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane!

Jan 2024: 17.0" AN

Feb 2024: 1.9"  BN Insane!

Mar 2024: 4.9" BN

April 2024: Trace

Season So Far: 26.7"

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Cuz they're all 384 hr 18z GFS maps.

Even the ones that are 84 hrs away or earlier.

Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area 

Oct 2023: 0.2" AN

Nov 2023: 2.2" AN

Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane!

Jan 2024: 17.0" AN

Feb 2024: 1.9"  BN Insane!

Mar 2024: 4.9" BN

April 2024: Trace

Season So Far: 26.7"

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Currently @ 46F at this hour...just incredibly mild. Average H/L is 30/17 :lol:

Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area 

Oct 2023: 0.2" AN

Nov 2023: 2.2" AN

Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane!

Jan 2024: 17.0" AN

Feb 2024: 1.9"  BN Insane!

Mar 2024: 4.9" BN

April 2024: Trace

Season So Far: 26.7"

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http://i65.tinypic.com/qx8hn9.jpg

 

If only, this was a guaranteed!

Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area 

Oct 2023: 0.2" AN

Nov 2023: 2.2" AN

Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane!

Jan 2024: 17.0" AN

Feb 2024: 1.9"  BN Insane!

Mar 2024: 4.9" BN

April 2024: Trace

Season So Far: 26.7"

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It gets very active on the EC next week w multiple snow chances.

Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area 

Oct 2023: 0.2" AN

Nov 2023: 2.2" AN

Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane!

Jan 2024: 17.0" AN

Feb 2024: 1.9"  BN Insane!

Mar 2024: 4.9" BN

April 2024: Trace

Season So Far: 26.7"

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Good! They're snow starved. They need it.

I wouldnt say snow starved...they have actually gotten more snow than you and some others on here, including my area.

Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area 

Oct 2023: 0.2" AN

Nov 2023: 2.2" AN

Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane!

Jan 2024: 17.0" AN

Feb 2024: 1.9"  BN Insane!

Mar 2024: 4.9" BN

April 2024: Trace

Season So Far: 26.7"

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Currently 50F and gorgeous outside w sun and clouds.

Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area 

Oct 2023: 0.2" AN

Nov 2023: 2.2" AN

Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane!

Jan 2024: 17.0" AN

Feb 2024: 1.9"  BN Insane!

Mar 2024: 4.9" BN

April 2024: Trace

Season So Far: 26.7"

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Cedar Rapids put another 50 on the board this afternoon... the third in the last week.  My last bit of snow/ice on a shady part of the patio is finally gone.

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season snowfall: 34.8"

'22-23: 30.2"      '21-22: 27.1"      '20-21: 52.5"      '19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"

Average snowfall: ~30"

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I was being sarcastic.

I think he got it. Swiss Alps are getting slammed too. But that's another place I don't live so I can't get excited about them getting snow either. Nice spring day, got some yard work done.

Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season)  Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13)   Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1

Avg = 59.2"  (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" 

Avg = 45.0"  (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5"   2021-22 = 35.6"    

Avg = 49.7"  (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2"   2019-20 = 48.0"   2018-19 = 56.1"   2017-18 = 68.3"    2016-17 = 52"    2015-16 = 57.4"    2014-15 = 55.3"    2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"    2011-12 = 43.7"

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

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Earlier this week, the ICON model was picking on a short wave tracking across the area today/tomorrow but trending weaker as we got closer.  Nonetheless, some snow is falling across the LSE are and moving towards MKE with decent DBZ returns.  I'm interested to see how this will effect us here in N IL later today thru tonight as the LES may organize overnight tonight into NE IL.  There has been a lot of ice melt on Lake Michigan during this stretch of warm weather which has led to below normal ice coverage.  I hope the inversion heights don't cut back on this potential like it did back in December when we had a great opportunity.

 

 

 

m1973_2018_ice.gif

 

 

All the higher rez models are picking up on a lake band developing tonight into Monday....let's see what today brings...

 

wrf-arw_ref_frzn_ncus_39.png

 

wrf-arw_ref_frzn_ncus_45.png

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Currently 28F w sunny skies. Not looking forward to this colder air coming, as this will be a cold, bare ground combo. Cant wait for Spring!

Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area 

Oct 2023: 0.2" AN

Nov 2023: 2.2" AN

Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane!

Jan 2024: 17.0" AN

Feb 2024: 1.9"  BN Insane!

Mar 2024: 4.9" BN

April 2024: Trace

Season So Far: 26.7"

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2" amounts now in my local grid-cast for overnight, early morning

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Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season)  Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13)   Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1

Avg = 59.2"  (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" 

Avg = 45.0"  (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5"   2021-22 = 35.6"    

Avg = 49.7"  (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2"   2019-20 = 48.0"   2018-19 = 56.1"   2017-18 = 68.3"    2016-17 = 52"    2015-16 = 57.4"    2014-15 = 55.3"    2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"    2011-12 = 43.7"

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

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Splendid day today as I spend the day w friends at a party outdoors w temps on the very mild side. Dint get a chance to see my high for today, but it felt great. Just amazing weather for this time of the year.  :D 

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Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area 

Oct 2023: 0.2" AN

Nov 2023: 2.2" AN

Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane!

Jan 2024: 17.0" AN

Feb 2024: 1.9"  BN Insane!

Mar 2024: 4.9" BN

April 2024: Trace

Season So Far: 26.7"

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Big woop...a little snow for tomorrow. That is Nashville, TN winter weather, not MI. :rolleyes:

Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area 

Oct 2023: 0.2" AN

Nov 2023: 2.2" AN

Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane!

Jan 2024: 17.0" AN

Feb 2024: 1.9"  BN Insane!

Mar 2024: 4.9" BN

April 2024: Trace

Season So Far: 26.7"

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Kzoo to Marshall special in the works. 80% Snow likely in my local. Monday mornings have been gold this winter over here..

 

28Jan2018 WxMessage.png

Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season)  Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13)   Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1

Avg = 59.2"  (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" 

Avg = 45.0"  (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5"   2021-22 = 35.6"    

Avg = 49.7"  (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2"   2019-20 = 48.0"   2018-19 = 56.1"   2017-18 = 68.3"    2016-17 = 52"    2015-16 = 57.4"    2014-15 = 55.3"    2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"    2011-12 = 43.7"

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

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