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1/10 - 1/11 Possible Severe Frontal Passage with intense snow showers

clintbeed1993

By clintbeed1993
in East of the Rockies

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FarmerRick
FarmerRick

Too many thin-skinned people who get all butt-hurt and cant take a joke, and too many people messing with said people when a storm doesn't go exactly the way the models show a few days out.  It's like

Tabitha
Tabitha

I also want to go on the record and say that all those posts last night attacking me and wishing death on me were a disgrace.   I playfully joke around with people and make pleasant satirical comments

gosaints
gosaints

Oh OK.. Can't wait to read your complaints if that happens... If this storm does hit you then maybe you won't hit the board with same posts the next time you get missed.

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Minny_Weather Grand Master

Minny_Weather

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So would this technically end up being aprox  .45 qpf after conversion? 

.45-.55. Obviously some of that will fall as rain early on, so let's bring those down to .35-.45. 10:1 would put accumulations at 3.5-4.5. Ratios will be less than 10:1 early on, but may be about 15:1 as temps drop. Won't go much higher than 15:1 I think cuz of wind. So about 4-6.

 

Even with 3" travel will still be a clusterf**k in the morning thanks to the wind and blowing snow.

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Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather.

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Minny_Weather Grand Master

Minny_Weather

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Literally every other model has it being in the lower 20s to teens here by 6am.

Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather.

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Grizzcoat Veteran

Grizzcoat

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German model better known as the DWD--

 

http://meteocentre.com/numerical-weather-prediction/map-explorer.php?lang=en&map=na&run=00&mod=dwd_icon&stn=PNMPR&comp=1&run2=00&mod2=dwd_icon&stn2=PNMPR&hh2=078&fixhh=1&stn2_type=prog&mode=latest&yyyy=latest&mm=latest&dd=latest&hh=048

The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang.

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Craig-OmahaWX Newbie

Craig-OmahaWX

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Wow thats crazy, not bad at all, I like it. Thanks!

2018-2019 Snowfall Totals So Far : 59.5"

 

For More Winter Weather Forecasts for 2017-2018 :

 

https://www.facebook.com/snowdayweather/

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Minny_Weather Grand Master

Minny_Weather

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OAX snow map says 1-2” for Omaha but yet they issued a winter storm watch?? They must not believe their own maps. Clearly they are not believe the Euro yet.

It always seems like they base all their forecasts off models from the day before. I'm not even kidding. They probably didn't look at any 00z models before the last package.

Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather.

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Tom Grand Master

Tom

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Well, the overnight 00z EPS just made things a bit more interesting for our area and brought the 6" mean down into the south side of Chicago.  2" mean went all the way NW into MKE and as far NW as close to the IA/IL border. N IN and S/C MI is in the jackpot zone.

 

Big shift back NW with the 12 EPS members and certainly a lot of clustering of members that take the low thru W KY/TN and S IN/OH.  Starting to look interesting for our lower lakes members.

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St Paul Storm Contributor

St Paul Storm

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MPX put up a winter storm watch for a very large area given that the models are still all over the place. I have 4-7” in my point at the moment. Gonna be a fun day of model watching for sure. With many of the models showing a thin band of heavy snow it’s going to be a matter of a few miles between the haves and have nots.

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Minny_Weather Grand Master

Minny_Weather

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MPX put up a winter storm watch for a very large area given that the models are still all over the place. I have 4-7” in my point at the moment. Gonna be a fun day of model watching for sure. With many of the models showing a thin band of heavy snow it’s going to be a matter of a few miles between the haves and have nots.

Same with OAX. They placed the watch area pretty much anywhere the band can go.

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Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather.

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gosaints Collaborator

gosaints

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MPX put up a winter storm watch for a very large area given that the models are still all over the place. I have 4-7” in my point at the moment. Gonna be a fun day of model watching for sure. With many of the models showing a thin band of heavy snow it’s going to be a matter of a few miles between the haves and have nots.

Not looking like a wealth spreading set-up thats for sure

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