ShawniganLake Posted February 21, 2018 Report Share Posted February 21, 2018 What about now? It's snowing decently now, mostly sideways snow.Sky is brightening. Sun poking thru. Above freezing now. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted February 21, 2018 Report Share Posted February 21, 2018 Really cold today. The temp has already started to slowly drop after peaking at 34. Going to be some big minus departures today. Nice heavy cloud cover now. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Farmboy Posted February 21, 2018 Report Share Posted February 21, 2018 For now weather channel is going with a 30% chance of a snow shower at 3:00pm for Sea-Tac, then nothing after that, and no chance for EPSL... I'd like to see them eat that forecast.... Quote "Avoiding unwanted weather is a key element of happiness." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted February 21, 2018 Report Share Posted February 21, 2018 Post of the day.I mean who records weather forecast's? Moss Man.. lol Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted February 21, 2018 Report Share Posted February 21, 2018 FWIW the 18z Nam is actually a little drier east of the Sound than the 12z was. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted February 21, 2018 Report Share Posted February 21, 2018 You sir are a total snowciopath.MossMan like snow!! Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DareDuck Posted February 21, 2018 Report Share Posted February 21, 2018 Picked up another 1.4" last night bringing my season total up to 8" scattered over 6 minor events. Despite it being 23F right now, there is some melting going on now that the sun is coming out. Quote Bend, ORElevation: 3550' Snow History:Nov: 1"Dec: .5"Jan: 1.9"Feb: 12.7"Mar: 1.0"Total: 17.1" 2016/2017: 70"2015/2016: 34"Average: ~25" 2017/2018 Winter TempsLowest Min: 1F on 2/23Lowest Max: 23F on 12/24, 2/22Lows <32: 87Highs <32: 13 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted February 21, 2018 Report Share Posted February 21, 2018 I mean who records weather forecast's? Moss Man.. lolYeah and in the early 2000’s I sent copies to Brennan and Tim! 2 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FroYoBro Posted February 21, 2018 Report Share Posted February 21, 2018 The 12km NAM looks great for the Portland area. The 3km NAM shows almost nothing. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted February 21, 2018 Report Share Posted February 21, 2018 The easterly gradients shown o the NAM with this system are anemic so I can't imagine the ESPL having an east wind problem. We're just going to have to wait and see. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted February 21, 2018 Report Share Posted February 21, 2018 Snowing at Forks. Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted February 21, 2018 Report Share Posted February 21, 2018 I'm thinking the timing on the NAM looks too fast. The ECMWF was a few hours slower. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted February 21, 2018 Report Share Posted February 21, 2018 I’m on the road to Tigard, family time! Good luck PNW on this next fun round of winter Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted February 21, 2018 Report Share Posted February 21, 2018 The 12km NAM looks great for the Portland area. The 3km NAM shows almost nothing. I've seen cases where the very high res models actually over think things too much. I think it's a toss up between the 4km and 12km in the WRF for instance. I've seen both perform better than the other. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighlandExperience Posted February 21, 2018 Report Share Posted February 21, 2018 Pretty exciting. the improvement between the 0z and 12z runs on the Euro was highly encouraging also. I think the fact the winds have become southerly through the Puget Sound basin is actually very good in this case. Sets up convergence potential and limits the chances of dry east wind killing the moisture. Hopefully will get a small warning shot tonight. Crossing fingers. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighlandExperience Posted February 21, 2018 Report Share Posted February 21, 2018 18Z just seems better for Kitsap =) Either way glad to have a crack at some snow. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmet Posted February 21, 2018 Report Share Posted February 21, 2018 Olympics eating away at some of the east side of the moisture but that should become less of a problem as the low moves south. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 21, 2018 Report Share Posted February 21, 2018 Olympics eating away at some of the east side of the moisture but that should become less of a problem as the low moves south.That is not what is happening. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmet Posted February 21, 2018 Report Share Posted February 21, 2018 lol. Looks who's back. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brennan Posted February 21, 2018 Report Share Posted February 21, 2018 Yeah and in the early 2000’s I sent copies to Brennan and Tim!I still have them!! Actually Bryant has them right now. I let him borrow them. It’s getting harder to watch them though with the only VCR we have being built in to a super old 13” tv sitting in my garage... with N64 hooked up to it and the only game i have is 2000 NFL blitz. Btw i recorded weather forecasts as well... quite a bit in 2008 actually 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 21, 2018 Report Share Posted February 21, 2018 I still have them!! Actually Bryant has them right now. I let him borrow them. It’s getting harder to watch them though with the only VCR we have being built in to a super old 13” tv sitting in my garage... with N64 hooked up to it and the only game i have is 2000 NFL blitz. Btw i recorded weather forecasts as well... quite a bit in 2008 actuallyI know I have them in storage somewhere. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted February 21, 2018 Report Share Posted February 21, 2018 That is not what is happening.Correct. Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmet Posted February 21, 2018 Report Share Posted February 21, 2018 NWS: Cool north-northwest flow aloft will continue for the next week.In the short term, satellite imagery shows the next shortwave inthis flow pattern diving S-SE down the B.C. coast. The shortwavetrough axis will move southeast across Western Washington latethis evening, around 06z or 10 pm. In advance of the trough axis,850 mb progs show some westerly flow off the Pacific and a warmadvection pattern, which leads to lift. Meanwhile, the surfacereflection will be a weak 1020 mb low which will move S-SE betweenthe coast and 130W, so surface flow will never turn stronglyonshore. This will help the low-level air mass stay cold enoughfor precip type to remain snow, except perhaps at the immediatecoast this evening Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 21, 2018 Report Share Posted February 21, 2018 This is impressive...Especially considering the upper level airmass over W. Oregon isn't all that cold right now. But it will begin cooling pretty quickly around 1-3pm. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 21, 2018 Report Share Posted February 21, 2018 Moderate snow at Forks. The vampires are loving it. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 21, 2018 Report Share Posted February 21, 2018 Go have drink for me. Did it thunder anymore?Not yet... some chances again over the next couple days though. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DareDuck Posted February 21, 2018 Report Share Posted February 21, 2018 Woah both the GFS and Euro show quite the snowy weekend for central OR. 6-8" seems possible. 1 Quote Bend, ORElevation: 3550' Snow History:Nov: 1"Dec: .5"Jan: 1.9"Feb: 12.7"Mar: 1.0"Total: 17.1" 2016/2017: 70"2015/2016: 34"Average: ~25" 2017/2018 Winter TempsLowest Min: 1F on 2/23Lowest Max: 23F on 12/24, 2/22Lows <32: 87Highs <32: 13 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Esquimalt Posted February 21, 2018 Report Share Posted February 21, 2018 Haven’t seen a single flake here.Currently snowing lightly here. No accumulation for some reason. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted February 21, 2018 Report Share Posted February 21, 2018 32 degrees at Bremerton at 1pm. Crazy. Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 21, 2018 Report Share Posted February 21, 2018 NWS leaving Eugene out of their WWA is a bit of a head scratcher. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted February 21, 2018 Report Share Posted February 21, 2018 NWS leaving Eugene out of their WWA is a bit of a head scratcher.They have lice? Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jakeinthevalley Posted February 21, 2018 Report Share Posted February 21, 2018 NWS leaving Eugene out of their WWA is a bit of a head scratcher.Burned last night when they upped the snow totals Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Dome Buster Posted February 21, 2018 Report Share Posted February 21, 2018 Visible satellite looks much more impressive today than it did yesterday. Already a nice curl and enhancement and brightening cloud tops. Overperformance brewing. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted February 21, 2018 Report Share Posted February 21, 2018 Currently snowing lightly here. No accumulation for some reason.More like filtered sun here. I was hopeful for better results today. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 21, 2018 Report Share Posted February 21, 2018 Burned last night when they upped the snow totals True on the other hand it was about 40 this time yesterday at EUG and its 34 today. Combine that with them being in the sweet spot on a lot of the model runs. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Canadian guy Posted February 21, 2018 Report Share Posted February 21, 2018 Nice big flakes coming down in Victoria right now 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted February 21, 2018 Report Share Posted February 21, 2018 Nice big flakes coming down in Victoria right nowI was going to say, radar is really blossoming around Victoria and the strait. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Dome Buster Posted February 21, 2018 Report Share Posted February 21, 2018 This thing has more teeth than it is getting credit for. At this point the visible satellite is telling a much different story than model prognostications. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bainbridgekid Posted February 21, 2018 Report Share Posted February 21, 2018 Nice big flakes coming down in Victoria right nowClearly coming down good even right on the water on this cam. https://www.royalbcmuseum.bc.ca/about/explore/rbcm-channel/web-cam It'll be interesting to see if the grass starts turning white soon there. Quote Everett Snowfall (510 feet elevation) Snow since February 2019: 91" 2023-24: 6" 2022-23: 17.5" 2021-22: 17.75" 2020-21: 14.5” 2019-20: 10.5" 2018-19: 24.75" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jakeinthevalley Posted February 21, 2018 Report Share Posted February 21, 2018 Really liking the temps and dew points in the valley right now Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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