Geos Posted June 14, 2018 Author Report Share Posted June 14, 2018 Back to toasty Wednesday - Friday on the GFS. Convection flares up on Thursday. Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted June 14, 2018 Report Share Posted June 14, 2018 Inching upwards... lets hope this stops and it hovers around neutral. Buzzkill Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Farmboy Posted June 14, 2018 Report Share Posted June 14, 2018 Clearing up now, warming up nicely. Maybe the ULL is departing the region more quickly? Quote "Avoiding unwanted weather is a key element of happiness." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Farmboy Posted June 14, 2018 Report Share Posted June 14, 2018 Spend a summer here and see if you still like heat afterwards. Everyone I know loves cool, cloudy days during the summer. There is no debate. It’s just a fact that drizzly, cloudy weather is preferable to heat and/or humidity. End of story. A very geo-centric, subjective point of view... edit: maybe geocentric isn't the right word, anyway, your opinion is heavily influenced by where you live.... As is mine.... Quote "Avoiding unwanted weather is a key element of happiness." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted June 14, 2018 Report Share Posted June 14, 2018 Clearing up now, warming up nicely. Maybe the ULL is departing the region more quickly? No... just a break between ULLs actually. Its not really moving out until later Saturday morning. Here is 5 a.m. Saturday... Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted June 14, 2018 Report Share Posted June 14, 2018 Very warm but no extreme heat seems to be the message from the 12Z ECMWF. And it appears to re-building the ridge by day 9. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted June 14, 2018 Report Share Posted June 14, 2018 A very geo-centric, subjective point of view... edit: maybe geocentric isn't the right word, anyway, your opinion is heavily influenced by where you live.... As is mine.... Everyone here has subjective, biased views. End of story. Oh, that's right....dewey. 1 Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted June 14, 2018 Report Share Posted June 14, 2018 Everyone here has subjective, biased views. End of story. Oh, that's right....dewey.I want hot snow and I'll bias my a** off if I think it'll help it come to fruition. 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted June 14, 2018 Report Share Posted June 14, 2018 EPS @ D6. The PNW is (once again) experiencing the most anomalous warmth of anywhere on the planet. Makes me proud! Now just need it to stay here the rest of the summer and then move up into Alaska for the winter. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Farmboy Posted June 14, 2018 Report Share Posted June 14, 2018 1 Quote "Avoiding unwanted weather is a key element of happiness." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted June 14, 2018 Report Share Posted June 14, 2018 I want hot snow and I'll bias my a** off if I think it'll help it come to fruition. That reminds me, FrontalSnowsquall should just change his name to NonFrontalHeatLow every April. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted June 14, 2018 Report Share Posted June 14, 2018 Oh, that's right....dewey. Mic drop. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted June 14, 2018 Report Share Posted June 14, 2018 Makes me proud! Now just need it to stay here the rest of the summer and then move up into Alaska for the winter.You guys have actually run the highest geopotential height anomaly of anywhere on the planet since May of 2013. And it’s not even close anymore. Statistically speaking, you’ll pay for this at some point. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted June 14, 2018 Report Share Posted June 14, 2018 You guys have actually run the highest geopotential height anomaly of anywhere on the planet since May of 2013. And it’s not even close anymore. Statistically speaking, you’ll pay for this at some point. Schedule us for debt payment beginning in 100 years. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted June 14, 2018 Report Share Posted June 14, 2018 You guys have actually run the highest geopotential height anomaly of anywhere on the planet since May of 2013. And it’s not even close anymore. Statistically speaking, you’ll pay for this at some point. Mother Nature doesn't deal in stats unfortunately Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted June 14, 2018 Report Share Posted June 14, 2018 Nice to see the Euro back away from extreme heat. EPS also shows some promise toward day 10. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted June 14, 2018 Report Share Posted June 14, 2018 Schedule us for debt payment beginning in 100 years. I don't think you'll live that long, Tim. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted June 14, 2018 Report Share Posted June 14, 2018 You guys have actually run the highest geopotential height anomaly of anywhere on the planet since May of 2013. And it’s not even close anymore. Statistically speaking, you’ll pay for this at some point. That's crazy. Got a map? I'm curious about other areas as well... Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted June 14, 2018 Report Share Posted June 14, 2018 I don't think you'll live that long, Tim.Tim is actually an android. Getting wet rusts his joints. And not the kind of joints I enjoy numerous times a day. 2 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Farmboy Posted June 14, 2018 Report Share Posted June 14, 2018 Tim is actually an android. Getting wet rusts his joints. And not the kind of joints I enjoy numerous times a day. Quote "Avoiding unwanted weather is a key element of happiness." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted June 14, 2018 Author Report Share Posted June 14, 2018 Sun was out for a bit, but has since clouded over really well this afternoon. Holding in the mid 60s. Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted June 14, 2018 Report Share Posted June 14, 2018 That reminds me, FrontalSnowsquall should just change his name to NonFrontalHeatLow every April.Hard to imagine what a 954mb heat low would be like. Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted June 14, 2018 Report Share Posted June 14, 2018 Cloudy in Springfield. Lots of virga. Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted June 14, 2018 Report Share Posted June 14, 2018 Light rain in Maytown! Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted June 14, 2018 Report Share Posted June 14, 2018 Light rain in Maytown!Another road trip to OLM? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted June 14, 2018 Report Share Posted June 14, 2018 Another road trip to OLM?Tacoma! Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted June 14, 2018 Report Share Posted June 14, 2018 Tacoma!Piecing together Flatiron’s sordid past. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted June 14, 2018 Report Share Posted June 14, 2018 Piecing together Flatiron’s sordid past.The period of 2006-13 is proving to be an enormous challenge. 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted June 15, 2018 Report Share Posted June 15, 2018 The period of 2006-13 is proving to be an enormous challenge. Almost all post-Tacoma. Haven't been a Tacoman since August 2006... Of course, I've also been a Fircrester, a Gig Harborite, and a Lakewoodian. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted June 15, 2018 Report Share Posted June 15, 2018 That's crazy. Got a map? I'm curious about other areas as well...Sure. No doubt the western ridge has been the most prolific anomaly: Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted June 15, 2018 Report Share Posted June 15, 2018 Almost all post-Tacoma. Haven't been a Tacoman since August 2006... Of course, I've also been a Fircrester, a Gig Harborite, and a Lakewoodian.Although very sun and heat faded over the past few years, we found literally hundreds of fliers stapled to power poles which promoted the newly-minted -PDO phase. 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted June 15, 2018 Report Share Posted June 15, 2018 If you think that’s bad, check out how 2013-17 compares to 2008-12. Yikes! Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted June 15, 2018 Report Share Posted June 15, 2018 And when comparing the 100yrs from 1851-1950 to the period of 1951-present (NCAR reanalysis V-2c) note the similar type of changes in the circulation. It’s been ongoing for a long time now. More western ridge and stronger Hudson/Baffin Bay vortex as the west-Pacific warm pool and z-cells expanded following the termination of the LIA. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted June 15, 2018 Report Share Posted June 15, 2018 Or, put another way, this is how those final years of the LIA looked, when compared to the modern warm period: Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted June 15, 2018 Report Share Posted June 15, 2018 18z ensembles hint that the heatwave may end at some point. Step in the right direction. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted June 15, 2018 Report Share Posted June 15, 2018 Isolating the two climate regimes more profusely provides an even more interesting picture. Here’s what 1851-1910 was like, vs 1970-present. The structural similarity still holds! Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted June 15, 2018 Report Share Posted June 15, 2018 Isolating the two climate regimes more profusely provides an even more interesting picture. Here’s what 1851-1910 was like, vs 1970-present. The structural similarity still holds! I approve of these changes. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted June 15, 2018 Report Share Posted June 15, 2018 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted June 15, 2018 Report Share Posted June 15, 2018 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted June 15, 2018 Report Share Posted June 15, 2018 What this tells me is that, over the last several hundred years, the tropical forcing/z-cell climatology has been taking on an increasingly axisymmetric mode of operation. This modern day circulation is strikingly similar to that of the MWP, and perhaps the majority of the Holocene up until ~ 2500yrs ago. Essentially, we’ve walked back from the LIA regime, which was closer to a full glacial circulation than an interglacial one. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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