PNW February 2023 Weather Discussion - Meteorological winter finale

[T-Town]

1 minute ago, SouthHillFrosty said:

Is it just me or has snowmageddon been two weeks out for about two weeks now?

[Gradient Keeper]

This one isn't bad. That AC/DC cover though yikes.

 

[MossMan]

1 hour ago, RayRay said:

Time to panic and ring the bells.

I already told my kids…So it better be coming!! 

[MossMan]

14 minutes ago, bainbridgekid said:

18z Euro generally upped snow amounts Monday night a bit.

Pepto almost gets to me!!! 

[Gradient Keeper]

This is going to be awesome!

00z ECMWF in 4 hours 51 minutes

[SouthHillFrosty]

Kuchera is a lot more marginal 

[Cold Snap]

41 minutes ago, bainbridgekid said:

18z Euro generally upped snow amounts Monday night a bit.

Looks like I’m in the pepto!

[MossMan]

37 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said:

Kuchera is a lot more marginal 

3rd shade of blue!! 

[Slushy Inch]

I bet someone will get lucky with Tuesday's trough and pick up a couple inches. Sno/King line with best chance in a convergence zone. I don't know why Paine Field's totals are so high. 

[High Desert Mat?]

56 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said:

Kuchera is a lot more marginal 

If it’s marginal over here, which it looks like, it’s really going to be marginal there. Then again not if you get heavy precip rates which look to be still almost two weeks out per T-Town. 

[umadbro]

6 minutes ago, High Desert Mat? said:

If it’s marginal over here, which it looks like, it’s really going to be marginal there. Then again not if you get heavy precip rates which look to be still almost two weeks out per T-Town. 

This isn’t a typical offshore flow event. It’s really cold onshore stuff

[umadbro]

9 minutes ago, umadbro said:

This isn’t a typical offshore flow event. It’s really cold onshore stuff

Whoops. I only read half of his post. My bad y’all. 

[High Desert Mat?]

2 minutes ago, umadbro said:

Whoops. I only read half of his post. My bad y’all. 

All good. Just the time of year and sun angles (cue Tim). Believe me, I wish it was going to be low level offshore with upper level onshore in this setup. Then again, it is 11 days out which seems to be getting pushed a little each day. By the time it happens it may be end of February. Then the daffodils really get going.  

[Anti Marine Layer]

Same sun angle and daylight length as Halloween today.

[Gradient Keeper]

00z GFS Day 1 (4-run trend)

[Gradient Keeper]

Day 2 (4-run trend)

[Gradient Keeper]

Day 3 (4-run trend)

[Gradient Keeper]

Day 3.5 uhhhh Willamette Valley special? Tiger wins!

[Gradient Keeper]

Day 4 (4-run trend)

[SouthHillFrosty]

[Gradient Keeper]

Day 5 (4-run trend) Ridge trending much stronger.

[Gradient Keeper]

Day 6 (4-run trend)

[RentonHill]

5 minutes ago, Gradient Keeper said:

Day 6 (4-run trend)

Looks more euro with the cutoff low 

[Gradient Keeper]

Day 7 (4-run trend)

[Gradient Keeper]

Day 8

[thickhog]

23 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said:

Horseshoe around pdx metro looks right

[Gradient Keeper]

2 minutes ago, thickhog said:

Horseshoe around pdx metro looks right

Looks like a touch over 1/2" for me! YEAH!!!!

[Gradient Keeper]

Day 9'er

[Gradient Keeper]

Day 10

[Gradient Keeper]

00z GFS 10 Day Rainfall, Snowfall totals

[Gradient Keeper]

00z GEM

[TT-SEA]

Looks like the GFS doesn't save its outlandish snow maps for just for the lowlands of the PNW.     5 feet of snow in Minnesota in 11 days.   Got it.    

[Jbolin]

4 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Looks like the GFS doesn't save its outlandish snow maps for just for the lowlands of the PNW.     5 feet of snow in Minnesota in 11 days.   Got it.    

Dude. This sh*t happens every year you go to Hawaii, why are you surprised? 

[Christensen87]

lol and 00z takes the fun away yet again. 

[TacomaWx]

13 hours ago, TT-SEA said:

First post I read today... very nice.

I never said anything about sun angles.   Through the first half of March we can be buried under the right circumstances.   I have said the GEFS snowfall maps are useless which is obviously true.   And I said we need the EPS on board.    It has now come into view on the EPS and its totally on board.   I am pretty certain something big is coming now.     

It was just a joke you know I love ya Tim! 

[TT-SEA]

15 minutes ago, TacomaWx said:

It was just a joke you know I love ya Tim! 

Sun angles became sort of meaningless to me after last April... snow on the ground for a week with 14 hours of daylight.  

[RentonHill]

8 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Sun angles became sort of meaningless to me after last April... snow on the ground for a week with 14 hours of daylight.  

You home yet?

[RentonHill]

I hear frogs outside.

[MossMan]

Down to 37…It must be coming. 

[RentonHill]

Dock Holid-ay