PNW February 2023 Weather Discussion - Meteorological winter finale

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

14 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

 

Hahahaha

[Deweydog]

Still very long range.

[Phishy Wx]

it's still coming

[MWG]

Medford NWS 4am Discussion. Hope we get more snow than that!

[MWG]

Diamond Lake finally got a cam! 

https://www.diamondlake.net/lake-camera  

[Anti Marine Layer]

Rubus leucodermis is a type of tree. Some people may have them in their yards. There's also rubus occidentalus.

[Anti Marine Layer]

43 minutes ago, TacomaWx said:

@Rubus Leucodermis “wiLL TrENd norTH”

Maybe with climate change. 

[Deweydog]

3 minutes ago, Mr Marine Layer said:

Rubus leucodermis is a type of tree. Some people may have them in their yards. There's also rubus occidentalus.

[T-Town]

1 hour ago, TacomaWx said:

My boss has not been pleased with the lack of rain this fall/winter. Has started getting slow at work with the lack of water to treat. Thankfully still getting atleast 40-50 hours a week but was hoping for much more this winter. He keeps asking me when we will actually start to get significant rains…I told him one spring arrives if I had to guess. 

Sounds like it’s been a great move for you but what happens to the job in the summer?

[Anti Marine Layer]

3 minutes ago, Deweydog said:

Who is dumber? Lloyd Christmas or Gilligan?

[Slushy Inch]

Anyone following that new EPS? I want to see improvements from this.

[Slushy Inch]

[Doinko]

The WRF GFS looks pretty great

 

 

 

[Slushy Inch]

New CFS. Hopefully a sign of a good EPS?

[RentonHill]

[Cascadia_Wx]

Would be neat to see some sticking V-Day snow. It’s been a good holiday for snow lately. In 2021 we had 10” or so on the ground, and we picked up a slushy half inch or so the morning of 2/14/18, heading into that cold pattern.

[Slushy Inch]

2 minutes ago, RentonHill said:

Let’s go! This thing is on! Thought it might turn out well after seeing CFS.

[Gradient Keeper]

42 minutes ago, MWG said:

Diamond Lake finally got a cam! 

https://www.diamondlake.net/lake-camera  

Looks cold! I wonder if anyone is ice fishing. I would be.

[Gradient Keeper]

57 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Starting to think this could be the real deal. 

You are going to see so much snow you might be snowed in, or something.

18z GFS in 2 hours

[FroYoBro]

Andrew (me) tried to warn you. 

[RentonHill]

[Cascadia_Wx]

2 minutes ago, FroYoBro said:

Andrew (me) tried to warn you. 

This account seems like the real deal.

[Gradient Keeper]

1 minute ago, RentonHill said:

That's as close as you can get to a major late Winter blast. Wow. Given it's after early February during our prime time for Winter our odds increase further. I think that made sense. Of course this couldn't happen in January though.

[WeatherGeek2022]

4 minutes ago, RentonHill said:

guessing some nice cold rain.

[Gradient Keeper]

Do you ladies want me to post some 12z re-caps? 10 Day GIF 500mb Height Anomaly, 10 Day Rainfall, Snowfall totals. That sort of thing.

00z ECMWF in 9 hours 58 minutes

[Front Ranger]

15 minutes ago, RentonHill said:

+NAO, Phil says it won't work.

[Slushy Inch]

Let’s reel in the pessimism. I’ve had snow in April before in western Washington.

[WeatherGeek2022]

1 minute ago, Slushy Inch said:

Let’s real in the pessimism. I’ve had snow in April before in western Washington.

lol what like a dusting to coat the grass?

[Slushy Inch]

Just now, WeatherGeek2022 said:

lol what like a dusting to coat the grass?

April 18, 2008Edit

On April 18, 2008, a strong and very unseasonable snow-producing Puget Sound Convergence Zone storm formed around Everett, and spread south throughout the course of the afternoon and evening.^[6] By evening, the Zone had spread into northern King County, dumping 3.5 inches (89 mm) of snow in Shoreline, and 6.5 inches (170 mm) of snow in Woodinville.^[7] As the Zone slowly sank south of Shoreline into Seattle (past NE 145th Street), snow amounts began to taper off. The snow-producing part of the Zone ended abruptly at Roosevelt High School, a mere ten blocks north of the beginnings of the University District and the University of Washington community. Just north of Roosevelt High School, an inch of snow coated the ground, and due west of the school in the Green Lakeneighborhood of Seattle, an inch of snow had also fallen. In line with the known "abrupt edge" of the Puget Sound Convergence Zone, areas to the south of this Green Lake-to-Roosevelt High line (marked by NE 68th Street), including the U-District, witnessed only a dusting of snow.

[Doinko]

Just now, WeatherGeek2022 said:

lol what like a dusting to coat the grass?

PDX and downtown Portland last year had 2" of snow in April. Both sites are less than 100ft ASL as well. If that can happen then we can probably get a good event in this time frame. Just 4 years ago Eugene had 15-20" of snow in late February.

[Omegaraptor]

4 minutes ago, Slushy Inch said:

Let’s real in the pessimism. I’ve had snow in April before in western Washington.

Snow in January would surprise me more than snow in April at this point

[Slushy Inch]

BLASTED.

[WeatherGeek2022]

1 minute ago, Slushy Inch said:

April 18, 2008Edit

On April 18, 2008, a strong and very unseasonable snow-producing Puget Sound Convergence Zone storm formed around Everett, and spread south throughout the course of the afternoon and evening.^[6] By evening, the Zone had spread into northern King County, dumping 3.5 inches (89 mm) of snow in Shoreline, and 6.5 inches (170 mm) of snow in Woodinville.^[7] As the Zone slowly sank south of Shoreline into Seattle (past NE 145th Street), snow amounts began to taper off. The snow-producing part of the Zone ended abruptly at Roosevelt High School, a mere ten blocks north of the beginnings of the University District and the University of Washington community. Just north of Roosevelt High School, an inch of snow coated the ground, and due west of the school in the Green Lakeneighborhood of Seattle, an inch of snow had also fallen. In line with the known "abrupt edge" of the Puget Sound Convergence Zone, areas to the south of this Green Lake-to-Roosevelt High line (marked by NE 68th Street), including the U-District, witnessed only a dusting of snow.

#themoreyouknow

[Slushy Inch]

Just now, WeatherGeek2022 said:

#themoreyouknow

Yup I was living in Woodinville at the time. Got over 6 inches. Along with the Hanukkah Eve storm this event helped get me into weather.

[snow_wizard]

Doesn't get much better for a mean this far out in late February.  That's the real deal.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Talk of potential snow is getting contentious on Silverton Connections. 

[WeatherGeek2022]

4 minutes ago, Slushy Inch said:

BLASTED.

if you insist king euro.

[TT-SEA]

2 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

Doesn't get much better for a mean this far out in late February.  That's the real deal.

I wonder if that pesky Hudson Bay vortex might become an issue again?

[snow_wizard]

Dropped to 30 here last night and the models indicate pretty much every min over the next two weeks could be freezing or below for some places.

[snow_wizard]

1 minute ago, TT-SEA said:

I wonder if that pesky Hudson Bay vortex might become an issue again?

Things can work out with that.  At least this is tapping into the higher latitudes.