bud2380 Posted November 28, 2018 Report Share Posted November 28, 2018 12z Euro Through 5pm Saturday. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted November 28, 2018 Report Share Posted November 28, 2018 Man that isn't budging much at least not around here. Maybe a bit south overall? Nebraska gonna get destroyed. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted November 28, 2018 Report Share Posted November 28, 2018 Sure seems like the Euro keeps moving a little south with each run. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted November 28, 2018 Report Share Posted November 28, 2018 I'm gonna stop putting faith in the models. Temps are the kind of the thing where you never know how they'll be till the time actually comes. Just hope it's colder than expected and not the other way around. Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Craig-OmahaWX Posted November 28, 2018 Report Share Posted November 28, 2018 Ugh....well at least its a tad more east. Lets keep it moving east Quote 2018-2019 Snowfall Totals So Far : 59.5" For More Winter Weather Forecasts for 2017-2018 : https://www.facebook.com/snowdayweather/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Craig-OmahaWX Posted November 28, 2018 Report Share Posted November 28, 2018 Rain snow lines love i80 in eastern Nebraska! Quote 2018-2019 Snowfall Totals So Far : 59.5" For More Winter Weather Forecasts for 2017-2018 : https://www.facebook.com/snowdayweather/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jaycee Posted November 28, 2018 Report Share Posted November 28, 2018 @Nebraskans. You guys are gold. I can feel it. This is your storm-- I honestly have said all along this year will be a 2009 repeat and this would resemble it almost perfectly with that storm we had early December of that year. I think this thing moves south last second and destroys you. Gut feeling on this one boys! 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted November 28, 2018 Report Share Posted November 28, 2018 I would love to score a 6+ storm on a Saturday. That would be nice! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gabel23 Posted November 28, 2018 Report Share Posted November 28, 2018 OAX is getting more and more interested.... 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormhunter87 Posted November 28, 2018 Report Share Posted November 28, 2018 Wpc has really moved the probability south. Keeping hopes low but I'm getting pumped. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted November 28, 2018 Report Share Posted November 28, 2018 It will be interesting to read the afternoon discos. NWS Hastings was talking this morning how the Euro had moved south over the last couple of days and with the latest south movement, it will be fun to see what they think. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted November 28, 2018 Report Share Posted November 28, 2018 It will be interesting to read the afternoon discos. NWS Hastings was talking this morning how the Euro had moved south over the last couple of days and with the latest south movement, it will be fun to see what they think.Judging by that OAX graphic I'm guessing one of the less conservative mets is on duty so that one will be interesting. 1 Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Craig-OmahaWX Posted November 28, 2018 Report Share Posted November 28, 2018 NAM is starting to roll out ladies and gents....buckle your seat belts! 1 Quote 2018-2019 Snowfall Totals So Far : 59.5" For More Winter Weather Forecasts for 2017-2018 : https://www.facebook.com/snowdayweather/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted November 28, 2018 Report Share Posted November 28, 2018 weather.com and wunderground forecasts now says 1-3" Friday night, 3-5" Saturday, 1" Sat. night-Sunday morning. Upped from this morning. We'll see. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FarmerRick Posted November 28, 2018 Report Share Posted November 28, 2018 Models seem to really overestimate precip this far out. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gabel23 Posted November 28, 2018 Report Share Posted November 28, 2018 Winter storm watches already out for the Sioux City area. On the Nebraska side OAX calling for 6-9" of snow with more later in the weekend...... ..WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY EVENING THROUGH LATESATURDAY NIGHT...* WHAT...Snow, which could be heavy at times. Accumulations of 6to 9 inches possible through Saturday afternoon. Additionalsnowfall is likely Saturday night into Sunday morning. Windsincreasing from the north at 15 to 25 mph will result in blowingand drifting snow. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
St Paul Storm Posted November 28, 2018 Report Share Posted November 28, 2018 So much for the NAM being south. Now it might be a South Dakota wrecker. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormhunter87 Posted November 28, 2018 Report Share Posted November 28, 2018 NAM has the switch a little bit sooner. Not much but sooner. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted November 28, 2018 Report Share Posted November 28, 2018 NAM even hits Cedar Rapids with some snow. C'mon south shift! LOL http://maps1.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/nam/2018112818/081/snku_024h.us_mw.png Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormhunter87 Posted November 28, 2018 Report Share Posted November 28, 2018 Well that is a crazy sharp cut off to the south. Appears dry air is feeding in. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormgeek Posted November 28, 2018 Report Share Posted November 28, 2018 NAM being a funny guy to SPS and me. It shows maybe 1 inch max over the two waves hitting here. Laughable hole over the MSP area. Time to fire up the ol' magnet and get some snowpack here! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
East Dubzz Posted November 28, 2018 Author Report Share Posted November 28, 2018 Awfully nice of the NAM to avoid my area. I see the NAM just stalls the storm once it reaches SE Iowa. That’s... interesting. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted November 28, 2018 Report Share Posted November 28, 2018 Something I'm noticing from all the models is that they are growing stronger with the Ridge just south of Hudson Bay which was a key component with the previous Blizzard we tracked. Not saying this will have an abrupt shift south, but those of you out in NE/IA and even into WI are still in the game. Over the last 24 hours, the EPS 2" snow mean has shifted south across NE and so has the jack zone (6"+) across NE and into N IA. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted November 28, 2018 Report Share Posted November 28, 2018 Overall NAM looks close to 12z Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
East Dubzz Posted November 28, 2018 Author Report Share Posted November 28, 2018 NAM even hits Cedar Rapids with some snow. C'mon south shift! LOL Weird thing is the NAM actually went further north this run. Just has some more cold air wrapped in. What a weird look to the rain/show shield at HR 72. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted November 28, 2018 Report Share Posted November 28, 2018 Well that is a crazy sharp cut off to the south. Appears dry air is feeding in.Every storm has this Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
East Dubzz Posted November 28, 2018 Author Report Share Posted November 28, 2018 Overall NAM looks close to 12zYeah, not terribly different. Slightly further north overall. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted November 28, 2018 Report Share Posted November 28, 2018 Weird thing is the NAM actually went further north this run. Just has some more cold air wrapped in. What a weird look to the rain/show shield at HR 72.Occluding low's have a tendency to produce their own cold air so I'm not surprised to see these trends in the model today. The 12z Euro also trended colder across IA. This is def something to keep an eye on going forward. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted November 28, 2018 Report Share Posted November 28, 2018 FWIW, for this first time, the 12z EPS is showing a slight improvement for the secondary piece to track from Plains/MW/Lower Lakes for next Mon/Tue period. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted November 28, 2018 Report Share Posted November 28, 2018 Surprised any offices are pulling the trigger on Watches already. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
St Paul Storm Posted November 28, 2018 Report Share Posted November 28, 2018 NAM being a funny guy to SPS and me. It shows maybe 1 inch max over the two waves hitting here. Laughable hole over the MSP area. Time to fire up the ol' magnet and get some snowpack here!I think we’re too far north, although a few models make me a little hesitant to punt. But I’m close. Rochester will do well. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted November 28, 2018 Report Share Posted November 28, 2018 Trending colder has been the theme this fall. Hopefully the entire column goes below freezing. DMX talking a bit of ice potential. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted November 28, 2018 Report Share Posted November 28, 2018 CPC = hits the Mitt like a brick wall http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/threats/hazards_d3_7_contours.png 2 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormgeek Posted November 28, 2018 Report Share Posted November 28, 2018 I think we’re too far north, although a few models make me a little hesitant to punt. But I’m close. Rochester will do well.Yup definitely too far north for me here. Will punt after 00z. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted November 28, 2018 Report Share Posted November 28, 2018 Sioux Falls already goin with 5-10" plus a light glaze of ice. Dang Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted November 28, 2018 Report Share Posted November 28, 2018 Well that is a crazy sharp cut off to the south. Appears dry air is feeding in.i think that is simply the rain/snow line. There's plenty of moisture on the south end with some pretty heavy rain amounts. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormhunter87 Posted November 28, 2018 Report Share Posted November 28, 2018 Icon showing alot of dry air getting in Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormhunter87 Posted November 28, 2018 Report Share Posted November 28, 2018 i think that is simply the rain/snow line. There's plenty of moisture on the south end with some pretty heavy rain amounts. Well shows the change over same time plus I'm 15 minutes south of Omaha Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Craig-OmahaWX Posted November 28, 2018 Report Share Posted November 28, 2018 Come on gfs!!!! The G.OOD F.OR S.HIT model! Quote 2018-2019 Snowfall Totals So Far : 59.5" For More Winter Weather Forecasts for 2017-2018 : https://www.facebook.com/snowdayweather/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted November 28, 2018 Report Share Posted November 28, 2018 18z Icon is very good for Central Nebraska. 2 storms. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Join the conversation
You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.