PNW March 2023 Weather Discussion (2012 Redux)

[MossMan]

17 minutes ago, fubario said:

Prayers up for the mid-west and south today. 

When you see this type of wording...it's going to get real.

 In
   addition, large to very large hail will be possible with storms
   given cold temps aloft and strong vertical shear. Given the
   significant threat for strong/long-track tornadoes,

 

Is Timmy Supercell in that red area? Where did he move to again? I forgot. 

[MossMan]

8 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Yep.   It is what it is.   In terms of tangible weather the persistence of the rain was pretty notable up here.  I never made any other claims.   And of course it was subsequently offset by an even more extreme extended dry period.   

This spring appears to be taking a much different path.  Hopefully it is a less extreme year overall.   Last year was far from ideal in that regard.  

How does my weekend snow look this morning? 

[Cloud]

Wet roads out there today. Really glad I took the advantage of the opportunity yesterday  to assemble this shed for my dad at the new house. 

[Cascadia_Wx]

5 minutes ago, Cloud said:

Wet roads out there today. Really glad I took the advantage of the opportunity to assemble this shed for my dad at the new house. 

Hasn’t it been super dry up there recently? Probably multiple windows for a project like that.

[Cascadia_Wx]

Andrew’s kingdom is under ATTACK this morning

[Cloud]

1 minute ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

Hasn’t it been super dry up there recently? Probably multiple windows for a project like that.

It has been dry but also somewhat chilly. Even yesterday when I was working on this in the late afternoon, it was quite breezy and chilly. 

We also used those windows of opportunity over the weekends to transfer and move this past month or so. 

[TT-SEA]

5 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

Andrew’s kingdom is under ATTACK this morning

Not at all.  He is the one complaining and make snide comments.  We are just trying to placate him and make sure he is happy too.

[GHweatherChris]

So what I am getting from the forum this morning is....  total rainfall does not matter at all if there is a tiny bit of rain on most days....  something doesn't add up.

[TT-SEA]

15 minutes ago, MossMan said:

How does my weekend snow look this morning? 

06Z ECMWF still looks snowy to me.  

[Omegaraptor]

25 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Yep.   It is what it is.   In terms of tangible weather the persistence of the rain was pretty notable up here.  I never made any other claims.   And of course it was subsequently offset by an even more extreme extended dry period.   

This spring appears to be taking a much different path.  Hopefully it is a less extreme year overall.   Last year was far from ideal in that regard.  

If you want to say gloom just say gloom.

For how cold this spring has been so far it's really been decently sunny. None of the persistent everlasting gloom of last spring. I had quite a few thoughts last spring about just getting in my car and driving I-5 south until I saw sunshine.

[TT-SEA]

3 minutes ago, GHweatherChris said:

So what I am getting from the forum this morning is....  total rainfall does not matter at all if there is a tiny bit of rain on most days....  something doesn't add up.

No one said anything like that.  It's one aspect of the tangible weather which was very noticeable last spring.   It is what it is.  It was my observation and nothing more.  There can be many ways to gauge the weather over a particular period.  

That would be like saying Andrew has not experienced what he has experienced because it has not been that snowy or cold for me. 

[fubario]

Now upgraded to 'High'. Not good

[TT-SEA]

2 minutes ago, Omegaraptor said:

If you want to say gloom just say gloom.

For how cold this spring has been so far it's really been decently sunny. None of the persistent everlasting gloom of last spring. I had quite a few thoughts last spring about just getting in my car and driving I-5 south until I saw sunshine.

This spring has been the complete opposite in that regard.  Lots of sun and extended dry breaks.    And it looks to continue.    

[GHweatherChris]

Tangibly, we should all just feel blessed to wake up every day and live.

[Cascadia_Wx]

6 minutes ago, Omegaraptor said:

If you want to say gloom just say gloom.

For how cold this spring has been so far it's really been decently sunny. None of the persistent everlasting gloom of last spring. I had quite a few thoughts last spring about just getting in my car and driving I-5 south until I saw sunshine.

Would be a lot closer to go east of the Cascades. Maybe not palm-tree-ey enough. 

[Cascadia_Wx]

Last spring didn’t strike me as horribly gloomy, but then again I’m not a whiny teenager. 

Edited March 31, 2023 by Cascadia_Wx

[ShawniganLake]

3 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

Last spring didn’t stoke me as horribly gloomy, but then again I’m not a whiny teenager. 

Would it be okay to be whiny if someone was beyond their teenage years. 

[TT-SEA]

3 minutes ago, ShawniganLake said:

Would it be okay to be whiny if someone was beyond their teenage years. 

We need an irony reaction button.  

[Cascadia_Wx]

Mostly cloudy and a low of 44 this morning. 46 currently with a breezy SW wind. Waiting for that rain to move in.

[Cascadia_Wx]

12z GFS looks a little slower to build the ridging in, but it still gets there by early on week two. Nice looking ULL approaches the coastline a couple days later. We are starting to get closer to ULL season.

[MossMan]

Breezy morning. 

[Cascadia_Wx]

GEM puts an interesting twist on things. Sneaks another system in next weekend, especially north.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

52 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

Andrew’s kingdom is under ATTACK this morning

I’ve spent my whole life taking incoming fire. Wouldn’t trade a moment of it. 

[Ken in Wood Village]

42 minutes ago, fubario said:

Now upgraded to 'High'. Not good

I think I may have to watch some weather cams in that area. I think I have some websites saved on my laptop. If not, I'll need to look them up. If I find them, I'll post links to the sites. 

I loved watching thunderstorms during the spring and summer time. I used to record them. I was watching one that had continuous lightning with some very gusty winds. It was amazing. 

 

[Cold Snap]

50 minutes ago, fubario said:

Now upgraded to 'High'. Not good

That is not good. I have family that lives on the border of the orange in NE Alabama as well.

[TT-SEA]

11 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

I’ve spent my whole life taking incoming fire. Wouldn’t trade a moment of it. 

You are also very good at firing the first shots.   

[Port Angeles Foothiller]

6 minutes ago, Ken in Wood Village said:

I think I may have to watch some weather cams in that area. I think I have some websites saved on my laptop. If not, I'll need to look them up. If I find them, I'll post links to the sites. 

I loved watching thunderstorms during the spring and summer time. I used to record them. I was watching one that had continuous lightning with some very gusty winds. It was amazing. 

 

I have family in the Arkansas pink region

[Omegaraptor]

36 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

Would be a lot closer to go east of the Cascades. Maybe not palm-tree-ey enough. 

For the record… the Rogue Valley is only a little farther from Corvallis than Bend is.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

You have to like where the long range models are heading. 

[Cascadia_Wx]

1 minute ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

You have to like where the long range models are heading. 

You don’t even need to tell me I have to Andrew it looks nice enough where I will just like it on my own. Lol.

[TT-SEA]

14 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

You have to like where the long range models are heading. 

Totally agree.    The 12Z GEFS was slower to break down the ridging and farther to the west and offshore with the subsequent troughing in the long range than its 00Z run.   Good catch Andrew.

[Cascadia_Wx]

Looking like a pretty good pattern for some April freezes the middle of next week.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

2 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

Looking like a pretty good pattern for some April freezes the middle of next week.

Good catch. Would be nice if we didn't have to get attacked constantly for enjoying weather which is native to our region. 

[TT-SEA]

6 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Good catch. Would be nice if we didn't have to get attacked constantly for enjoying weather which is native to our region. 

No one is doing that.   You came out firing this morning.   We have been very supportive and interested in your reports on your local weather.  Please point out attacks on you.

And per climo it also gets up to 70 normally in early April.   Also native to our region.

[RentonHill]

These up days are really testing our overweight emerging markets bets. Need moar down days. 

[TT-SEA]

12Z ECMWF not backing down on ridging.   Unfortunately also does not show any rain on Thursday and Friday either... except maybe Vancouver Island briefly.  

[Slushy Inch]

19 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

No one is doing that.   You came out firing this morning.   We have been very supportive and interested in your reports on your local weather.  Please point out attacks on you.

And per climo it also gets up to 70 normally in early April.   Also native to our region.

Was his complaint that the forum focuses too much on WA? The forum has actually been more Oregon focused recently since every system has bypassed us.

[Slushy Inch]

Toasty toasty toasty. Looking forward to it.

[Slushy Inch]

Bit of a thermal trough as well.

[T-Town]

54 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

You don’t even need to tell me I have to Andrew it looks nice enough where I will just like it on my own. Lol.

Now I need someone to tell me I have to like something I can use this line.