PNW March 2023 Weather Discussion (2012 Redux)

[T-Town]

50 minutes ago, Blizzard777 said:

Not the beautiful view you have but this does in a pinch!   

The view is a relatively new thing for us. This is 2017 in Maple Valley. Six years and two dogs ago. We still enjoyed a frosty beverage in the yard though. 

[The Cats Meow]

Looks like maybe a slight warming trend is in the offing.  

There could be a "crash" towards the middle of April though.

 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Looks like it only has gotten up to 43 at my house today. Dang. 
 

 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

1 minute ago, Hour364Please said:

Looks like maybe a slight warming trend is in the offing.  

There could be a "crash" towards the middle of April though.

 

Nice 

[Slushy Inch]

10 minutes ago, Hour364Please said:

Looks like maybe a slight warming trend is in the offing.  

There could be a "crash" towards the middle of April though.

 

That’s what the long range looks like for now. Typical 2-3 day warm-wave possible.

[Cascadia_Wx]

Mostly cloudy today with some scattered early afternoon sunbreaks, then had some vigorous showers move through a bit ago that dropped the temp to 47. 

53/44 day so far. Trying to soak in these nice days while they last.

[Cascadia_Wx]

11 minutes ago, Slushy Inch said:

That’s what the long range looks like for now. Typical 2-3 day warm-wave possible.

Just an appetizer for our typical 2-3 month warm waves.

[Phishy Wx]

been in Louisville all week, What did I miss?

[Ken in Wood Village]

Some heavy showers popped up. I'm a little behind because I took a nap...lol.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

2 minutes ago, Ken in Wood Village said:

Some heavy showers popped up. I'm a little behind because I took a nap...lol.

Jealous.. of the nap. 

[Anti Marine Layer]

Some like it cold 

[Anti Marine Layer]

Everyone must be napping. Two hours of no activity.

[Meatyorologist]

9 minutes ago, Mr Marine Layer said:

Everyone must be napping. Two hours of no activity.

I have these crazy things called friends that I can hang out with, they're pretty neat. Got em for free from where i work.

[Cascadia_Wx]

2 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said:

I have these crazy things called friends that I can hang out with, they're pretty neat. Got em for free from where i work.

My only friends are mom and dad, my dog, global warming and Pat Sajak.

[Anti Marine Layer]

3 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

My only friends are mom and dad, my dog, global warming and Pat Sajak.

Global warming is not your friend.

[MossMan]

50/38 on the day. Currently 42 and very froggy out! 

[LowerGarfield]

How much snow does it take to implement a chain requirement on Snoqualmie Pass? Planning to get to the pass around mid morning like 10-11 so we'll see how the conditions are. I prefer to not go via the gorge as it doubles my trip length. Wish me luck tomorrow.

[TT-SEA]

1 minute ago, LowerGarfield said:

How much snow does it take to implement a chain requirement on Snoqualmie Pass? Planning to get to the pass around mid morning like 10-11 so we'll see how the conditions are. I prefer to not go via the gorge as it doubles my trip length. Wish me luck tomorrow.

Tomorrow?   Should be fine during day.

[TT-SEA]

ECMWF shows just 1-2 inches all day tomorrow at pass.   Will be wet roads with generally light precip.

[TT-SEA]

GFS and GEM look great for holiday weekend.   GEM also shows a rain event beforehand on Friday which would be nice too.  

[Slushy Inch]

Nice ridge.

[Meatyorologist]

It's been a long while since the great Pacific Northwest was graced by the immense surplus of raw energy in the Earth system.

[Slushy Inch]

1 minute ago, Meatyorologist said:

It's been a long while since the great Pacific Northwest was graced by the immense surplus of raw energy in the Earth system.

You mean sunshine and warmth?

[TacomaWx]

4 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said:

It's been a long while since the great Pacific Northwest was graced by the immense surplus of raw energy in the Earth system.

Raw meteorological energy or what?

[SilverFallsAndrew]

GFS has an annoying ridge, but it also hits us pretty hard with the shortwave Monday night into Tuesday, so in the end I guess its all good. 

Was watching KEZI out of Eugene this evening and they were going for a high of only 43 on Sunday at EUG, which if that happened would break the daily min/max by 4F. Maybe a little overdone honestly, but still. 

[TT-SEA]

5 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

GFS has an annoying ridge, but it also hits us pretty hard with the shortwave Monday night into Tuesday, so in the end I guess its all good. 

Was watching KEZI out of Eugene this evening and they were going for a high of only 43 on Sunday at EUG, which if that happened would break the daily min/max by 4F. Maybe a little overdone honestly, but still. 

I thought you wanted the grass kick started for your animals?   We have had weeks of anomalous deep troughing.    A nice little warm spell would be great.    There will be plenty more troughing of course.    

[TacomaWx]

Just now, TT-SEA said:

I thought you wanted the grass kick started for your animals?   We have had weeks of anomalous deep troughing.    A nice little warm spell would be great.    There will be plenty more troughing of course.    

You do realize that warm anomalies are purely satanic in nature?

[Slushy Inch]

10 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

GFS has an annoying ridge, but it also hits us pretty hard with the shortwave Monday night into Tuesday, so in the end I guess its all good. 

Was watching KEZI out of Eugene this evening and they were going for a high of only 43 on Sunday at EUG, which if that happened would break the daily min/max by 4F. Maybe a little overdone honestly, but still. 

When snow season is over ridge becomes the new best thing for me or actually thunderstorms. But it’s not like we get much.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Digesting some of these March numbers. It's really remarkable. Especially once you move away from I-5 stations impacted by the UHI. 

Coquille is going to have an all-time cold March, Brookings will be #2, North Bend #2 (Both only behind 1917), Crater Lake will be coldest all-time, Silver Falls will likely be coldest all time, Burns, OR coldest all-time, Baker City top 5 cold, Klamath Falls all time coldest, Eugene top 5, SLE top 10, Ashland #3, Medford #2 or 3, and the list goes on and on and on. 

[Gradient Keeper]

00z GFS

[SilverFallsAndrew]

The GFS pattern evolution is pretty solid.

[Anti Marine Layer]

25 minutes ago, TacomaWx said:

You do realize that warm anomalies are purely satanic in nature?

Are cold anomalies angelic in nature?

[Cascadia_Wx]

3 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

The GFS pattern evolution is pretty solid.

GEFS seems less aggressive with the ridging so far.

[Slushy Inch]

6 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

GEFS seems less aggressive with the ridging so far.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

7 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

GEFS seems less aggressive with the ridging so far.

I'm okay with a few days of ridging as long as it doesn't become a perma-ridge. 

[Cascadia_Wx]

8 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

I'm okay with a few days of ridging as long as it doesn't become a perma-ridge. 

Me five Andrew.

Here are the aforementioned ensembles.

 

Long range TBA. Would be nice to get some wettish Swrly flow on the west side of the progressing ridge.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

1 minute ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

Me five Andrew.

Here are the aforementioned ensembles.

 

Long range TBA. Would be nice to get some wettish Swrly flow on the west side of the progressing ridge.

I think you came, at us, a little early with this, the dip is coming. 

[Cascadia_Wx]

8 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

I think you came, at us, a little early with this, the dip is coming. 

[Deweydog]

162-0, baby!

[Phil]

GEFS goes back to our regularly scheduled programming after the interruption.