TT-SEA Posted February 5, 2019 Report Share Posted February 5, 2019 We literally posted the same map at the same exact moment. **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 5, 2019 Report Share Posted February 5, 2019 Shows about 6-12 hours of rain for me too...Didn't Seattle start as rain Sunday too...This run looks like a carbon copy. It is very similar. But this one seems to have more southerly flow ahead of it and there is not really cold air just to the west of Puget Sound like there was last Sunday. Here is the period when it shows rain. Small surface details are different but the track is really close. **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted February 5, 2019 Report Share Posted February 5, 2019 Got about a half inch here. At least we didn't get completely skunked this winter.Yup. Really pretty this morning. 1 Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VancouverIslandSouth Posted February 5, 2019 Report Share Posted February 5, 2019 The low sliding south off the coast is irrelevant. We are looking for a low to form off Vancouver Island later in the day Friday. Did you see the 12Z ICON. It is the ideal setup for southern Vancouver Island. I'm not liking how all the lows are sliding offshore to the SW because we've been burned so many times by that; I typically prefer to see them loop off the island then come ashore somewhere south of here. That said, the models are hinting at a slower moving low that stalls out a bit and that could work in our favor. The potential is huge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted February 5, 2019 Report Share Posted February 5, 2019 It is. I would say 4 to 8 inches from that one. Thoughts?It’s hard for models to handle these lows very well in advance, but they did quite well with the track of the last one. I still like 4-6” based on what I’m seeing but the potential for something bigger is definitely in play. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Esquimalt Posted February 5, 2019 Report Share Posted February 5, 2019 It is very similar. But this one seems to have more southerly flow ahead of it and there is not really cold air just to the west of Puget Sound like there was last Sunday. Here is the period when it shows rain. Small surface details are different but the track is really close.It's showing as a massive snowfall here even though we got nothing from the last one. Subtle but significant differences. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Esquimalt Posted February 5, 2019 Report Share Posted February 5, 2019 I'm not liking how all the lows are sliding offshore to the SW because we've been burned so many times by that; I typically prefer to see them loop off the island then come ashore somewhere south of here. That said, the models are hinting at a slower moving low that stalls out a bit and that could work in our favor. The potential is huge.This one is much more promising than the Sunday one. I think we can say that much Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Posted February 5, 2019 Report Share Posted February 5, 2019 Looks like it snowed more overnight. Up to 1.25” out there. Everything is absolutely flocked, looks gorgeous. Temp is down to 26 now with clearing skies, DP 19. Feels surreal that this could be just the first event. nice, I think you got the same amount as me 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Andrew. Posted February 5, 2019 Report Share Posted February 5, 2019 Live look from Portland this morning after 1 inch of snow fell across the city. Thoughts and prayers. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 5, 2019 Report Share Posted February 5, 2019 WOW Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VancouverIslandSouth Posted February 5, 2019 Report Share Posted February 5, 2019 This one is much more promising than the Sunday one. I think we can say that much Definitely a lot more potential and we never fully lose the offshore wind component from the looks of it. The GEM/GFS/ICON all look promising this morning, would be nice to see the ECMWF latch onto this as well: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Posted February 5, 2019 Report Share Posted February 5, 2019 The gem buries I-5 from Redding to the Canadian border this weekend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Esquimalt Posted February 5, 2019 Report Share Posted February 5, 2019 Definitely a lot more potential and we never fully lose the offshore wind component from the looks of it. The GEM/GFS/ICON all look promising this morning, would be nice to see the ECMWF latch onto this as well: The EURO really wasn't impressive last night for this area so I'm hoping we see a turnaround this morning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kayla Posted February 5, 2019 Report Share Posted February 5, 2019 Starting to doubt that I'll ever get above 15F again... 1 Cold Season 2023/24: Total snowfall: 26" Highest daily snowfall: 5" Deepest snow depth: 12" Coldest daily high: -20ºF Coldest daily low: -42ºF Number of subzero days: 5 Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KMTBOZEM152#history Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 5, 2019 Report Share Posted February 5, 2019 Sun! **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted February 5, 2019 Report Share Posted February 5, 2019 The GEM is just one snowy trough after another. Spreads the wealth fairly well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 5, 2019 Report Share Posted February 5, 2019 12Z GFS looks more like the 00Z ECMWF for the system on Monday... great for the Seattle area. **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted February 5, 2019 Report Share Posted February 5, 2019 Yeah if the GEM verified, the "loser" would be EUG and Roseburg...with over 6" both spots. Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kayla Posted February 5, 2019 Report Share Posted February 5, 2019 The GEM is just one snowy trough after another. Spreads the wealth fairly well The GEM is historic. Feb 1936 / Jan 1969 mix. Pretty incredible. Cold Season 2023/24: Total snowfall: 26" Highest daily snowfall: 5" Deepest snow depth: 12" Coldest daily high: -20ºF Coldest daily low: -42ºF Number of subzero days: 5 Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KMTBOZEM152#history Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow maniac Posted February 5, 2019 Report Share Posted February 5, 2019 Hoping I don’t get stuck in the shadow of the olympics again, only got 1/2 inch here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 5, 2019 Report Share Posted February 5, 2019 THE GEM is totally insane. GFS still pretty good up here...Would easily get me close to the 18" total I had last February. Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jbolin Posted February 5, 2019 Report Share Posted February 5, 2019 Sun! Your location looks like virtually any mountain pass nearby when it snows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted February 5, 2019 Report Share Posted February 5, 2019 Vancouver Island was cold this morning.17F here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 5, 2019 Report Share Posted February 5, 2019 Total snow over the next week... Wow! 13° here right now. Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted February 5, 2019 Report Share Posted February 5, 2019 How low did Arlington go? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alex_Snakes Posted February 5, 2019 Report Share Posted February 5, 2019 GFS for Saturday is rain south of Seattle. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted February 5, 2019 Report Share Posted February 5, 2019 Snow still coating everything but the roads. Boy it's a relief to not be shut out and we can put 14-15 in the rear view mirror. Definitely ranked above that one now, and other stinkers that didn't even have a dusting. Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 5, 2019 Report Share Posted February 5, 2019 The GEM has 4 separate snow events for the lowlands. Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted February 5, 2019 Report Share Posted February 5, 2019 Loving all the maps this morning with snow across the region and a narrow band of rain over the Willamette Valley up through Portland. Lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
El_Nina Posted February 5, 2019 Report Share Posted February 5, 2019 Maxed out at 3" here this morning. The perpetual snow lasted all night until 5 this morning. It was lightly snowing for 16 hours straight. 27* Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted February 5, 2019 Report Share Posted February 5, 2019 Hope the Euro sticks with its theme of snowier regionally. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 5, 2019 Report Share Posted February 5, 2019 Maxed out at 3" here this morning. The perpetual snow lasted all night until 5 this morning. It was lightly snowing for 16 hours straight. 27* Very nice! **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted February 5, 2019 Report Share Posted February 5, 2019 Cliff Mass and the Portland NOAA office tell me it will be rain and a trace for elevations above 14,000 feet.Might have to cancel my picnic and annual cherry tree planting on top of Rainier then. Ugh!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 5, 2019 Report Share Posted February 5, 2019 I'm going to say this will not verify. Maybe a GFS, ICON, GEM blend. Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 5, 2019 Report Share Posted February 5, 2019 Loving all the maps this morning with snow across the region and a narrow band of rain over the Willamette Valley up through Portland. Lol. One model brother. GEM, NAVGEM, and ICON are outstanding! Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted February 5, 2019 Report Share Posted February 5, 2019 I’ve already sold my soul to only winter snow next two weeks! Nervous It’s like going all in with your chips Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmet Posted February 5, 2019 Report Share Posted February 5, 2019 Wouldn’t worry too much about thermals until we get closer to the event. Models might be scouring out the cold air too quickly especially with the high in place to the north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 5, 2019 Report Share Posted February 5, 2019 Assuming this is all snow? Major snowy regional blast! Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted February 5, 2019 Report Share Posted February 5, 2019 One model brother. GEM, NAVGEM, and ICON are outstanding! Good to hear brotha. Haven’t had time to look too closely at the models yet this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted February 5, 2019 Report Share Posted February 5, 2019 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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