Jesse Posted November 21, 2019 Report Share Posted November 21, 2019 Wonder if that low will just decide to cut off completely at some point. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Requiem Posted November 21, 2019 Report Share Posted November 21, 2019 Not an amazing run so far... Quote "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted November 21, 2019 Report Share Posted November 21, 2019 2004-05 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted November 21, 2019 Author Report Share Posted November 21, 2019 12z Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted November 21, 2019 Report Share Posted November 21, 2019 Chilly out this morning! Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 21, 2019 Report Share Posted November 21, 2019 Lets see if than energy in the mid-range slides east or drops south. Through hour 216 though...Well this is just sad. Maybe a few days with frost next week at least Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
High Desert Mat? Posted November 21, 2019 Report Share Posted November 21, 2019 Still gets cold. Cold air will be in place for what seems to be the end of the run. The moisture is what’s missing. A low could come out of nowhere and has many times in the past. Saturday is when I think the details will be worked out. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 21, 2019 Report Share Posted November 21, 2019 I feel terrible for folks in Washington County. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FroYoBro Posted November 21, 2019 Report Share Posted November 21, 2019 I feel terrible for folks in Washington County. My life is so terrible. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 21, 2019 Report Share Posted November 21, 2019 My life is so terrible. I really feel bad for all of us, but Washington County has the biggest significant snow drought in the PNW lowlands. Going back to January 17' since they have seen more than just some slop. 2 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 21, 2019 Report Share Posted November 21, 2019 The models can be so cruel. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dave Posted November 21, 2019 Report Share Posted November 21, 2019 From here on out, I propose that all model riding is forbidden until 12/1. At least for those in the wv. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted November 21, 2019 Report Share Posted November 21, 2019 I really feel bad for all of us, but Washington County has the biggest significant snow drought in the PNW lowlands. Going back to January 17' since they have seen more than just some slop.I thought Eugene always held the honor. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 21, 2019 Report Share Posted November 21, 2019 I thought Eugene always held the honor. Weather records indicate they received a trace of snow toward the end of last February. 3 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted November 21, 2019 Report Share Posted November 21, 2019 January 2005 with the volume turned WAY up. Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted November 21, 2019 Report Share Posted November 21, 2019 I really feel bad for all of us, but Washington County has the biggest significant snow drought in the PNW lowlands. Going back to January 17' since they have seen more than just some slop.Yup, ground has not been completely covered here since January 2017. Almost three years now. Even parts of the PHOENIX METRO had the ground completely covered. We got screwed on precip too. Susanville, a town in NE CA which averages 13” of rain a year had more rain than us the first half of 2019. Didn’t help that the 4/7/19 event screwed us over and gave Eugene record rainfall while we were right around average for the month. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 21, 2019 Report Share Posted November 21, 2019 Yup, ground has not been completely covered here since January 2017. Almost three years now. Even parts of the PHOENIX METRO had the ground completely covered. We got screwed on precip too. Susanville, a town in NE CA which averages 13” of rain a year had more rain than us the first half of 2019. Didn’t help that the 4/7/19 event screwed us over and gave Eugene record rainfall while we were right around average for the month. I really hope you do not have to wait as long as Eugene did. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Requiem Posted November 21, 2019 Report Share Posted November 21, 2019 Most major cold is gone mid-range too— pretty bad run overall. Quote "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted November 21, 2019 Report Share Posted November 21, 2019 Anyone want to start a gofundme to get Andrew weenie tagged? 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted November 21, 2019 Report Share Posted November 21, 2019 A dark day on the forum. However it was a bright and frosty drive to work! LOVE mornings like this!! 5 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 21, 2019 Report Share Posted November 21, 2019 Anyone want to start a gofundme to get Andrew weenie tagged? If you need a hug Jesse, I am here for you. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 21, 2019 Report Share Posted November 21, 2019 A dark day on the forum. However it was a bright and frosty drive to work! LOVE mornings like this!! What a beautiful scene. It reminds us there are still some blessings in life. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Requiem Posted November 21, 2019 Report Share Posted November 21, 2019 Not trying to be overly negative, but let's hope the 12Z was an outlier. Falls apart in the long-range with a boring winter pattern, with most appreciable cold completely gone this run. Onto the EURO, I suppose. ...I'd take my windstorm at this point. Quote "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Perturbed Member Posted November 21, 2019 Report Share Posted November 21, 2019 I really feel bad for all of us, but Washington County has the biggest significant snow drought in the PNW lowlands. Going back to January 17' since they have seen more than just some slop. Based on annual snowfall and precip, one would probably suspect Washington County was somewhere in the outskirts of Sacramento. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted November 21, 2019 Report Share Posted November 21, 2019 DM me for my PayPal and for $5000 USD, I will weenie tag anyone.Quid pro quo!!!!! 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 21, 2019 Report Share Posted November 21, 2019 Not trying to be overly negative, but let's hope the 12Z was an outlier. Falls apart in the long-range with a boring winter pattern, with most appreciable cold completely gone this run. Onto the EURO, I suppose. ...I'd take my windstorm at this point. Not hyperbole to say this run was soul crushing. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 21, 2019 Report Share Posted November 21, 2019 12z GEM op is worse than the GFS.... Block sets up too far west, tilt is awful, no amplification, but a stout southeast ridge! GEFS running.... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted November 21, 2019 Report Share Posted November 21, 2019 Based on annual snowfall and precip, one would probably suspect Washington County was somewhere in the outskirts of Sacramento. Hillsboro is at 20.97” YTD Sacramento is at 19.49” YTD, and they were actually ahead of us until October 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Requiem Posted November 21, 2019 Report Share Posted November 21, 2019 Not hyperbole to say this run was soul crushing. It's a pretty big deviation from earlier runs though, so we may still have hope. But I know Portlanders are itching for something appreciable after last February. Quote "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 21, 2019 Report Share Posted November 21, 2019 It's a pretty big deviation from earlier runs though, so we may still have hope. But I know Portlanders are itching for something appreciable after last February. Yeah the Monday-Thursday period will be chilly. That is locked in, but everything after that just kind of fell apart. The 06z gave some hope in that timeframe, but then backed off this run. We shall see. Think ice and frost crystals. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 21, 2019 Report Share Posted November 21, 2019 Hillsboro is at 20.97” YTD Sacramento is at 19.49” YTD, and they were actually ahead of us until October C16DD8C4-E243-4FEC-8838-10673EC0173C.png Here, let me get my microscope out to make sense of the numbers on this map. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Requiem Posted November 21, 2019 Report Share Posted November 21, 2019 GEM seems colder, so that's a plus! I honestly do think the 12Z was a huge warm outlier-- after runs of pretty solid consistency it dropped a huge ball. Quote "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 21, 2019 Report Share Posted November 21, 2019 The long range GFS is actually pretty chilly. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted November 21, 2019 Report Share Posted November 21, 2019 Here, let me get my microscope out to make sense of the numbers on this map. Here it is without the numbers 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
seattleweatherguy Posted November 21, 2019 Report Share Posted November 21, 2019 Two different versions of brett andersons forecast just for comparison https://www.accuweather.com/en/weather-blogs/anderson/long-range-weather-pattern-update-into-mid-december/631093 https://www.accuweather.com/en/weather-blogs/anderson/update-on-the-weather-pattern-into-december/628450 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Perturbed Member Posted November 21, 2019 Report Share Posted November 21, 2019 Hillsboro is at 20.97” YTD Sacramento is at 19.49” YTD, and they were actually ahead of us until October C16DD8C4-E243-4FEC-8838-10673EC0173C.png Yeah looks like they are already over their annual precip average. It has genuinely been really dry here and I still encounter transplants here complaining about how it is always raining or gloomy. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 21, 2019 Report Share Posted November 21, 2019 12z GEFS very similar to 6z. PDX mean temp -7c, cluster to -10c. Yakima -11c, cluster to -14c. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Requiem Posted November 21, 2019 Report Share Posted November 21, 2019 12z GEFS very similar to 6z. PDX mean temp -7c, cluster to -10c. Yakima -11c, cluster to -14c. See, I'm confident that it was just a warm outlier of some kind. Lots of model noise. 2 Quote "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 21, 2019 Report Share Posted November 21, 2019 UPDATE 12z GEFS Day 7-8 Operational outlier by 4-5c. 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted November 21, 2019 Report Share Posted November 21, 2019 Most major cold is gone mid-range too— pretty bad run overall. Things like this are why I take model runs more than about five days out and especially ones more than a week out with more than just a grain of salt.http://www.bergenphc.com/wp-content/uploads/2012/12/Salt-Block.png 3 Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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