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Pacific Northwest Weather - May 2023


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1 minute ago, Omegaraptor said:

Betting on the GFS against the GEM and Euro is like playing 2-7 against pocket aces.

Against the ECMWF... definitely.   But the GEM has been swinging around to an insane level lately so it is basically worthless right now until it settles down.

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Yeah, even a cold trough won’t prevent a record smashingly hot May. Better luck next year I suppose. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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49 minutes ago, Slushy Inch said:

I feel like I’ve seen this pattern recently… T storm pattern again. Time to wait and see.image.thumb.png.33a047a6577ded37c630e28f3c58bf10.pngimage.thumb.png.461b383e6aec3f742d40ecec3e020d24.png

Been a complete flop up here other than some distant flashes and a little rain. 

Edited by MossMan
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Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

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24 minutes ago, Slushy Inch said:

No thermal trough on this run so doesn’t get too hot.

12Z control run goes crazy with the ridging and heat next weekend.   12Z EPS is also significantly warmer than its 00Z run... but more muted obviously at that range. 

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Have a feeling it’s gonna be a short burn season. 

B8F79FC5-2B0C-4F55-A80F-50C592E2F53E.jpeg

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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Not normally happy about cloudy and cool on a weekend day... but today is perfect for yard work.   Cloudy and dry and around 60.   We had our water fun yesterday so today is very welcome.  Particularly if the models hold with the warm solution for next weekend.

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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16 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Not normally happy about cloudy and cool on a weekend day... but today is perfect for yard work.   Cloudy and dry and around 60.   We had our water fun yesterday so today is very welcome.  Particularly if the models hold with the warm solution for next weekend.

Days like today are what I used to love about living here. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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22 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Days like today are what I used to love about living here. 

My wife said basically the same thing this morning.   She thinks the last few summers have been way too extreme and it's threatening what she loves most about this area.

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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31 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

My wife said basically the same thing this morning.   She thinks the last few summers have been way too extreme and it's threatening what she loves most about this area.

Same wife who was threatening to leave after summer 2010?

A forum for the end of the world.

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3 minutes ago, Front Ranger said:

Same wife who was threatening to leave after summer 2010?

Not after summer 2010... she was feeling homesick in June 2010 when it was raining every day and we had a little baby daughter.   She is not a fan of rain every day in the warm season and also not a fan of heat and drought.   I think she prefers less extremes and something in the middle... like most people.     

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Severe T-storm watch has been issued for counties to my East and South. Not under anything at my current location. Not super concerned as the forecast today improved vs yesterday.

 

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Garfield County/Pomeroy, WA:

2023-2024 Snowfall totals: 14.3 inches

HIghest snow total (per event): 5.8 inches total 1/11/24 - 1/12/24.

Most recent accumulation (non trace): 0.20 inches on 2/26/24

Days with  trace or more snowfall: 12/01/23 (0.60), 1/8/24 (1.0), 1/10/24 (3.5), 1/11/23 (3.5 inches with Thundersnow; separate event from prior day), 1/12/24 (2.30). 1/14/24 (T), 1/17/24 (1.20 inches), 1/18/24 (1.5 inches), 1/19/24 (0.20), 2/09/24 (0.30), 2/26/24 (0.20-mainly graupel), 4/5/24 (T)

First Freeze: 10/27/2023

Last Sub freezing Day: 1/20/24 (12th) (8 days in a row from 1/12/24-1/20/24)

Coldest low: -12F (!!!!!!!!) (1/12/24)

Last White Christmas: 2022 at my location (on ground)

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3 hours ago, TT-SEA said:

Not normally happy about cloudy and cool on a weekend day... but today is perfect for yard work.   Cloudy and dry and around 60.   We had our water fun yesterday so today is very welcome.  Particularly if the models hold with the warm solution for next weekend.

As long as we get a couple more weeks of record heat in exchange for these three satanic days all is well.

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29 minutes ago, Omegaraptor said:

As long as we get a couple more weeks of record heat in exchange for these three satanic days all is well.

Low to mid 70s would be ideal.    I remember in 2009 we started a long dry spell right about now that went until June 19th.  While there was a few hot days in there... most of the days were in the upper 60s to mid 70s.   It was amazingly pleasant.  Then we got about 1.5 inches of rain in 3 days from June 19-21 and then it did not rain again until August 10th.

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Mid 50s here under a solid stratus deck… was supposed to get to low 60s so this feels like the first underachiever in a while. Would be nice to get some substantial rain out of this period before we go back to ridging mid week but it doesn’t look too promising. Will have to hope that Phil’s zonal / whet June comes through.

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25 minutes ago, Anti Marine Layer said:

Snow at 49 F?

Must be an error or something. It’s not going to snow at 49 here lol.

2024 Warm Season Stats

Number of 80+ days - 2

Number of 85+ days - 2 (Warmest so far - 86)

Number of 90+ days - 0

Number of 95+ days - 0

Number of 60+ lows - 0

 

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18Z EPS and control run went back to the trough for Saturday (end of the run).

Decent chance the 00Z runs all flip back.

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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1 hour ago, Anti Marine Layer said:

Forecast shows 71 on Saturday and 68 on Sunday for PDX. Will there be a big offshore push on Memorial Day?

No... that forecast indicates the uncertainty.   

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Ah! What glorious blessings!

Dense drizzle, water dripping off trees and roofs. 52F. What a marvelous turnaround from 24 hours ago.

Looks like KSEA, a bit too far to the south, has just now mixed up to 60F. Almost had a psub-psixty there.

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Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 50.25"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-2022-23: 5.75"

-2023-24*: 0.25"

-Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

-Phreeze Count 2023-24: 40

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Lake Salmonella doesn't deserve to be made fun of. All lakes are beautiful, even if they are fouled by rancid swarms of writhing milfoil.

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Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 50.25"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-2022-23: 5.75"

-2023-24*: 0.25"

-Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

-Phreeze Count 2023-24: 40

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24 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said:

Lake Salmonella doesn't deserve to be made fun of. All lakes are beautiful, even if they are fouled by rancid swarms of writhing milfoil.

It really is truly ugly... but we have to make the best of it.   We are very unlucky to have lakes in King County. 

20230520_140232.jpg

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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56 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said:

Ah! What glorious blessings!

Dense drizzle, water dripping off trees and roofs. 52F. What a marvelous turnaround from 24 hours ago.

Looks like KSEA, a bit too far to the south, has just now mixed up to 60F. Almost had a psub-psixty there.

Been bone dry here all day. ☹️

Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

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